Josh VanMeter

Pos2B

B/TL/R

Born1995-03-10

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	27	AAAPIT	38	.161/.316/.323	1	0	33	—	.152/.263/.303
2022	27	MLBPIT	192	.187/.268/.292	3	4	60	-0.4
2023	28	AAA/ROKMIL	210	.209/.402/.354	6	2	77	—	.179/.321/.296
2024	29	AAAScranton/Wilk…	207	.177/.338/.293	3	5	40	—	.148/.265/.227
2025	30	No MLB games played
2026	31	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Avg EV46

xwOBA28

Barrel%27

Speed22

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	186	158	44	7	2	0	24	25	2	10	4	278	380	348	729	70	328	13	13	334	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	421	107	24	0	3	34	87	1	8	4	254	311	333	644	78	314	19	7	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	96	24	4	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	250	339	292	631	42	286	11	12	296	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	114	106	21	2	0	2	7	18	0	2	2	198	248	274	521	75	221	16	6	237	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	401	348	93	21	2	12	48	64	1	9	2	267	358	443	800	175	295	16	12	354	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	90	68	18	3	1	1	17	19	2	2	0	265	425	382	808	118	340	21	19	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	475	121	29	1	5	53	100	1	15	3	255	330	352	682	97	308	19	10	306	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	362	332	84	25	6	11	28	73	0	5	3	253	311	464	775	211	292	20	8	338	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	121	95	27	10	0	1	23	19	0	5	2	284	424	421	845	137	342	16	19	376	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	228	54	13	1	8	29	56	2	9	3	237	328	408	736	171	279	22	11	329	105	+1	+1	-3	-5	+6	0.0
2019	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	211	181	63	14	1	14	24	37	3	8	3	348	433	669	1.101	320	371	18	11	467	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	228	39	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.5
2021	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	310	274	58	17	2	6	33	83	1	3	2	212	299	354	653	142	278	27	11	294	80	-7	-0	-3	+1	+7	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	91	67	26	6	0	9	23	21	0	1	0	388	544	881	1.425	493	447	23	25	576	196	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	192	171	32	5	2	3	19	45	0	4	0	187	268	292	561	105	232	23	10	256	60	-9	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.4
2022	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	31	5	2	0	1	7	10	0	0	1	161	316	323	638	161	200	26	18	298	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	190	141	28	3	1	6	46	43	2	1	1	199	402	362	764	163	237	23	24	357	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	20	17	5	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	294	400	294	694		357	15	15	331	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	164	29	10	0	3	37	53	3	5	1	177	338	293	631	116	236	26	18	297	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	841	743	153	38	5	19	88	208	5	17	5	206	294	347	641	141	257	25	10	290	82	-18	+1	-8	-3	+18	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	186	167	37	5	2	0	15	36	2	10	4	222	293	275	569	54	278	19	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	430	88	18	0	2	25	124	1	8	4	205	250	260	510	56	280	27	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	100	21	3	0	0	9	17	0	1	1	210	275	240	515	30	259	16	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	114	108	20	2	0	2	5	22	0	2	2	185	221	259	480	74	203	19	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	401	363	84	17	2	12	33	84	1	9	2	231	297	388	686	157	259	21	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	498	112	27	1	3	31	125	1	15	3	225	272	301	573	76	283	23	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	362	340	74	20	6	10	20	91	0	5	3	218	261	400	661	182	264	25	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	121	104	28	10	0	1	14	23	0	5	2	269	356	394	750	125	321	19	12	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	228	53	13	1	7	29	56	2	9	3	232	324	390	715	158	279	22	11	323	105	+1	+1	-3	-5	+6	0.0
2019	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	211	190	57	11	1	13	15	46	3	8	3	300	361	574	934	274	319	22	7	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	225	39	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.5
2021	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	310	274	56	15	2	6	33	83	1	3	2	204	292	339	632	135	278	27	11	286	80	-7	-0	-3	+1	+7	-0.2
2021	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	91	73	23	5	0	7	17	25	0	1	0	315	444	671	1.116	356	362	27	19	458	196	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	192	171	32	5	2	3	19	45	0	4	0	187	268	292	561	105	232	23	10	257	60	-9	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.4
