Juremi Profar
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 478 | .265/.327/.394 | 10 | 0 | 64 | — | .226/.270/.324 |
| 2022 | 26 | INTLCuracao | 25 | .200/.200/.200 | 0 | 0 | 9 | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | INTLCuracao | 22 | .429/.429/.476 | 0 | 0 | 148 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 251 | 217 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 281 | 366 | 350 | 716 | 69 | 295 | 5 | 9 | 324 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 385 | 706 | 115 | 273 | 11 | 7 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 58 | 50 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 309 | 380 | 689 | 140 | 268 | 16 | 7 | 294 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 262 | 243 | 66 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 317 | 387 | 703 | 115 | 292 | 10 | 5 | 312 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 425 | 383 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 300 | 359 | 473 | 831 | 172 | 311 | 11 | 8 | 362 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 435 | 415 | 109 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 297 | 376 | 672 | 113 | 285 | 13 | 4 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 349 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 232 | 285 | 352 | 638 | 120 | 240 | 12 | 6 | 285 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 95 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 186 | 420 | 23 | 203 | 19 | 7 | 200 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 383 | 348 | 101 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 350 | 445 | 795 | 155 | 316 | 14 | 8 | 351 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Curacao | — | 25 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 278 | 28 | 0 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Curacao | — | 22 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 429 | 429 | 476 | 905 | 48 | 474 | 14 | 0 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 251 | 223 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 197 | 272 | 242 | 515 | 45 | 202 | 6 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 111 | 271 | 14 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 58 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 365 | 638 | 135 | 253 | 21 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 262 | 248 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 278 | 339 | 617 | 93 | 276 | 14 | 3 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 425 | 392 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 268 | 313 | 403 | 716 | 135 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 435 | 421 | 99 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 260 | 328 | 588 | 93 | 267 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 208 | 248 | 303 | 551 | 96 | 227 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 95 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 191 | 159 | 351 | 23 | 179 | 24 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 383 | 359 | 89 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 248 | 289 | 365 | 654 | 117 | 281 | 17 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 251 | 223 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 197 | 272 | 242 | 515 | 45 | 210 | 6 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 251 | 217 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 281 | 366 | 350 | 716 | 69 | 295 | 5 | 9 | 324 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 111 | 273 | 14 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 385 | 706 | 115 | 273 | 11 | 7 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 300 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 277 | 343 | 620 | 100 | 279 | 16 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 320 | 293 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 315 | 386 | 701 | 119 | 288 | 11 | 6 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 425 | 392 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 268 | 313 | 403 | 716 | 135 | 298 | 16 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 425 | 383 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 300 | 359 | 473 | 831 | 172 | 311 | 11 | 8 | 362 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 435 | 421 | 99 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 260 | 328 | 588 | 93 | 268 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 435 | 415 | 109 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 297 | 376 | 672 | 113 | 285 | 13 | 4 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 208 | 248 | 303 | 551 | 96 | 228 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 349 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 232 | 285 | 352 | 638 | 120 | 240 | 12 | 6 | 285 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 446 | 101 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 272 | 323 | 595 | 96 | 265 | 18 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 434 | 115 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 327 | 394 | 721 | 129 | 294 | 15 | 8 | 321 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL MLE | Curacao | — | 25 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 278 | 28 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL RAW | Curacao | — | 25 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 278 | 28 | 0 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Curacao | — | 22 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 429 | 429 | 476 | 905 | 48 | 474 | 14 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Curacao | — | 22 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 429 | 429 | 476 | 905 | 48 | 474 | 14 | 0 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 251 | 226 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 195 | 272 | 239 | 511 | 44 | 202 | 6 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 28 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 111 | 271 | 14 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 303 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 277 | 340 | 617 | 99 | 272 | 16 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 425 | 396 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 265 | 313 | 399 | 712 | 134 | 289 | 16 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 435 | 418 | 99 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 237 | 260 | 330 | 590 | 93 | 267 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 378 | 356 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 208 | 248 | 303 | 551 | 96 | 227 | 16 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 447 | 101 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 272 | 322 | 594 | 96 | 261 | 18 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2362 | 2211 | 517 | 88 | 7 | 37 | 108 | 371 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 234 | 275 | 330 | 605 | 96 | 263 | 16 | 5 | 258 | 61 | -111 | -5 | +0 | +8 | +51 | -5.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 142 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 102 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 234 | 276 | 329 | 605 | 95 | 263 | 16 | 5 | 258 | 61 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 383 PAwOBA .343 → .286 (−57)K% 13.8% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.84% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.71% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.208 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.30% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .343 → .286; ISO .155 → .118; BABIP .316 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAANashville Sounds · 95 PAwOBA .198 → .165 (−33)K% 18.9% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 15.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .198 → .165; ISO .023 → .019; BABIP .203 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 378 PAwOBA .280 → .242 (−38)K% 12.2% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.17% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.47% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.042 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.96% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×1.042 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .280 → .242; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .240 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 435 PAwOBA .292 → .252 (−41)K% 13.3% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.37% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.050 | 22.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.051 | ×0.840 | ×1.009 | ×1.050 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.089 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 103, K 92, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .292 → .252; ISO .113 → .089; BABIP .285 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+High Desert Mavericks · 425 PAwOBA .357 → .308 (−48)K% 11.1% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.06% | ÷0.931 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.042 | 22.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.075 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×1.042 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.037 | ×0.760 | ×1.028 | ×1.042 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.87% | ÷1.194 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 99, 2B 115, 3B 107, K 86, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .357 → .308; ISO .172 → .137; BABIP .311 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AHickory Crawdads · 262 PAwOBA .307 → .270 (−37)K% 10.3% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.31% | ÷0.967 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.34% | ÷1.042 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 3.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.045 | 20.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.971 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×1.045 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.910 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×1.045 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.229 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 94, 3B 82, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .307 → .270; ISO .115 → .095; BABIP .292 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+High Desert Mavericks · 58 PAwOBA .284 → .266 (−18)K% 15.5% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷0.973 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.041 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 108, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .284 → .266; ISO .140 → .134; BABIP .268 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AHickory Crawdads · 28 PAwOBA .309 → .274 (−35)K% 10.7% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.009 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.949 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.050 | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.962 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 26.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.154 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.050 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 102, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .274; ISO .115 → .084; BABIP .273 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .