Johnny Davis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 37 | .257/.297/.371 | 0 | 2 | 70 | — | .059/.111/.059 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAAGuerreros de … | 477 | .300/.357/.392 | 4 | 54 | 61 | — | .243/.286/.310 |
| 2020 | 30 | INTLTomateros de … | 18 | .176/.222/.235 | 0 | 3 | 29 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 112 | 102 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 294 | 351 | 363 | 714 | 69 | 370 | 19 | 7 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 483 | 430 | 111 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 116 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 258 | 318 | 284 | 602 | 26 | 351 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 40 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 256 | 270 | 527 | 54 | 364 | 38 | 5 | 235 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 238 | 218 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 63 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 261 | 312 | 330 | 642 | 69 | 364 | 26 | 6 | 287 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 254 | 217 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 50 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 295 | 390 | 341 | 731 | 46 | 383 | 20 | 12 | 336 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 553 | 505 | 133 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 119 | 3 | 52 | 12 | 263 | 316 | 341 | 657 | 77 | 335 | 22 | 7 | 294 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 54 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 296 | 265 | 562 | 41 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 222 | 44 | 6 | 139 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 19 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 389 | 421 | 611 | 1.032 | 222 | 438 | 11 | 5 | 447 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 477 | 424 | 127 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 95 | 5 | 54 | 13 | 300 | 357 | 392 | 749 | 92 | 373 | 20 | 7 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 200 | 11 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 112 | 105 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 219 | 261 | 267 | 528 | 48 | 300 | 27 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 483 | 442 | 97 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 159 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 219 | 263 | 238 | 500 | 18 | 324 | 33 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 40 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 158 | 179 | 211 | 390 | 53 | 326 | 55 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 238 | 224 | 55 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 77 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 246 | 278 | 312 | 590 | 67 | 356 | 32 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 254 | 226 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 70 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 257 | 331 | 301 | 632 | 44 | 355 | 28 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 553 | 518 | 124 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 152 | 3 | 52 | 12 | 239 | 276 | 303 | 579 | 64 | 321 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 196 | 61 | 6 | 86 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 477 | 436 | 106 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 114 | 5 | 54 | 13 | 243 | 286 | 310 | 595 | 67 | 305 | 24 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 112 | 105 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 219 | 261 | 267 | 528 | 48 | 307 | 27 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 112 | 102 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 294 | 351 | 363 | 714 | 69 | 370 | 19 | 7 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 483 | 442 | 97 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 159 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 219 | 263 | 238 | 500 | 18 | 340 | 33 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 483 | 430 | 111 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 116 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 258 | 318 | 284 | 602 | 26 | 351 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 40 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 158 | 179 | 211 | 390 | 53 | 375 | 55 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 40 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 256 | 270 | 527 | 54 | 364 | 38 | 5 | 235 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 450 | 111 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 146 | 5 | 32 | 15 | 247 | 301 | 300 | 601 | 53 | 363 | 30 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 435 | 121 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 45 | 113 | 5 | 32 | 15 | 278 | 353 | 336 | 688 | 57 | 374 | 23 | 9 | 313 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 569 | 135 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 166 | 4 | 56 | 14 | 237 | 274 | 297 | 571 | 60 | 329 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 607 | 554 | 144 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 129 | 4 | 56 | 14 | 260 | 314 | 334 | 648 | 74 | 330 | 21 | 7 | 291 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 37 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 81 | 56 | 137 | 154 | 62 | 3 | 86 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 37 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 257 | 297 | 371 | 669 | 114 | 360 | 27 | 5 | 298 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 477 | 436 | 106 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 114 | 5 | 54 | 13 | 243 | 286 | 310 | 595 | 67 | 318 | 24 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 477 | 424 | 127 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 95 | 5 | 54 | 13 | 300 | 357 | 392 | 749 | 92 | 373 | 20 | 7 | 328 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 200 | 11 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 30 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 200 | 11 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 112 | 105 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 219 | 261 | 267 | 528 | 48 | 300 | 27 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 483 | 454 | 97 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 159 | 3 | 32 | 21 | 214 | 263 | 231 | 494 | 18 | 324 | 33 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 40 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 154 | 179 | 205 | 385 | 51 | 326 | 55 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 454 | 111 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 146 | 5 | 32 | 15 | 244 | 301 | 297 | 598 | 53 | 355 | 30 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 573 | 135 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 166 | 4 | 56 | 14 | 236 | 274 | 295 | 569 | 59 | 321 | 27 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 37 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 81 | 56 | 137 | 196 | 62 | 3 | 86 | -56 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 477 | 448 | 106 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 114 | 5 | 54 | 13 | 237 | 286 | 301 | 587 | 65 | 305 | 24 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2266 | 2093 | 483 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 107 | 662 | 18 | 200 | 72 | 231 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 49 | 332 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | -138 | +11 | -0 | +8 | +49 | -7.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 138 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 190 | 5 | 57 | 21 | 230 | 273 | 278 | 551 | 48 | 332 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | -40 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 477 PAwOBA .322 → .258 (−64)K% 19.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.92% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.71% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 26.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.56% | ÷1.200 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 2.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 140, 3B 112, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .258; ISO .092 → .067; BABIP .373 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 18 PAwOBA .136 → .086 (−50)K% 44.4% → 62.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.44% | ÷0.925 | ×1.290 | — | — | 61.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.985 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 3.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 85, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .136 → .086; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABiloxi Shuckers · 553 PAwOBA .286 → .248 (−38)K% 21.5% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.52% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷1.035 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.50% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 27.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.11% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 3.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷0.915 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.393 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.73% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .286 → .248; ISO .077 → .062; BABIP .335 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Brevard County Manatees · 254 PAwOBA .329 → .276 (−52)K% 19.7% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.021 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.036 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.53% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 30.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.001 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 3.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .329 → .276; ISO .046 → .042; BABIP .383 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABiloxi Shuckers · 238 PAwOBA .280 → .249 (−30)K% 26.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.152 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.97% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 30.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.58% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 2.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.58% | ÷0.922 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 2.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.243 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 84, K 100, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .280 → .249; ISO .069 → .062; BABIP .364 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Brevard County Manatees · 40 PAwOBA .229 → .161 (−67)K% 37.5% → 54.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 54.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.911 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.978 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.887 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 111, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .161; ISO .054 → .043; BABIP .364 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 483 PAwOBA .266 → .220 (−46)K% 24.0% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.02% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.12% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 30.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 0.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .220; ISO .026 → .020; BABIP .351 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Brewers · 112 PAwOBA .314 → .229 (−85)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .229; ISO .069 → .047; BABIP .370 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .