Nolan Earley

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1991-03-27

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

A+LAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	22	ROKBristol White…	248	.310/.410/.424	2	2	82	—	.251/.328/.342
2014	23	AKannapolis In…	80	.306/.367/.458	1	1	93	—	.270/.316/.405
2015	24	A+/A2 orgs	379	.261/.341/.350	2	1	49	—	.218/.267/.286

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	22	ROK	Bristol White Sox	—	248	203	63	13	2	2	32	26	5	2	8	310	410	424	833	113	341	10	13	370	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	72	22	4	2	1	5	13	2	1	1	306	367	458	825	153	362	16	6	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	353	315	81	19	1	2	35	65	2	1	2	257	335	343	678	86	317	18	10	310	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	26	22	7	1	1	0	3	3	1	0	0	318	423	455	878	136	368	12	12	394	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	22	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	248	219	55	10	2	2	20	37	5	2	8	251	328	342	670	91	276	15	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	74	20	3	2	1	3	17	2	1	1	270	316	405	722	135	337	21	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	353	331	70	13	1	2	19	99	2	1	2	211	259	275	533	63	289	28	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	26	23	7	1	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	304	385	435	819	130	333	15	8	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	248	219	55	10	2	2	20	37	5	2	8	251	328	342	670	91	288	15	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK RAW	Bristol White Sox	—	248	203	63	13	2	2	32	26	5	2	8	310	410	424	833	113	341	10	13	370	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	74	20	3	2	1	3	17	2	1	1	270	316	405	722	135	339	21	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	72	22	4	2	1	5	13	2	1	1	306	367	458	825	153	362	16	6	362	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	379	354	75	13	2	2	21	103	3	1	2	212	262	277	539	65	292	27	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	379	337	88	20	2	2	38	68	3	1	2	261	341	350	691	89	321	18	10	316	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK MLE	Bristol White Sox	—	248	221	55	10	2	2	20	37	5	2	8	249	328	339	667	90	276	15	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	80	75	20	3	2	1	3	17	2	1	1	267	316	400	716	133	337	21	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	379	352	75	13	2	2	21	103	3	1	2	213	262	278	540	65	292	27	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	707	647	150	26	6	5	44	157	10	4	11	232	291	314	605	82	296	22	6	265	65	-29	-4	+0	-8	+15	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	139	24	6	5	40	144	9	4	10	234	292	319	611	86	297	22	6	265	65	-27	-3	+0	-7	+14	-2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 353 PAwOBA .301 → .234 (−68)K% 18.4% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.41%	÷0.932	×1.420	—	—	28.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.35%	÷1.060	×0.630	—	×0.988	5.49%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.860	—	×0.988	0.48%
Singles /BIP	23.60%	÷0.963	×0.940	×1.017	×0.988	23.14%
Doubles /BIP	7.60%	÷1.175	×0.830	×1.017	×0.988	5.39%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.150	×0.800	×1.017	×0.988	0.28%
Home runs /BIP	0.80%	÷1.090	×0.900	—	×0.988	0.65%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 93, 2B 135, 3B 130, K 86, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .301 → .234; ISO .086 → .058; BABIP .317 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AKannapolis Intimidators · 26 PAwOBA .385 → .327 (−58)K% 11.5% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.54%	÷0.963	×1.340	—	—	16.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.54%	÷1.029	×0.660	—	×0.980	7.26%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.770	—	×0.980	2.90%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.008	×0.920	—	×0.980	23.53%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷0.940	×0.820	—	×0.980	4.50%
Triples /BIP	5.26%	÷0.914	×0.940	—	×0.980	5.31%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.848	×0.820	—	×0.980	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 83, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .327; ISO .136 → .132; BABIP .368 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AKannapolis Intimidators · 80 PAwOBA .353 → .306 (−46)K% 16.2% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.25%	÷1.017	×1.340	—	—	21.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷0.990	×0.660	—	×0.990	4.12%
HBP% /PA	2.50%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	1.91%
Singles /BIP	25.42%	÷0.982	×0.920	×1.039	×0.990	24.48%
Doubles /BIP	6.78%	÷0.997	×0.820	×1.039	×0.990	5.73%
Triples /BIP	3.39%	÷1.118	×0.940	×1.039	×0.990	2.93%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷0.886	×0.820	—	×0.990	1.55%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 124, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .353 → .306; ISO .153 → .131; BABIP .362 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKBristol White Sox · 248 PAwOBA .367 → .289 (−78)K% 10.5% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.48%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	14.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.90%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.975	8.05%
HBP% /PA	2.02%	—	×0.740	—	×0.975	1.45%
Singles /BIP	25.99%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.020	×0.975	21.71%
Doubles /BIP	7.34%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.020	×0.975	5.41%
Triples /BIP	1.13%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.020	×0.975	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	1.13%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.975	0.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .367 → .289; ISO .113 → .090; BABIP .341 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).