2022	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	33	5	2	0	1	5	12	0	0	1	152	263	303	566	152	170	32	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	190	155	27	3	1	5	32	53	2	1	1	174	323	303	626	129	224	28	17	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	20	18	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		278	20	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	176	26	8	0	2	25	64	3	5	1	148	265	227	492	80	204	31	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	186	167	37	5	2	0	15	36	2	10	4	222	293	275	569	54	280	19	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	186	158	44	7	2	0	24	25	2	10	4	278	380	348	729	70	328	13	13	334	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	430	88	18	0	2	25	124	1	8	4	205	250	260	510	56	283	27	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	421	107	24	0	3	34	87	1	8	4	254	311	333	644	78	314	19	7	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	100	21	3	0	0	9	17	0	1	1	210	275	240	515	30	253	16	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	96	24	4	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	250	339	292	631	42	286	11	12	296	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	605	549	120	22	2	16	45	124	3	13	4	219	281	353	635	135	251	20	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	605	522	132	26	3	15	72	101	3	13	4	253	347	400	747	148	285	17	12	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	498	112	27	1	3	31	125	1	15	3	225	272	301	573	76	289	23	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	475	121	29	1	5	53	100	1	15	3	255	330	352	682	97	308	19	10	306	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	444	102	30	6	11	34	113	0	10	5	230	285	399	683	169	282	23	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	483	427	111	35	6	12	51	92	0	10	5	260	339	454	793	194	304	19	11	347	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	471	418	110	24	2	21	44	102	5	17	6	263	340	481	821	218	299	22	9	353	125	+14	+1	-3	-5	+10	1.8
2019	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	471	409	117	27	2	22	53	93	5	17	6	286	375	523	898	237	320	20	11	391	125	+14	+1	-3	-5	+10	1.8
2020	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	225	39	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.5
2020	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	228	39	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.5
2021	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	401	347	78	20	2	13	50	108	1	4	2	225	324	406	730	182	284	27	12	325	106	+3	+0	-3	+1	+9	1.0
2021	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	401	341	84	23	2	15	56	104	1	4	2	246	354	457	812	211	307	26	14	358	106	+3	+0	-3	+1	+9	1.0
2022	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	230	204	37	7	2	4	24	57	0	4	1	181	268	294	562	113	228	25	10	251	56	-12	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.7
2022	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	230	202	37	7	2	4	26	55	0	4	1	183	276	297	573	114	228	24	11	263	56	-12	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.7
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	210	174	31	3	1	5	33	57	2	2	1	178	316	293	609	115	230	27	16	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	210	158	33	3	1	6	49	46	2	2	1	209	402	354	756	146	252	22	23	354	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	176	26	8	0	2	25	64	3	5	1	148	265	227	492	80	214	31	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	164	29	10	0	3	37	53	3	5	1	177	338	293	631	116	236	26	18	297	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	186	167	37	5	2	0	15	36	2	10	4	222	293	275	569	54	278	19	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	429	88	18	0	2	25	124	1	8	4	205	250	261	511	56	280	27	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	99	21	3	0	0	9	17	0	1	1	212	275	242	518	30	259	16	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	605	552	120	22	2	16	45	124	3	13	4	217	281	351	633	134	247	20	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	501	112	27	1	3	31	125	1	15	3	224	272	299	571	76	283	23	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	483	446	102	30	6	11	34	113	0	10	5	229	285	397	681	168	278	23	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	471	419	110	24	2	21	44	102	5	17	6	263	340	480	820	217	297	22	9	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	401	347	78	20	2	13	50	108	1	4	2	225	324	406	730	182	297	27	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	230	204	37	7	2	4	24	57	0	4	1	181	268	294	562	113	222	25	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	210	173	31	3	1	5	33	57	2	2	1	179	316	295	611	116	229	27	16	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	177	26	8	0	2	25	64	3	5	1	147	265	226	491	79	204	31	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	177	26	8	0	2	25	64	3	5	1	147	265	226	491	79	204	31	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	841	743	153	38	5	19	88	208	5	17	5	206	294	347	641	141	257	25	10	290	74	-18	+1	-8	-3	+18	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	118	29	4	15	68	161	4	13	4	206	294	348	643	143	256	25	10	290	74	-14	+1	-6	-2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3977	3577	771	170	18	79	342	951	20	90	32	216	288	339	627	124	269	24	9	277	74	-18	+1	-8	-3	+18	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	126	28	3	13	56	155	3	15	5	215	287	340	627	125	268	24	9	277	74	-14	+1	-6	-2	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 207 PAwOBA .294 → .228 (−66)K% 25.6% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.60%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	31.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.87%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×0.982	11.98%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.34%
Singles /BIP	14.41%	÷0.976	×0.930	×1.002	×0.982	13.50%
Doubles /BIP	9.01%	÷1.072	×0.830	×1.002	×0.982	6.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.002	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.78%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .294 → .228; ISO .116 → .086; BABIP .236 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 190 PAwOBA .351 → .288 (−63)K% 22.6% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.63%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	27.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.21%	÷0.995	×0.690	—	×0.992	16.66%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.98%
Singles /BIP	18.37%	÷0.953	×0.930	×1.002	×0.992	17.82%
Doubles /BIP	3.06%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.002	×0.992	2.60%
Triples /BIP	1.02%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.002	×0.992	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	6.12%	÷0.905	×0.700	—	×0.992	4.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .351 → .288; ISO .163 → .139; BABIP .237 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Brewers · 20 PAwOBA .324 → .229 (−94)K% 15.0% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷0.969	×1.440	—	—	22.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.00%	÷0.998	×0.620	—	×0.940	8.76%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	35.71%	÷0.991	×0.820	—	×0.940	27.79%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.952	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.923	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.898	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .324 → .229; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 38 PAwOBA .292 → .217 (−74)K% 26.3% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.32%	÷0.982	×1.200	—	—	32.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.42%	÷1.058	×0.690	—	×1.003	12.05%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.087	×0.930	—	×1.003	8.17%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷0.964	×0.830	—	×1.003	8.23%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.942	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.013	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .292 → .217; ISO .161 → .124; BABIP .200 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAReno Aces · 91 PAwOBA .567 → .458 (−109)K% 23.1% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷0.991	×1.200	—	—	27.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.27%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×1.018	18.43%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.047	×0.930	—	×1.018	21.62%
Doubles /BIP	13.04%	÷1.096	×0.830	—	×1.018	10.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.113	×0.920	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	19.57%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.018	14.56%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 123, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .567 → .458; ISO .493 → .391; BABIP .447 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAALouisville Bats · 211 PAwOBA .458 → .390 (−68)K% 17.5% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷0.960	×1.200	—	—	21.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.37%	÷1.151	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.15%
HBP% /PA	1.42%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.40%
Singles /BIP	23.61%	÷1.018	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	21.48%
Doubles /BIP	9.72%	÷1.082	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	7.43%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.048	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	9.72%	÷0.957	×0.840	—	×1.048	8.94%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .458 → .390; ISO .320 → .287; BABIP .371 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALouisville Bats · 362 PAwOBA .329 → .281 (−48)K% 20.2% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.17%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	25.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.46%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.22%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.973	×1.050	15.24%
Doubles /BIP	9.65%	÷1.018	×0.830	×0.973	×1.050	8.04%
Triples /BIP	2.32%	÷1.001	×0.970	×0.973	×1.050	2.29%
Home runs /BIP	4.25%	÷0.988	×0.840	—	×1.050	3.79%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .329 → .281; ISO .211 → .181; BABIP .292 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 121 PAwOBA .359 → .338 (−21)K% 15.7% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.70%	÷1.030	×1.220	—	—	18.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.70%	÷0.967	×0.680	—	×1.027	11.34%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷1.023	×0.920	×1.027	×1.027	19.96%
Doubles /BIP	13.16%	÷1.039	×0.910	×1.027	×1.027	12.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.880	×1.027	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷0.909	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.19%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .359 → .338; ISO .137 → .140; BABIP .342 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).