Connor Oliver
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20 | ARome Braves | 455 | .252/.328/.351 | 3 | 13 | 55 | — | .213/.273/.297 |
| 2015 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 293 | .188/.277/.269 | 1 | 9 | 14 | — | .143/.202/.199 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+Tampa Yankees | 30 | .154/.241/.231 | 0 | 2 | -8 | — | .111/.172/.185 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 143 | 129 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 271 | 264 | 535 | 54 | 262 | 19 | 8 | 242 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Rome Braves | — | 455 | 405 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 95 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 252 | 328 | 351 | 679 | 99 | 320 | 21 | 8 | 307 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 123 | 109 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 174 | 268 | 257 | 525 | 83 | 209 | 18 | 11 | 246 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 170 | 151 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 199 | 284 | 278 | 562 | 79 | 275 | 25 | 11 | 260 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 231 | 472 | 77 | 235 | 30 | 10 | 214 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 143 | 133 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 158 | 200 | 188 | 388 | 30 | 219 | 27 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 455 | 417 | 89 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 132 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 213 | 273 | 297 | 570 | 84 | 297 | 29 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 123 | 114 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 140 | 203 | 202 | 405 | 61 | 189 | 25 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 170 | 158 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 62 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 146 | 201 | 196 | 397 | 51 | 242 | 36 | 6 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 30 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 172 | 185 | 358 | 74 | 205 | 43 | 7 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 143 | 133 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 158 | 200 | 188 | 388 | 30 | 221 | 27 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 143 | 129 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 271 | 264 | 535 | 54 | 262 | 19 | 8 | 242 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 455 | 417 | 89 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 132 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 213 | 273 | 297 | 570 | 84 | 303 | 29 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 455 | 405 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 95 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 252 | 328 | 351 | 679 | 99 | 320 | 21 | 8 | 307 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 272 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 147 | 205 | 210 | 415 | 62 | 218 | 32 | 7 | 188 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 293 | 260 | 49 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 65 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 188 | 277 | 269 | 547 | 81 | 246 | 22 | 11 | 254 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 30 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 111 | 172 | 185 | 358 | 74 | 214 | 43 | 7 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Tampa Yankees | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 231 | 472 | 77 | 235 | 30 | 10 | 214 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 143 | 135 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 156 | 200 | 185 | 385 | 30 | 219 | 27 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 455 | 418 | 89 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 132 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 213 | 273 | 297 | 569 | 84 | 297 | 29 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 271 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 148 | 205 | 210 | 416 | 63 | 220 | 32 | 7 | 188 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 30 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 107 | 172 | 179 | 351 | 71 | 205 | 43 | 7 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 921 | 849 | 153 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 55 | 277 | 8 | 29 | 18 | 180 | 237 | 249 | 485 | 68 | 260 | 30 | 6 | 216 | 33 | -74 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +20 | -5.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 108 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 195 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 180 | 238 | 250 | 488 | 70 | 260 | 30 | 6 | 216 | 33 | -52 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 A+Tampa Yankees · 30 PAwOBA .209 → .156 (−54)K% 30.0% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.988 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 15.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.032 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 4.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.862 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 91, 3B 106, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .209 → .156; ISO .077 → .053; BABIP .235 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ARome Braves · 170 PAwOBA .255 → .189 (−66)K% 25.3% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.29% | ÷0.932 | ×1.340 | — | — | 36.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷1.077 | ×0.660 | — | — | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | — | 16.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.915 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | — | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | — | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 105, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 86, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .255 → .189; ISO .079 → .062; BABIP .275 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Carolina Mudcats · 123 PAwOBA .240 → .187 (−53)K% 17.9% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷1.012 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.042 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 15.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 2.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.039 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .240 → .187; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .209 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ARome Braves · 455 PAwOBA .301 → .250 (−51)K% 20.9% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.88% | ÷0.966 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.35% | ÷0.972 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.87% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.015 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | ×1.022 | ×1.015 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | ×1.022 | ×1.015 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.873 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .301 → .250; ISO .099 → .084; BABIP .320 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Braves · 143 PAwOBA .238 → .179 (−59)K% 18.9% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 2.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .238 → .179; ISO .054 → .039; BABIP .262 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).