Jimmy Yacabonis — OGILVIE

Jimmy Yacabonis P Syracuse Mets

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.71

FIP4.79

K%21.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p1420.2%

p1917.7%

xwOBA vs

p280.338

CH+0.7

SL-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	43	0	63	293	66	31	3	0%	1.5	17.3%	12.2%	5.2%	1.1%	4.02	3.77	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	43	0	63	293	66	31	3	0%	1.5	22.5%	10.6%	11.9%	1.0%	4.02	3.10	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	65	267	67	19	4	0%	1.3	20.0%	7.9%	12.1%	1.6%	2.64	3.31	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	65	267	67	19	4	0%	1.3	25.1%	7.1%	18.0%	1.5%	2.64	2.71	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	82	331	56	40	2	0%	1.5	15.2%	12.5%	2.7%	0.5%	2.09	3.70	+0.8
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	82	331	56	40	2	0%	1.5	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	0.6%	2.09	3.51	+1.0
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	28	116	496	95	49	14	85%	3.5	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	2.8%	4.66	4.46	+0.6
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	28	116	496	95	49	14	85%	3.5	19.2%	9.9%	9.3%	2.8%	4.66	4.30	+0.8
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	4	65	308	55	36	11	9%	1.4	17.0%	11.9%	5.1%	3.4%	5.95	5.06	-0.4
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	4	65	308	55	36	11	9%	1.4	17.9%	11.7%	6.2%	3.6%	5.95	5.27	-0.5
2020	28	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	2	1	2	13	1	3	0	50%	1.2	7.7%	23.1%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.86	5.37	-0.0
2020	28	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	2	1	2	13	1	3	0	50%	1.2	7.7%	23.1%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.86	6.10	-0.0
2021	29	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	37	151	37	10	3	3%	1.2	21.6%	7.0%	14.6%	2.3%	2.17	3.40	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	30	1	37	151	37	10	3	3%	1.2	24.5%	6.6%	17.9%	2.0%	2.17	2.97	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	1	48	210	64	24	5	2%	1.2	28.6%	11.5%	17.1%	2.5%	4.72	3.52	+0.6
2022	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	1	48	210	64	24	5	2%	1.2	30.5%	11.4%	19.0%	2.4%	4.72	3.29	+0.7
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	16.0%	10.5%	5.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.59	-0.0
2023	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	16.0%	10.5%	5.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.59	-0.0
2023	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	43	179	32	18	4	0%	1.4	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.2%	4.57	4.07	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			78	13	132	608	107	73	25	17%	1.7	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	4.1%	6.08	5.61	-1.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	NYM	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.6%	11.0%	3.3%	4.71	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	NYM	44	0	46	193	40	21	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.1%	9.5%	3.6%	4.96	5.13	-0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	NYM	38	0	40	171	33	20	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.7%	7.9%	4.0%	5.28	5.49	-0.4
2027	35	MLB CTX	NYM	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.1%	9.5%	3.6%	4.96	5.13	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.6%	11.7%	7.9%	4.0%	5.28	5.49	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		80	13	134	619	109	74	25	16%	1.7	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	4.1%	6.06	5.38	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		120	19	200	922	162	110	37	16%	1.7	17.7%	12.0%	5.7%	4.1%	6.06	5.38	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		331	35	521	2248	417	242	48	11%	1.6	18.5%	10.8%	7.8%	2.1%	3.90	4.06	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	13	200	863	160	93	18	11%	1.6	18.5%	10.8%	7.8%	2.1%	3.90	4.06	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jimmy Yacabonis (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	21.6%	10.6%	3.3%	—	5.30	20.2%	8.8%	86	+0.51	—	—	—
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	78
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	77
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	76
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	75
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	75
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	75
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	75
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	74
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	74
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	74
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	73
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	73
Francisco Rodríguez R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SU	3.77	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.248	6.90	19.5%	11.0%	25	+3.13	2.71	141	73
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	212	71
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	71
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	70
Oscar Villarreal R 2016 · 3.90 FIP	34	SW	3.90	14.4%	7.8%	1.9%	.325	5.36	8.7%	0.1%	13	+1.46	2.53	135	70
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	20.7%	11.1%	1.39	4.96
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50