Justin Higley

PosLF
B/TL/R
Born1992-12-25
Age (2027)34
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
ALAST SEASON 2016
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201421ABeloit Snappe…189.240/.293/.3432619—.168/.207/.235
201522A+/A2 orgs445.206/.289/.365142527—.152/.216/.253
201623A+/A2 orgs499.251/.327/.38162033—.174/.224/.264
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201320 ROKAZL Athletics — 179153 42746 21572 43 275369490860 216387 3212 373 45 — — — — — —
201421 ABeloit Snappers — 189175 42822 12591 61 240293343635 103348 316 285 19 — — — — — —
201522 A+Stockton Ports — 145132 29714 10530 40 220275379653 159325 377 285 23 — — — — — —
201522 ABeloit Snappers — 300262 528210 35871 215 198295359654 160251 2912 295 29 — — — — — —
201623 A+Stockton Ports — 5550 18520 5200 21 360418540958 180600 369 420 91 — — — — — —
201623 ABeloit Snappers — 444396 941776 421483 185 237315361676 124359 339 304 26 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201320 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 179161 27424 13822 43 168239292531 124284 467 235 45 — — — — — —
201421 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 189179 30521 8821 61 168207235442 67297 434 196 19 — — — — — —
201522 A+ MLEStockton Ports — 145135 23512 7660 40 170211267478 96282 465 202 23 — — — — — —
201522 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 300272 39626 251201 215 143218246464 103217 408 211 29 — — — — — —
201623 A+ MLEStockton Ports — 5552 14410 3260 21 269309385694 115532 475 302 91 — — — — — —
201623 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 444414 671264 242033 185 162213249462 87296 465 206 26 — — — — — —
201320 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 179161 27424 13822 43 168239292531 124295 467 235 45 — — — — — —
201320 ROK RAWAZL Athletics — 179153 42746 21572 43 275369490860 216387 3212 373 45 — — — — — —
201421 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 189179 30521 8821 61 168207235442 67299 434 196 19 — — — — — —
201421 A RAWBeloit Snappers — 189175 42822 12591 61 240293343635 103348 316 285 19 — — — — — —
201522 A MLE2 teams — 445407 611128 321861 255 150214246459 96244 427 208 27 — — — — — —
201522 A RAW2 teams — 445394 8115314 451401 255 206289365654 160275 3110 291 27 — — — — — —
201623 A MLE2 teams — 499466 811674 272293 206 174224264488 90326 465 217 33 — — — — — —
201623 A RAW2 teams — 499446 1122296 471683 206 251327381708 130385 349 317 33 — — — — — —
201320 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 179162 27424 13822 43 167239290529 123284 467 235 45 — — — — — —
201421 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 189178 30521 8821 61 169207236443 67297 434 196 19 — — — — — —
201522 A MLE2 teams — 445409 611128 321861 255 149214244458 95238 427 208 27 — — — — — —
201623 A MLE2 teams — 499466 811674 272293 206 174224264488 90322 465 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 13121213 199361317 805797 5515 164220257477 93290 446 213 30 -109 +5 +0 -14 +28 -9.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650601 981868 402873 277 163219253472 90289 446 213 30 -54 +3 +0 -7 +14 -4.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 ABeloit Snappers · 444 PAwOBA .296 → .206 (−90)K% 33.3% → 45.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.991×1.360——45.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.78%÷1.100×0.690—×0.9805.40%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.780—×0.9800.52%
Singles /BIP25.81%÷1.058×0.920×0.960×0.98021.11%
Doubles /BIP6.85%÷0.940×0.830×0.960×0.9805.69%
Triples /BIP2.82%÷0.900×0.910×0.960×0.9802.69%
Home runs /BIP2.42%÷1.025×0.800—×0.9801.85%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 112, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .296 → .206; ISO .124 → .090; BABIP .359 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Stockton Ports · 55 PAwOBA .409 → .302 (−107)K% 36.4% → 47.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.36%÷1.035×1.340——47.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.065×0.710—×0.9885.99%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP36.67%÷0.978×0.910—×0.98833.72%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷0.939×0.820—×0.98814.38%
Triples /BIP6.67%÷0.990×0.760—×0.9885.06%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.066×0.920—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 98, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .409 → .302; ISO .180 → .126; BABIP .600 → .532. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ABeloit Snappers · 300 PAwOBA .288 → .211 (−77)K% 29.0% → 40.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.00%÷0.987×1.360——39.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.33%÷0.936×0.690—×0.9908.27%
HBP% /PA0.33%—×0.780—×0.9900.26%
Singles /BIP18.29%÷1.018×0.920×0.994×0.99016.26%
Doubles /BIP4.57%÷1.021×0.830×0.994×0.9903.66%
Triples /BIP1.14%÷0.900×0.910×0.994×0.9901.14%
Home runs /BIP5.71%÷1.084×0.800—×0.9904.18%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .288 → .211; ISO .160 → .109; BABIP .251 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Stockton Ports · 145 PAwOBA .281 → .202 (−79)K% 36.6% → 45.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.55%÷1.072×1.340——45.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9984.88%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP21.52%÷0.959×0.910×0.995×0.99820.26%
Doubles /BIP8.86%÷1.047×0.820×0.995×0.9986.89%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷0.926×0.760×0.995×0.9981.03%
Home runs /BIP5.06%÷1.715×0.920—×0.9982.71%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 243, 1B 92, 2B 109, 3B 85, K 114, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .281 → .202; ISO .159 → .093; BABIP .325 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ABeloit Snappers · 189 PAwOBA .279 → .196 (−83)K% 31.2% → 43.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.22%÷0.974×1.360——43.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.35%÷1.003×0.690——4.37%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.780——0.41%
Singles /BIP25.86%÷0.987×0.920×0.950—22.89%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.060×0.830×0.950—5.13%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷0.942×0.910×0.950—1.58%
Home runs /BIP1.72%÷1.155×0.800——1.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 97, 2B 112, 3B 88, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .279 → .196; ISO .103 → .066; BABIP .348 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKAZL Athletics · 179 PAwOBA .369 → .235 (−134)K% 31.8% → 45.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.84%÷1.000×1.440——45.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.73%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9857.16%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.720—×0.9850.79%
Singles /BIP26.04%÷1.000×0.820×0.963×0.98520.26%
Doubles /BIP7.29%÷1.000×0.720×0.963×0.9854.98%
Triples /BIP4.17%÷1.000×0.720×0.963×0.9852.85%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9854.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .369 → .235; ISO .216 → .136; BABIP .387 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).