Kelvin Gutiérrez

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1994-08-28

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	28	INTLDominican Rep…	194	.233/.293/.324	0	2	73	—
2024	29	INTLDominican Rep…	174	.296/.382/.382	2	4	121	—
2025	30	INTLGigantes del …	152	.200/.289/.289	2	3	69	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Speed68

Avg EV59

xwOBA17

Barrel%14

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	235	208	53	13	2	0	23	36	2	9	2	255	335	337	671	82	306	15	10	306	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	218	192	55	6	3	0	23	29	1	4	6	286	366	349	715	62	333	13	11	325	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	44	38	9	1	0	1	3	5	2	2	2	237	326	342	668	105	250	11	7	301	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	417	377	113	19	6	3	29	65	3	19	7	300	355	406	760	106	349	16	7	335	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	245	222	64	10	6	2	19	59	2	3	0	288	350	414	764	126	380	24	8	339	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	37	33	7	3	1	0	4	7	0	2	0	212	297	364	661	152	269	19	11	297	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	48	40	14	0	1	1	7	10	0	1	1	350	447	475	922	125	433	21	15	405	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	513	472	130	14	6	11	36	108	3	20	4	275	331	400	731	125	335	21	7	326	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	40	38	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	184	225	184	409		280	32	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	79	73	19	2	1	1	5	24	0	1	0	260	308	356	664	96	367	30	6	295	88	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2019	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	327	286	82	9	2	9	35	71	3	12	1	287	370	427	797	140	349	22	11	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	63	53	21	5	0	2	10	15	0	0	0	396	492	604	1.096	208	528	24	16	480	211	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	295	272	63	8	3	3	19	76	4	0	1	232	292	316	608	85	311	26	6	278	72	-10	-0	+2	+2	+6	-0.0
2021	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	132	126	32	7	1	4	6	28	0	1	2	254	288	421	709	167	298	21	5	312	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	93	77	29	4	0	2	15	13	0	3	1	377	478	506	985	130	429	14	16	436	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	28	4	1	0	0	4	8	0	1	0	143	242	179	421	36	200	24	12	206	23	-3	+0	-2	+2	+1	-0.2
2022	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	238	211	51	8	2	6	24	51	0	5	2	242	319	384	703	142	287	21	10	313	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	179	162	39	4	0	5	13	40	1	3	1	241	301	358	659	117	283	22	7	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	194	176	41	10	3	0	14	42	1	2	2	233	293	324	617	91	299	22	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	174	152	45	7	0	2	20	33	1	4	2	296	382	382	763	86	364	19	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	152	135	27	6	0	2	16	31	1	3	0	200	289	289	578	89	245	20	11	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	407	373	86	11	4	4	28	108	4	2	1	231	291	314	604	83	313	27	7	275	72	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	235	215	35	8	1	0	16	44	2	9	2	163	227	209	437	47	204	19	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	218	202	46	5	2	0	13	42	1	4	6	228	278	272	550	45	280	19	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	44	39	9	1	0	1	2	7	2	2	2	231	302	333	636	103	241	16	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	417	386	110	17	6	2	20	87	3	19	7	285	325	376	701	91	347	21	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	245	229	51	8	4	1	12	87	2	3	0	223	267	306	573	83	342	36	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	37	35	5	2	1	0	2	10	0	2	0	143	189	257	446	114	198	27	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	513	484	111	10	6	9	24	134	3	20	4	229	270	331	601	101	297	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	79	73	19	2	1	1	5	24	0	1	0	260	308	356	664	96	367	30	6	298	88	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2019	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	327	297	72	8	2	7	24	95	3	12	1	242	306	354	659	111	316	29	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	295	272	63	8	3	3	19	76	4	0	1	232	292	316	608	85	311	26	6	275	72	-10	-0	+2	+2	+6	-0.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	132	128	28	6	1	3	4	34	0	1	2	219	242	352	594	133	274	26	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	33	29	4	1	0	0	4	8	0	1	0	138	242	172	415	34	200	24	12	203	23	-3	+0	-2	+2	+1	-0.2
