Cody Thomas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAAOAK | 245 | .289/.365/.665 | 18 | 0 | 99 | — | .211/.266/.485 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA/ROKOAK | 59 | .196/.281/.333 | 1 | 0 | 22 | — | .170/.228/.282 | |
| 2022 | 27 | MLBOakland Athle… | 32 | .267/.312/.267 | 0 | 0 | 70 | -0.2 | ||
| 2023 | 28 | AAAOAK | 477 | .301/.364/.562 | 23 | 5 | 98 | — | .249/.297/.434 | |
| 2023 | 28 | MLBOakland Athle… | 46 | .238/.304/.381 | 1 | 0 | 96 | -0.5 | ||
| 2024 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 267 | 232 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 87 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 297 | 385 | 621 | 1.006 | 323 | 391 | 33 | 8 | 430 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 512 | 460 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 150 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 222 | 295 | 409 | 704 | 187 | 279 | 29 | 8 | 311 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 558 | 499 | 142 | 35 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 163 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 285 | 357 | 497 | 854 | 212 | 384 | 29 | 9 | 374 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 74 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 288 | 194 | 481 | 32 | 250 | 31 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 532 | 474 | 112 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 46 | 144 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 312 | 443 | 755 | 207 | 284 | 27 | 9 | 330 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 245 | 218 | 63 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 365 | 665 | 1.030 | 376 | 366 | 32 | 10 | 436 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 267 | 579 | 444 | 38 | 6 | 270 | 70 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 263 | 371 | 635 | 171 | 273 | 33 | 5 | 276 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 250 | 566 | 62 | 231 | 20 | 15 | 259 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 46 | 42 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 143 | 375 | 37 | 9 | 308 | 96 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 477 | 429 | 129 | 27 | 8 | 23 | 37 | 97 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 301 | 364 | 562 | 926 | 261 | 338 | 20 | 8 | 398 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 78 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 83 | 405 | 37 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +2 | -0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 267 | 240 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 125 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 183 | 260 | 375 | 635 | 192 | 291 | 47 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 512 | 476 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 206 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 162 | 215 | 288 | 502 | 126 | 242 | 40 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 558 | 516 | 102 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 228 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 254 | 339 | 593 | 141 | 311 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 532 | 490 | 91 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 184 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 186 | 241 | 347 | 588 | 161 | 242 | 35 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 245 | 227 | 48 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 266 | 485 | 751 | 273 | 288 | 38 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 267 | 579 | 444 | 38 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 39 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 306 | 516 | 139 | 226 | 38 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 59 | 171 | 30 | 10 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 46 | 42 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 143 | 375 | 37 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 477 | 442 | 110 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 114 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 249 | 297 | 434 | 731 | 186 | 293 | 24 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 267 | 240 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 125 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 183 | 260 | 375 | 635 | 192 | 305 | 47 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 267 | 232 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 87 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 297 | 385 | 621 | 1.006 | 323 | 391 | 33 | 8 | 430 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 512 | 476 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 206 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 162 | 215 | 288 | 502 | 126 | 242 | 40 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 512 | 460 | 102 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 150 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 222 | 295 | 409 | 704 | 187 | 279 | 29 | 8 | 311 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 581 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 258 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 258 | 339 | 597 | 141 | 318 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 632 | 561 | 152 | 37 | 7 | 19 | 55 | 186 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 349 | 463 | 812 | 193 | 369 | 29 | 9 | 358 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 532 | 490 | 91 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 184 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 186 | 241 | 347 | 588 | 161 | 246 | 35 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 532 | 474 | 112 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 46 | 144 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 312 | 443 | 755 | 207 | 284 | 27 | 9 | 330 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 245 | 227 | 48 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 266 | 485 | 751 | 273 | 289 | 38 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 245 | 218 | 63 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 365 | 665 | 1.030 | 376 | 366 | 32 | 10 | 436 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 91 | 83 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 247 | 265 | 512 | 72 | 294 | 36 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 91 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 292 | 309 | 601 | 86 | 321 | 32 | 8 | 270 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 484 | 120 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 131 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 248 | 297 | 430 | 727 | 182 | 302 | 25 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 523 | 471 | 139 | 30 | 8 | 24 | 41 | 114 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 295 | 359 | 546 | 905 | 251 | 340 | 22 | 8 | 390 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 267 | 240 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 125 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 183 | 260 | 375 | 635 | 192 | 291 | 47 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 512 | 475 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 206 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 162 | 215 | 288 | 503 | 126 | 242 | 40 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 632 | 580 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 258 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 258 | 340 | 598 | 141 | 311 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 532 | 491 | 91 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 184 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 185 | 241 | 346 | 588 | 161 | 242 | 35 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 245 | 226 | 48 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 266 | 487 | 753 | 274 | 288 | 38 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 91 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 247 | 259 | 506 | 71 | 291 | 36 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 484 | 120 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 131 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 248 | 297 | 430 | 727 | 182 | 300 | 25 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 78 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 83 | 405 | 37 | 8 | 292 | 66 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +2 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 150 | 25 | 0 | 8 | 50 | 242 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 332 | 639 | 82 | 406 | 37 | 8 | 292 | 66 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -55 | +14 | -5.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2802 | 2581 | 511 | 97 | 25 | 92 | 154 | 1031 | 43 | 32 | 15 | 198 | 255 | 362 | 617 | 164 | 283 | 37 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +2 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 119 | 23 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 239 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 199 | 256 | 362 | 618 | 164 | 284 | 37 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -55 | +14 | -5.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 477 PAwOBA .391 → .313 (−78)K% 20.3% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.34% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 20.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×0.982 | 2.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.93% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .391 → .313; ISO .261 → .191; BABIP .338 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 39 PAwOBA .276 → .210 (−66)K% 33.3% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 12.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 10.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .210; ISO .171 → .116; BABIP .273 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Athletics · 20 PAwOBA .267 → .183 (−84)K% 20.0% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 8.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 12.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .183; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .231 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 245 PAwOBA .425 → .314 (−111)K% 31.8% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.84% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.156 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 11.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 11.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 2.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.86% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 9.59% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 131, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 99, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .425 → .314; ISO .376 → .281; BABIP .366 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATulsa Drillers · 532 PAwOBA .325 → .256 (−68)K% 27.1% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.07% | ÷0.954 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 17.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.048 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.97% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 6.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .325 → .256; ISO .207 → .170; BABIP .284 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 558 PAwOBA .365 → .257 (−108)K% 29.2% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.21% | ÷0.957 | ×1.340 | — | — | 40.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.066 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.11% | ÷1.025 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.076 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 7.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 4.86% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .365 → .257; ISO .212 → .146; BABIP .384 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AGreat Lakes Loons · 512 PAwOBA .304 → .224 (−80)K% 29.3% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.30% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×0.990 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 103, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .304 → .224; ISO .187 → .135; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKOgden Raptors · 267 PAwOBA .421 → .265 (−156)K% 32.6% → 46.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.49% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×0.975 | 19.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×0.975 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×0.975 | 1.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 9.58% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .421 → .265; ISO .323 → .195; BABIP .391 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .