Chance Sisco

PosC

B/TL/R

Born1995-02-24

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	26	AAANYM	174	.200/.310/.393	6	0	53	—	.160/.247/.301
2021	26	MLBNYM	83	.149/.241/.189	0	0	32	-0.2
2022	27	AAAMIN	37	.194/.306/.355	1	0	45	—	.182/.250/.333
2024	29	AAASTL	26	.217/.308/.348	1	0	29	—	.174/.269/.304
2025	30	No MLB games played
2026	31	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

Barrel%57

xwOBA50

Avg EV36

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	118	97	36	4	1	1	17	21	3	1	1	371	479	464	943	93	461	18	14	424	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	426	145	27	2	5	42	79	7	1	2	340	408	448	857	108	406	17	9	383	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	84	74	19	4	0	2	9	14	0	0	1	257	337	392	729	135	293	17	11	325	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	300	263	81	12	3	4	33	41	2	8	1	308	389	422	811	114	350	14	11	364	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	61	55	14	4	0	0	6	13	0	1	0	255	328	327	655	73	333	21	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	18	16	4	0	0	2	2	5	0	0	0	250	333	625	958	375	222	28	11	409	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	479	410	131	28	1	4	59	83	4	2	2	320	410	422	832	102	387	17	12	373	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	22	18	6	2	0	2	3	7	1	0	0	333	455	778	1.232	444	444	32	14	517	224	+3	+0	-0	+7	+0	1.1
2017	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	388	344	92	23	0	7	32	99	8	2	2	267	344	395	739	128	351	26	8	331	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	184	160	29	8	0	2	13	66	11	1	0	181	288	269	557	87	293	36	7	265	64	-8	+0	-0	+6	+4	0.2
2018	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	151	128	31	5	0	3	16	36	5	0	0	242	349	352	701	109	308	24	11	320	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	198	167	35	7	0	8	22	61	9	0	1	210	333	395	729	186	276	31	11	332	105	+1	-0	-9	+7	+4	0.4
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	196	168	49	10	0	10	20	44	7	0	0	292	390	530	920	238	339	22	10	403	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	343	114	+2	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.0
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	83	74	11	3	0	0	7	21	2	0	0	149	241	189	430	41	208	25	8	210	32	-7	+0	-2	+5	+2	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	174	150	30	9	1	6	19	43	5	0	0	200	310	393	704	193	238	25	11	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	37	31	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	194	306	355	660	161	238	27	14	293	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	5	0	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	217	308	348	656	130	364	42	4	303	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	608	517	102	24	0	16	62	196	29	1	1	197	317	337	654	139	282	32	10	304	92	-6	-0	-17	+27	+13	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	118	103	31	3	1	1	11	30	3	1	1	301	385	379	763	78	397	25	9	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	441	137	25	2	4	27	108	7	1	2	311	360	404	764	93	397	23	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	84	76	18	4	0	1	7	17	0	0	1	237	301	329	630	92	289	20	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	300	274	75	10	3	3	22	59	2	8	1	274	332	365	697	91	331	20	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	18	17	4	0	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	235	278	588	866	353	218	33	6	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	479	430	136	25	1	3	39	103	4	2	2	316	378	400	778	84	397	22	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	22	18	6	2	0	2	3	7	1	0	0	333	455	778	1.232	444	444	32	14	500	224	+3	+0	-0	+7	+0	1.1
2017	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	388	352	85	19	0	7	24	120	8	2	2	241	305	355	660	114	335	31	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	184	160	29	8	0	2	13	66	11	1	0	181	288	269	557	87	293	36	7	263	64	-8	+0	-0	+6	+4	0.2
2018	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	151	133	30	4	0	3	11	43	5	0	0	226	309	323	632	98	294	28	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	198	167	34	7	0	7	22	61	9	0	1	204	328	371	700	168	276	31	11	324	105	+1	-0	-9	+7	+4	0.4
2019	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	196	175	44	8	0	10	13	54	7	0	0	251	328	469	797	217	298	28	7	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	336	114	+2	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.0
2021	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	83	74	11	3	0	0	7	21	2	0	0	149	241	189	430	41	208	25	8	215	32	-7	+0	-2	+5	+2	-0.2
2021	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	174	156	25	8	1	4	13	53	5	0	0	160	247	301	548	141	217	30	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	37	33	6	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	182	250	333	583	152	205	32	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	14	2	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	326	54	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	118	103	31	3	1	1	11	30	3	1	1	301	385	379	763	78	411	25	9	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	—	118	97	36	4	1	1	17	21	3	1	1	371	479	464	943	93	461	18	14	424	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	441	137	25	2	4	27	108	7	1	2	311	360	404	764	93	401	23	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	426	145	27	2	5	42	79	7	1	2	340	408	448	857	108	406	17	9	383	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	445	407	108	16	3	5	33	89	2	9	2	265	324	356	680	91	327	20	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	445	392	114	20	3	6	48	68	2	9	2	291	371	403	774	112	338	15	11	348	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	497	447	140	25	1	5	40	109	4	2	2	313	375	407	782	94	399	22	8	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	497	426	135	28	1	6	61	88	4	2	2	317	407	430	837	113	383	18	12	374	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	370	91	21	0	9	27	127	9	2	2	246	313	376	688	130	345	31	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	410	362	98	25	0	9	35	106	9	2	2	271	350	414	764	144	355	26	9	341	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	335	293	59	12	0	5	24	109	16	1	0	201	297	294	591	92	298	33	7	272	70	-12	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.1
2018	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	335	288	60	13	0	5	29	102	16	1	0	208	315	306	621	97	301	30	9	290	70	-12	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.1
2019	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	394	342	77	15	0	17	35	115	16	0	1	225	326	418	744	193	284	29	9	331	110	+5	-0	-9	+7	+9	1.2
2019	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	394	335	84	17	0	18	42	105	16	0	1	251	361	463	824	212	310	27	11	367	110	+5	-0	-9	+7	+9	1.2
2020	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	336	114	+2	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	343	114	+2	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	257	230	37	11	1	4	20	74	7	0	0	161	249	270	519	109	217	29	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	257	224	41	12	1	6	26	64	7	0	0	183	288	326	614	143	227	25	10	283	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	37	33	6	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	182	250	333	583	152	238	32	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	37	31	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	194	306	355	660	161	238	27	14	293	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	14	2	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	375	54	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	5	0	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	217	308	348	656	130	364	42	4	303	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	118	103	31	3	1	1	11	30	3	1	1	301	385	379	763	78	397	25	9	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	441	137	25	2	4	27	108	7	1	2	311	360	404	764	93	397	23	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	445	407	108	16	3	5	33	89	2	9	2	265	324	356	680	91	322	20	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	497	450	140	25	1	5	40	109	4	2	2	311	375	404	779	93	391	22	8	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	371	91	21	0	9	27	127	9	2	2	245	313	375	687	129	341	31	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	335	292	59	12	0	5	24	109	16	1	0	202	297	295	592	92	294	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	394	340	77	15	0	17	35	115	16	0	1	226	326	421	746	194	287	29	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	97	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	216	364	381	745	165	321	34	14	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	257	228	37	11	1	4	20	74	7	0	0	162	249	272	521	110	214	29	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	37	34	6	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	176	250	324	574	147	205	32	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	14	2	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	326	54	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	14	2	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	326	54	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	608	517	102	24	0	16	62	196	29	1	1	197	317	337	654	139	282	32	10	304	96	-6	-0	-17	+27	+13	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	553	109	26	0	17	66	210	31	1	1	197	317	336	653	139	282	32	10	304	96	-6	-0	-18	+29	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3118	2787	711	134	8	56	238	828	72	16	10	255	330	369	699	114	341	27	8	310	96	-6	-0	-17	+27	+13	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	149	28	2	12	50	173	15	3	2	256	331	373	705	117	343	27	8	310	96	-6	-0	-18	+29	+14	1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 26 PAwOBA .295 → .211 (−84)K% 42.3% → 53.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	42.31%	÷0.953	×1.200	—	—	53.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.85%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.57%
HBP% /PA	7.69%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	7.10%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷0.991	×0.930	—	×0.982	30.72%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.920	×0.830	—	×0.982	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×0.982	5.61%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .211; ISO .130 → .071; BABIP .364 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAASt. Paul Saints · 37 PAwOBA .294 → .234 (−60)K% 27.0% → 33.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.03%	÷0.981	×1.200	—	—	33.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.51%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.003	9.24%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.003	13.32%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.079	×0.830	—	×1.003	7.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷0.881	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.79%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .294 → .234; ISO .161 → .129; BABIP .238 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 174 PAwOBA .307 → .246 (−61)K% 24.7% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.71%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	30.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.34%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.22%
HBP% /PA	2.87%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.75%
Singles /BIP	13.08%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.002	×1.018	12.02%
Doubles /BIP	8.41%	÷0.897	×0.830	×1.002	×1.018	7.94%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷0.986	×0.920	×1.002	×1.018	0.89%
Home runs /BIP	5.61%	÷1.039	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 79, 3B 97, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .307 → .246; ISO .193 → .146; BABIP .238 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANorfolk Tides · 196 PAwOBA .394 → .339 (−55)K% 22.4% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.45%	÷0.973	×1.200	—	—	27.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.20%	÷1.103	×0.690	—	×1.048	6.69%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	3.52%
Singles /BIP	23.39%	÷1.033	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	20.97%
Doubles /BIP	8.06%	÷0.990	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	6.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.954	×0.970	×0.950	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.06%	÷0.889	×0.840	—	×1.048	7.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 95, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .394 → .339; ISO .238 → .223; BABIP .339 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANorfolk Tides · 151 PAwOBA .314 → .282 (−31)K% 23.8% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.84%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	28.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.93%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.22%
HBP% /PA	3.31%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	3.27%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.984	×0.930	×0.996	×1.050	24.71%
Doubles /BIP	5.43%	÷1.063	×0.830	×0.996	×1.050	4.44%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.996	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.26%	÷0.964	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.98%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .314 → .282; ISO .109 → .097; BABIP .308 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAANorfolk Tides · 388 PAwOBA .326 → .292 (−34)K% 25.5% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.52%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	30.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.25%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.30%
HBP% /PA	2.06%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.04%
Singles /BIP	25.31%	÷0.989	×0.930	×0.998	×1.050	24.92%
Doubles /BIP	9.39%	÷1.001	×0.830	×0.998	×1.050	8.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.998	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷0.866	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.91%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .326 → .292; ISO .128 → .116; BABIP .351 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AABowie Baysox · 479 PAwOBA .366 → .346 (−21)K% 17.3% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.33%	÷0.984	×1.220	—	—	21.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.90%	÷1.084	×0.700	—	×1.050	8.07%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	0.75%
Singles /BIP	29.97%	÷0.992	×0.970	×1.039	×1.050	31.97%
Doubles /BIP	8.56%	÷1.053	×0.860	×1.039	×1.050	7.63%
Triples /BIP	0.31%	÷0.900	×0.950	×1.039	×1.050	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	1.22%	÷1.057	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.95%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 97, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .366 → .346; ISO .102 → .091; BABIP .387 → .397. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 18 PAwOBA .397 → .384 (−13)K% 27.8% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷0.983	×1.200	—	—	33.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.046	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.70%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.027	×0.930	—	×1.050	17.29%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.021	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	18.18%	÷0.776	×0.840	—	×1.050	20.66%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 105, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .397 → .384; ISO .375 → .407; BABIP .222 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).