Jimmy Yacabonis P Syracuse Mets
Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128118vR 109
ERA4.71
FIP4.80
K%21.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -2.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.15 (50 IP)-0.1WAR
0.0-0.2-0.42628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p1420.2%
K%
p1917.7%
xwOBA vs
p280.338
CH+0.7
SL-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201523A+Frederick Keys43063293663130%1.517.3%12.2%5.2%0.9%4.023.69
201523A+Frederick Keys43063293663130%1.522.5%10.6%11.9%1.0%4.023.10
201624MIX2 levels50065267671940%1.320.0%7.9%12.1%1.5%2.643.22
201624MIX2 levels50065267671940%1.325.1%7.1%18.0%1.5%2.642.71
201725MIX2 levels55082331564020%1.515.2%12.5%2.7%0.6%2.093.71+1.3
201725MIX2 levels55082331564020%1.516.9%12.1%4.8%0.6%2.093.51+1.4
201826MIX2 levels332811649695491485%3.517.7%10.2%7.5%2.9%4.664.51+1.2
201826MIX2 levels332811649695491485%3.519.2%9.9%9.3%2.8%4.664.30+1.5
201927MIX2 levels464653085536119%1.417.0%11.9%5.1%3.6%5.955.17-0.4
201927MIX2 levels464653085536119%1.417.9%11.7%6.2%3.6%5.955.27-0.5
202028MLBSeattle Mariners2121313050%1.27.7%23.1%-15.4%0.0%3.865.37-0.0
202028MLBSeattle Mariners2121313050%1.27.7%23.1%-15.4%0.0%3.866.10-0.0
202129AAATacoma Rainiers30137151371033%1.221.6%7.0%14.6%2.3%2.173.44
202129AAATacoma Rainiers30137151371033%1.224.5%6.6%17.9%2.0%2.172.97
202230MIX3 levels41148210642452%1.228.6%11.5%17.1%2.6%4.723.54+0.6
202230MIX3 levels41148210642452%1.230.5%11.4%19.0%2.4%4.723.29+0.7
202331MIX3 levels31043179321840%1.416.5%11.5%5.0%2.8%4.574.69-0.1
202331MIX3 levels31043179321840%1.417.9%10.1%7.8%2.2%4.574.07+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBNYM48051215472370%1.121.7%10.7%11.0%3.3%4.714.80-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBNYM44046193402270%1.020.7%11.2%9.5%3.6%4.975.14-0.3
202836MLBNYM38040171342070%1.119.7%11.8%7.8%4.0%5.295.50-0.4
202735MLBNYM303133100%1.020.7%11.2%9.5%3.6%4.975.14-0.0
202836MLBNYM019.7%11.8%7.8%4.0%5.295.50
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career8013134619109742516%1.717.7%12.0%5.7%4.1%6.065.38+0.0
/ 200 IP120192009221621103716%1.717.7%12.0%5.7%4.1%6.065.38+0.0
Career3313552122484172444811%1.618.6%10.8%7.7%2.1%3.904.08+8.1
/ 200 IP12713200863160941811%1.618.6%10.8%7.7%2.1%3.904.08+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jimmy Yacabonis (OGILVIE) 4.80 21.7%10.7%3.3% 5.31 20.2%8.7%86 +0.51
Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 78
Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 34 SU 3.83 22.6%9.3%2.6%.230 4.59 19.4%12.7%78 +0.76 3.83 208 77
Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 34 SU 4.03 23.9%10.6%2.9%.280 2.88 533 77
Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 34 SU 3.89 23.8%8.6%3.1%.309 4.58 16.8%9.0%63 +0.69 2.51 251 77
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 34 SU 4.67 17.4%9.9%3.2%.304 3.59 19.8%11.6%113 -1.08 2.78 326 76
Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 76
Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 76
Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 34 SU 4.22 18.3%6.6%3.3%.282 3.92 18.6%12.0%67 -0.30 3.92 186 76
Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 75
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 34 SU 4.82 18.6%9.4%3.8%.232 2.22 187 75
Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 20.2%7.9%5.1%.289 3.03 120 74
Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 34 SU 3.84 22.1%8.5%2.8%.248 7.10 19.5%11.0%25 +3.26 2.85 141 73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 34 SW 3.72 23.7%9.9%2.5%.253 5.26 25.0%13.8%32 +1.54 3.41 212 72
George Kontos R 2026 · 5.10 FIP 34 SU 5.10 15.4%9.0%4.0%.356 3.56 290 72
Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 34 SU 4.00 18.1%12.9%1.4%.333 2.56 147 72
Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 71
Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP 33 SU 5.21 18.0%9.6%4.4%.316 3.05 176 70
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP 34 SU 5.83 17.9%14.2%4.5%.299 3.37 170 70
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 34 SU 3.77 15.4%6.0%2.2%.294 3.35 17.4%8.8%116 -0.42 3.17 225 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34620.8%11.2%1.394.97
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20