2022	27	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	238	219	49	7	2	4	16	60	0	5	2	224	277	329	605	105	279	25	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	235	215	35	8	1	0	16	44	2	9	2	163	227	209	437	47	203	19	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	235	208	53	13	2	0	23	36	2	9	2	255	335	337	671	82	306	15	10	306	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	218	202	46	5	2	0	13	42	1	4	6	228	278	272	550	45	284	19	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	218	192	55	6	3	0	23	29	1	4	6	286	366	349	715	62	333	13	11	325	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	425	119	18	6	3	22	94	5	21	9	280	323	372	695	92	347	20	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	461	415	122	20	6	4	32	70	5	21	9	294	352	400	752	106	340	15	7	332	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	330	308	64	11	5	1	17	114	2	6	1	208	254	286	540	78	321	35	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	330	295	85	13	8	3	30	76	2	6	1	288	358	417	775	129	374	23	9	344	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	522	119	11	6	9	26	145	3	20	4	228	269	324	592	96	297	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	553	510	137	14	6	11	38	121	3	20	4	269	323	384	707	116	332	22	7	317	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	406	370	91	10	3	8	29	119	3	13	1	246	306	354	660	108	336	29	7	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	406	359	101	11	3	10	40	95	3	13	1	281	358	412	770	131	353	23	10	344	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL MLE	Gigantes del Cibao	—	63	53	21	5	0	2	10	15	0	0	0	396	492	604	1.096	208	528	24	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL RAW	Gigantes del Cibao	—	63	53	21	5	0	2	10	15	0	0	0	396	492	604	1.096	208	528	24	16	480	211	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	520	487	111	17	5	7	28	134	4	4	4	228	276	326	602	99	300	26	5	266	66	-21	-1	+2	+2	+11	-0.7
2021	26	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	520	475	124	19	4	9	40	117	4	4	4	261	324	375	698	114	329	22	8	315	66	-21	-1	+2	+2	+11	-0.7
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	450	410	88	13	3	7	33	113	1	9	3	215	275	312	587	98	274	25	7	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	450	401	94	13	2	11	41	99	1	9	3	234	306	359	665	125	279	22	9	297	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	194	176	41	10	3	0	14	42	1	2	2	233	293	324	617	91	299	22	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	194	176	41	10	3	0	14	42	1	2	2	233	293	324	617	91	299	22	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	174	152	45	7	0	2	20	33	1	4	2	296	382	382	763	86	364	19	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	174	152	45	7	0	2	20	33	1	4	2	296	382	382	763	86	364	19	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL MLE	Gigantes del Cibao	—	152	135	27	6	0	2	16	31	1	3	0	200	289	289	578	89	245	20	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL RAW	Gigantes del Cibao	—	152	135	27	6	0	2	16	31	1	3	0	200	289	289	578	89	245	20	11	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	235	215	35	8	1	0	16	44	2	9	2	163	227	209	437	47	204	19	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	218	202	46	5	2	0	13	42	1	4	6	228	278	272	550	45	280	19	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	431	119	18	6	3	22	94	5	21	9	276	323	367	690	90	337	20	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	330	308	64	11	5	1	17	114	2	6	1	208	254	286	540	78	323	35	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	519	119	11	6	9	26	145	3	20	4	229	269	326	594	96	297	26	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	406	371	91	10	3	8	29	119	3	13	1	245	306	353	659	108	326	29	7	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	520	483	111	17	5	7	28	134	4	4	4	230	276	329	605	99	299	26	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	450	413	88	13	3	7	33	113	1	9	3	213	275	310	585	97	269	25	7	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	407	373	86	11	4	4	28	108	4	2	1	231	291	314	604	83	313	27	7	275	37	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	137	18	6	6	45	172	6	3	2	230	290	310	601	81	312	26	7	275	37	-21	+0	+1	+8	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3756	3455	807	121	34	41	244	926	24	95	34	234	289	324	613	90	304	25	6	223	37	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	140	21	6	7	42	160	4	16	6	234	289	324	613	90	305	25	6	223	37	-21	+0	+1	+8	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAANorfolk Tides · 238 PAwOBA .308 → .267 (−41)K% 21.4% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.43%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.08%	÷1.048	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.88%	÷0.952	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	22.25%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	4.32%
Triples /BIP	1.25%	÷1.130	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	3.75%	÷0.970	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.68%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 126, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .308 → .267; ISO .142 → .112; BABIP .287 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAANorfolk Tides · 132 PAwOBA .303 → .248 (−55)K% 21.2% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.21%	÷0.982	×1.200	—	—	25.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.05%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.41%	÷0.981	×0.930	×1.012	×1.003	19.65%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.977	×0.830	×1.012	×1.003	6.16%
Triples /BIP	1.02%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.012	×1.003	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	4.08%	÷1.009	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .303 → .248; ISO .167 → .122; BABIP .298 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 327 PAwOBA .350 → .285 (−65)K% 21.7% → 28.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.71%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	28.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.70%	÷1.065	×0.710	—	×1.033	7.37%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.93%
Singles /BIP	28.84%	÷1.024	×0.900	×1.015	×1.033	26.57%
Doubles /BIP	4.19%	÷0.973	×0.810	×1.015	×1.033	3.65%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.038	×0.810	×1.015	×1.033	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	4.19%	÷1.023	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .350 → .285; ISO .140 → .108; BABIP .349 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 513 PAwOBA .319 → .262 (−57)K% 21.1% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷0.979	×1.220	—	—	26.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.02%	÷1.049	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.74%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.51%
Singles /BIP	27.20%	÷1.046	×0.920	×1.013	×1.012	24.52%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.113	×0.840	×1.013	×1.012	2.98%
Triples /BIP	1.65%	÷0.956	×0.940	×1.013	×1.012	1.66%
Home runs /BIP	3.02%	÷1.008	×0.800	—	×1.012	2.43%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 109, 2B 123, 3B 91, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .319 → .262; ISO .125 → .101; BABIP .335 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Potomac Nationals · 245 PAwOBA .333 → .251 (−82)K% 24.1% → 35.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.08%	÷0.963	×1.420	—	—	35.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.76%	÷0.982	×0.630	—	×0.998	4.97%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.70%
Singles /BIP	28.22%	÷1.050	×0.940	×1.050	×0.998	26.48%
Doubles /BIP	6.13%	÷1.012	×0.830	×1.050	×0.998	5.28%
Triples /BIP	3.68%	÷1.150	×0.800	×1.050	×0.998	2.68%
Home runs /BIP	1.23%	÷1.368	×0.900	—	×0.998	0.81%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .333 → .251; ISO .126 → .085; BABIP .380 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKGCL Nationals · 37 PAwOBA .289 → .192 (−97)K% 18.9% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.92%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	27.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.81%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.965	6.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.54%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.965	9.13%
Doubles /BIP	11.54%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	8.02%
Triples /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	2.67%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.965	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .289 → .192; ISO .152 → .099; BABIP .269 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AHagerstown Suns · 417 PAwOBA .331 → .304 (−27)K% 15.6% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.59%	÷1.002	×1.340	—	—	20.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.95%	÷0.960	×0.660	—	—	4.78%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.770	—	—	0.55%
Singles /BIP	27.24%	÷0.954	×0.920	×1.050	—	27.58%
Doubles /BIP	6.09%	÷0.946	×0.820	×1.050	—	5.54%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷0.950	×0.940	×1.050	—	2.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.96%	÷1.245	×0.820	—	—	0.63%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 91, 2B 89, 3B 90, K 100, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .331 → .304; ISO .106 → .093; BABIP .349 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Potomac Nationals · 44 PAwOBA .294 → .260 (−34)K% 11.4% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.36%	÷0.974	×1.420	—	—	16.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.82%	÷1.061	×0.630	—	×1.012	4.10%
HBP% /PA	4.55%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	3.96%
Singles /BIP	21.21%	÷0.966	×0.940	—	×1.012	20.88%
Doubles /BIP	3.03%	÷1.010	×0.830	—	×1.012	2.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.975	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷1.025	×0.900	—	×1.012	2.69%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .294 → .260; ISO .105 → .092; BABIP .250 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .