Samir Dueñez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 465 | .211/.272/.306 | 8 | 0 | 29 | — | .177/.220/.262 |
| 2021 | 25 | A+CWS | 149 | .218/.302/.383 | 6 | 1 | 36 | — | .167/.228/.297 |
| 2022 | 26 | INTLTiburones de … | 15 | .231/.286/.231 | 0 | 0 | 40 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 199 | 187 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 294 | 337 | 380 | 716 | 86 | 344 | 14 | 6 | 322 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 149 | 142 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 92 | 268 | 13 | 5 | 266 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 149 | 135 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 304 | 352 | 393 | 744 | 89 | 345 | 13 | 7 | 326 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 396 | 361 | 96 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 266 | 315 | 332 | 648 | 66 | 289 | 8 | 6 | 288 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 59 | 54 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 339 | 370 | 709 | 93 | 357 | 20 | 8 | 321 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 235 | 213 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 34 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 300 | 363 | 479 | 842 | 178 | 331 | 14 | 8 | 371 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 285 | 265 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 40 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 272 | 316 | 419 | 734 | 147 | 297 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 31 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 355 | 370 | 725 | 111 | 368 | 26 | 13 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 566 | 523 | 132 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 116 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 252 | 306 | 402 | 707 | 149 | 293 | 20 | 7 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 91 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 356 | 267 | 622 | 40 | 262 | 12 | 16 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 328 | 287 | 81 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 68 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 282 | 362 | 463 | 826 | 181 | 332 | 21 | 11 | 361 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 24 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 476 | 781 | 238 | 286 | 29 | 8 | 327 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 62 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 262 | 397 | 659 | 172 | 220 | 11 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 248 | 224 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 285 | 335 | 619 | 121 | 251 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 183 | 165 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 260 | 285 | 545 | 79 | 242 | 20 | 7 | 241 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 34 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 242 | 219 | 461 | 259 | 18 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 149 | 133 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 302 | 383 | 685 | 165 | 267 | 28 | 10 | 309 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 273 | 20 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 199 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 236 | 266 | 293 | 560 | 58 | 298 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 149 | 144 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 248 | 306 | 554 | 83 | 271 | 16 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 149 | 139 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 252 | 283 | 324 | 606 | 72 | 296 | 19 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 396 | 370 | 95 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 257 | 289 | 316 | 606 | 59 | 281 | 12 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 59 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 271 | 304 | 575 | 71 | 319 | 24 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 235 | 221 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 267 | 308 | 425 | 733 | 158 | 309 | 20 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 285 | 271 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 240 | 270 | 347 | 616 | 107 | 278 | 18 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 566 | 533 | 113 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 146 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 254 | 321 | 575 | 109 | 266 | 26 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 328 | 300 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 85 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 233 | 288 | 373 | 661 | 140 | 287 | 26 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 24 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 174 | 318 | 492 | 182 | 209 | 42 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 248 | 231 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 224 | 268 | 492 | 95 | 218 | 28 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 183 | 170 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 215 | 253 | 468 | 71 | 217 | 26 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 149 | 138 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 228 | 297 | 525 | 130 | 232 | 38 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 199 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 236 | 266 | 293 | 560 | 58 | 296 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 199 | 187 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 294 | 337 | 380 | 716 | 86 | 344 | 14 | 6 | 322 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 283 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 240 | 269 | 322 | 590 | 81 | 290 | 18 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 298 | 277 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 267 | 310 | 357 | 667 | 90 | 305 | 13 | 6 | 296 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 396 | 370 | 95 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 257 | 289 | 316 | 606 | 59 | 289 | 12 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Lexington Legends | — | 396 | 361 | 96 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 33 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 266 | 315 | 332 | 648 | 66 | 289 | 8 | 6 | 288 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 610 | 578 | 146 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 119 | 4 | 26 | 5 | 253 | 287 | 377 | 664 | 125 | 299 | 20 | 4 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 610 | 559 | 158 | 36 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 94 | 4 | 26 | 5 | 283 | 338 | 435 | 773 | 152 | 319 | 15 | 7 | 342 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 618 | 131 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 170 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 254 | 320 | 575 | 108 | 267 | 26 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 657 | 598 | 149 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 127 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 249 | 312 | 385 | 697 | 135 | 288 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 414 | 379 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 111 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 230 | 283 | 375 | 657 | 145 | 288 | 27 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 414 | 366 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 82 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 270 | 344 | 454 | 798 | 183 | 309 | 20 | 10 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 465 | 433 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 125 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 217 | 256 | 473 | 81 | 223 | 27 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 465 | 421 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 272 | 306 | 578 | 95 | 248 | 20 | 7 | 259 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 149 | 138 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 228 | 297 | 525 | 130 | 237 | 38 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 149 | 133 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 302 | 383 | 685 | 165 | 267 | 28 | 10 | 309 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 273 | 20 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 273 | 20 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 199 | 189 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 238 | 266 | 296 | 563 | 58 | 298 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 298 | 285 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 239 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 81 | 284 | 18 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 396 | 376 | 95 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 253 | 289 | 311 | 601 | 59 | 281 | 12 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 610 | 577 | 146 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 119 | 4 | 26 | 5 | 253 | 287 | 378 | 665 | 125 | 295 | 20 | 4 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 617 | 131 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 170 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 254 | 321 | 575 | 109 | 266 | 26 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 414 | 383 | 87 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 111 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 227 | 283 | 371 | 653 | 144 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 465 | 439 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 125 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 217 | 253 | 470 | 80 | 218 | 27 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 149 | 137 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 228 | 299 | 527 | 131 | 232 | 38 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3203 | 3003 | 674 | 117 | 18 | 50 | 150 | 723 | 12 | 67 | 22 | 224 | 264 | 325 | 589 | 101 | 276 | 23 | 5 | 256 | 59 | -155 | +5 | +0 | -57 | +69 | -14.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 609 | 137 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 147 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 225 | 263 | 327 | 590 | 102 | 278 | 23 | 5 | 256 | 59 | -31 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 149 PAwOBA .301 → .222 (−78)K% 27.5% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.52% | ÷0.974 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷1.079 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 5.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 102, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .301 → .222; ISO .165 → .124; BABIP .267 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 248 PAwOBA .272 → .215 (−56)K% 21.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.97% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.19% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 16.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.23% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .272 → .215; ISO .121 → .093; BABIP .251 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 183 PAwOBA .235 → .205 (−30)K% 20.2% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.22% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.92% | ÷0.949 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 18.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 2.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.31% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .235 → .205; ISO .079 → .066; BABIP .242 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 328 PAwOBA .353 → .294 (−59)K% 20.7% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.73% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.45% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 21.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.956 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 109, 2B 123, 3B 91, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .353 → .294; ISO .181 → .150; BABIP .332 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Royals · 24 PAwOBA .332 → .221 (−111)K% 29.2% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 10.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .332 → .221; ISO .238 → .159; BABIP .286 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 566 PAwOBA .306 → .253 (−53)K% 20.5% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.49% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.36% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.11% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.091 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .306 → .253; ISO .149 → .113; BABIP .293 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALexington Legends · 285 PAwOBA .317 → .267 (−50)K% 14.0% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.177 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 21.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.113 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.015 | ×1.030 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.317 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 93, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 105, BB 135 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .317 → .267; ISO .147 → .108; BABIP .297 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 235 PAwOBA .358 → .317 (−41)K% 14.5% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.47% | ÷1.051 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.014 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷1.024 | ×0.940 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 22.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.987 | ×1.042 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.91% | ÷0.954 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 110, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .358 → .317; ISO .178 → .164; BABIP .331 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .