Pat Valaika
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | AAABAL | 82 | .225/.244/.312 | 2 | 0 | 11 | — | .173/.183/.222 | |
| 2021 | 28 | MLBBAL | 281 | .201/.253/.290 | 5 | 1 | 49 | -0.8 | ||
| 2022 | 29 | AAAATL | 466 | .242/.307/.368 | 10 | 2 | 43 | — | .194/.241/.284 | |
| 2023 | 30 | AAAOklahoma City… | 241 | .233/.321/.362 | 6 | 2 | 43 | — | .183/.245/.269 | |
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 362 | 331 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 101 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 272 | 323 | 417 | 740 | 145 | 366 | 28 | 7 | 324 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 127 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 370 | 416 | 575 | 991 | 205 | 430 | 18 | 6 | 413 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 512 | 469 | 110 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 118 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 235 | 282 | 360 | 642 | 126 | 292 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 19 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 263 | 474 | 737 | 211 | 400 | 42 | 0 | 320 | 90 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 115 | 110 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 230 | 327 | 557 | 118 | 265 | 24 | 2 | 242 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 474 | 431 | 116 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 95 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 269 | 317 | 450 | 767 | 181 | 315 | 20 | 6 | 329 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 84 | 76 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 325 | 303 | 628 | 39 | 308 | 14 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 195 | 182 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 286 | 533 | 819 | 275 | 291 | 27 | 4 | 343 | 104 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 50 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 327 | 422 | 749 | 156 | 333 | 22 | 8 | 326 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 133 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 214 | 246 | 460 | 90 | 189 | 23 | 7 | 208 | 23 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 147 | 139 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 253 | 432 | 685 | 216 | 216 | 20 | 5 | 297 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 28 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 71 | 37 | 108 | 50 | 25 | 0 | 59 | -74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 86 | 79 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 256 | 316 | 572 | 127 | 318 | 40 | 8 | 259 | 53 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 383 | 350 | 112 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 27 | 90 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 320 | 369 | 589 | 957 | 269 | 370 | 23 | 7 | 409 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 150 | 141 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 315 | 475 | 791 | 199 | 313 | 23 | 5 | 345 | 112 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 281 | 259 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 76 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 253 | 290 | 542 | 89 | 260 | 27 | 6 | 244 | 49 | -17 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 82 | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 244 | 312 | 556 | 87 | 286 | 27 | 2 | 249 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 466 | 421 | 102 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 96 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 307 | 368 | 675 | 126 | 287 | 21 | 8 | 300 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 241 | 210 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 321 | 362 | 683 | 129 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 306 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 864 | 802 | 177 | 34 | 1 | 30 | 47 | 235 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 266 | 378 | 643 | 157 | 272 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -24 | -1 | -1 | +11 | +19 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 362 | 338 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 139 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 210 | 250 | 320 | 570 | 109 | 315 | 38 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 131 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 290 | 321 | 412 | 733 | 122 | 352 | 25 | 3 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 512 | 476 | 97 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 148 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 204 | 242 | 300 | 542 | 97 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 19 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 263 | 474 | 737 | 211 | 400 | 42 | 0 | 301 | 90 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 115 | 111 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 162 | 177 | 261 | 438 | 99 | 217 | 33 | 1 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 474 | 439 | 103 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 113 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 235 | 271 | 371 | 642 | 137 | 283 | 24 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 195 | 182 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 275 | 505 | 781 | 258 | 291 | 27 | 4 | 322 | 104 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 50 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 286 | 391 | 677 | 152 | 289 | 30 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 133 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 214 | 246 | 460 | 90 | 189 | 23 | 7 | 202 | 23 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 147 | 141 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 185 | 298 | 483 | 142 | 176 | 27 | 3 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 86 | 79 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 256 | 316 | 572 | 127 | 318 | 40 | 8 | 246 | 53 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 383 | 357 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 121 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 276 | 406 | 682 | 171 | 299 | 32 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 150 | 141 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 270 | 309 | 447 | 756 | 177 | 313 | 23 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 281 | 259 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 76 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 253 | 290 | 542 | 89 | 260 | 27 | 6 | 240 | 49 | -17 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 82 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 183 | 222 | 405 | 49 | 248 | 33 | 1 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 466 | 433 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 115 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 241 | 284 | 525 | 90 | 239 | 25 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 241 | 219 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 245 | 269 | 514 | 87 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 468 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 174 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 231 | 270 | 344 | 614 | 113 | 341 | 34 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 458 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 299 | 349 | 461 | 810 | 162 | 386 | 25 | 7 | 349 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 512 | 476 | 97 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 148 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 204 | 242 | 300 | 542 | 97 | 280 | 29 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 512 | 469 | 110 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 118 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 235 | 282 | 360 | 642 | 126 | 292 | 23 | 6 | 281 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 692 | 648 | 142 | 38 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 181 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 219 | 251 | 346 | 597 | 127 | 281 | 26 | 3 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 692 | 636 | 164 | 45 | 4 | 15 | 36 | 143 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 258 | 302 | 412 | 714 | 154 | 307 | 21 | 5 | 309 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 245 | 228 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 269 | 456 | 725 | 219 | 282 | 28 | 4 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 245 | 227 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 294 | 511 | 805 | 251 | 300 | 26 | 4 | 339 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 308 | 289 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 203 | 280 | 484 | 121 | 184 | 25 | 5 | 206 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 308 | 288 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 220 | 316 | 536 | 142 | 189 | 22 | 5 | 237 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 436 | 97 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 155 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 268 | 381 | 649 | 158 | 303 | 33 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 469 | 429 | 127 | 31 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 124 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 296 | 348 | 538 | 886 | 242 | 362 | 26 | 7 | 381 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 150 | 141 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 270 | 309 | 447 | 756 | 177 | 310 | 23 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 150 | 141 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 315 | 475 | 791 | 199 | 313 | 23 | 5 | 345 | 112 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 340 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 103 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 237 | 274 | 510 | 79 | 256 | 28 | 5 | 228 | 40 | -26 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +8 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 339 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 251 | 295 | 546 | 88 | 266 | 27 | 5 | 245 | 40 | -26 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +8 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 466 | 433 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 115 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 241 | 284 | 525 | 90 | 243 | 25 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 466 | 421 | 102 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 96 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 307 | 368 | 675 | 126 | 287 | 21 | 8 | 300 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 241 | 219 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 245 | 269 | 514 | 87 | 231 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 241 | 210 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 321 | 362 | 683 | 129 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 306 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 476 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 174 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 227 | 270 | 338 | 608 | 111 | 326 | 34 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 512 | 483 | 97 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 148 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 201 | 242 | 296 | 538 | 95 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 692 | 659 | 142 | 38 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 181 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 215 | 251 | 340 | 591 | 124 | 274 | 26 | 3 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 245 | 233 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 269 | 446 | 715 | 215 | 290 | 28 | 4 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 308 | 289 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 203 | 280 | 484 | 121 | 182 | 25 | 5 | 206 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 439 | 97 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 155 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 268 | 378 | 646 | 157 | 303 | 33 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 150 | 141 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 270 | 309 | 447 | 756 | 177 | 313 | 23 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 341 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 103 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 237 | 273 | 509 | 79 | 257 | 28 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 466 | 436 | 84 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 115 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 241 | 282 | 523 | 89 | 239 | 25 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 241 | 221 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 245 | 267 | 512 | 86 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 864 | 802 | 177 | 34 | 1 | 30 | 47 | 235 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 266 | 378 | 643 | 157 | 272 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 57 | -24 | -1 | -1 | +11 | +19 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 23 | 35 | 177 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 267 | 383 | 650 | 161 | 273 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 57 | -18 | -1 | -1 | +8 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3952 | 3678 | 772 | 156 | 17 | 85 | 189 | 1117 | 13 | 60 | 32 | 210 | 251 | 331 | 582 | 121 | 273 | 28 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -24 | -1 | -1 | +11 | +19 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 184 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 212 | 252 | 334 | 586 | 122 | 276 | 28 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -18 | -1 | -1 | +8 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 241 PAwOBA .301 → .232 (−69)K% 22.0% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.99% | ÷1.003 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.29% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 18.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.82% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .232; ISO .129 → .092; BABIP .277 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 466 PAwOBA .296 → .232 (−64)K% 20.6% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.60% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.15% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .296 → .232; ISO .126 → .093; BABIP .287 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAANorfolk Tides · 82 PAwOBA .242 → .185 (−57)K% 26.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.44% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 1.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.86% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 1.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .242 → .185; ISO .087 → .057; BABIP .286 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 383 PAwOBA .402 → .291 (−111)K% 23.5% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷0.957 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷0.974 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 21.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.46% | ÷1.136 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.83% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .402 → .291; ISO .269 → .174; BABIP .370 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 147 PAwOBA .290 → .209 (−81)K% 20.4% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.60% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 13.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.960 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 2.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.162 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.02% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .290 → .209; ISO .216 → .144; BABIP .216 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 50 PAwOBA .317 → .247 (−70)K% 22.0% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.019 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 21.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 2.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .247; ISO .156 → .107; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHartford Yard Goats · 474 PAwOBA .322 → .274 (−48)K% 20.0% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.04% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.91% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.94% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 18.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷1.021 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.87% | ÷1.094 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .274; ISO .181 → .143; BABIP .315 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 115 PAwOBA .240 → .176 (−63)K% 24.3% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.74% | ÷1.083 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 1.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.85% | ÷1.032 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 13.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .240 → .176; ISO .118 → .079; BABIP .265 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .