Joseph Odom
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 28 | MLBSEA | 44 | .128/.209/.128 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAATB | 105 | .217/.308/.359 | 3 | 0 | 46 | — | .179/.250/.274 | |
| 2022 | 30 | AAASEA | 238 | .231/.328/.447 | 10 | 2 | 55 | — | .183/.248/.329 | |
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 87 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 318 | 257 | 574 | 41 | 302 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 220 | 185 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 316 | 341 | 657 | 135 | 241 | 22 | 13 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 243 | 216 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 291 | 403 | 694 | 181 | 255 | 22 | 8 | 301 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 30 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 167 | 300 | 33 | 222 | 40 | 0 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 143 | 135 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 296 | 333 | 629 | 74 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 213 | 192 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 352 | 500 | 852 | 208 | 329 | 19 | 7 | 370 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 62 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 333 | 404 | 737 | 105 | 400 | 26 | 5 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 21 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 143 | 286 | 273 | 48 | 0 | 129 | -54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 266 | 64 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 301 | 361 | 662 | 120 | 312 | 25 | 8 | 298 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 69 | 62 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 377 | 484 | 861 | 177 | 415 | 28 | 10 | 382 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 283 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 285 | 307 | 592 | 88 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 271 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 166 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 105 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 359 | 666 | 141 | 354 | 40 | 9 | 301 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 238 | 208 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 328 | 447 | 775 | 216 | 369 | 40 | 12 | 344 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 166 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 87 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 224 | 179 | 403 | 26 | 234 | 38 | 7 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 220 | 194 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 260 | 289 | 549 | 108 | 232 | 32 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 243 | 224 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 228 | 326 | 554 | 143 | 221 | 30 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 143 | 137 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 261 | 299 | 560 | 66 | 290 | 22 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 213 | 198 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 286 | 389 | 675 | 146 | 299 | 26 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 62 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 283 | 373 | 656 | 102 | 361 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 95 | 95 | 190 | 248 | 62 | 0 | 88 | -54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 290 | 274 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 246 | 303 | 549 | 99 | 284 | 30 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 69 | 64 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 290 | 344 | 634 | 109 | 363 | 36 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 310 | 291 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 105 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 230 | 261 | 491 | 79 | 268 | 34 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 167 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 105 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 274 | 524 | 95 | 334 | 47 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 238 | 219 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 248 | 329 | 577 | 146 | 332 | 47 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 87 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 224 | 179 | 403 | 26 | 255 | 38 | 7 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 87 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 318 | 257 | 574 | 41 | 302 | 26 | 11 | 268 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 220 | 194 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 180 | 260 | 289 | 549 | 108 | 248 | 32 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 220 | 185 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 205 | 316 | 341 | 657 | 135 | 241 | 22 | 13 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 273 | 252 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 221 | 306 | 527 | 131 | 228 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 273 | 246 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 273 | 374 | 647 | 163 | 251 | 24 | 7 | 283 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 335 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 276 | 352 | 628 | 113 | 302 | 24 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 327 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 330 | 431 | 761 | 153 | 323 | 19 | 6 | 335 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 62 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 283 | 373 | 656 | 102 | 395 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 62 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 333 | 404 | 737 | 105 | 400 | 26 | 5 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 295 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 235 | 288 | 524 | 92 | 281 | 32 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 311 | 287 | 67 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 290 | 345 | 635 | 111 | 310 | 27 | 7 | 286 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 355 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 130 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 189 | 238 | 270 | 509 | 82 | 282 | 34 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 345 | 81 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 108 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 302 | 339 | 641 | 104 | 325 | 28 | 8 | 291 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 167 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 166 | -1 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 105 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 274 | 524 | 95 | 333 | 47 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 105 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 359 | 666 | 141 | 354 | 40 | 9 | 301 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 238 | 219 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 248 | 329 | 577 | 146 | 337 | 47 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 238 | 208 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 328 | 447 | 775 | 216 | 369 | 40 | 12 | 344 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 87 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 224 | 175 | 399 | 25 | 234 | 38 | 7 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 220 | 197 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 178 | 260 | 284 | 545 | 107 | 232 | 32 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 273 | 256 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 221 | 301 | 522 | 129 | 221 | 31 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 336 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 276 | 351 | 627 | 113 | 295 | 24 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 62 | 61 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 283 | 361 | 644 | 98 | 361 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 293 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 235 | 290 | 526 | 92 | 282 | 32 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 353 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 130 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 238 | 272 | 510 | 82 | 285 | 34 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 44 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 209 | 125 | 334 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 105 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 274 | 524 | 95 | 334 | 47 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 238 | 217 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 248 | 332 | 580 | 147 | 332 | 47 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 166 | 48 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 295 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 209 | 128 | 338 | 263 | 45 | 9 | 166 | 48 | -78 | +0 | -6 | +12 | +14 | -6.0 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2075 | 1921 | 374 | 86 | 3 | 35 | 117 | 705 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 195 | 246 | 297 | 543 | 103 | 284 | 34 | 6 | 238 | 48 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 117 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 221 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 246 | 297 | 543 | 103 | 283 | 34 | 6 | 238 | 48 | -78 | +0 | -6 | +12 | +14 | -6.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAATacoma Rainiers · 238 PAwOBA .333 → .250 (−84)K% 39.9% → 47.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.92% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.35% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.972 | 18.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.27% | ÷0.839 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.972 | 12.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.85% | ÷1.144 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 5.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 68, 3B 80, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .333 → .250; ISO .216 → .148; BABIP .369 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAADurham Bulls · 105 PAwOBA .296 → .236 (−60)K% 40.0% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.029 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 26.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.90% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 89, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .236; ISO .141 → .093; BABIP .354 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAArkansas Travelers · 310 PAwOBA .264 → .217 (−47)K% 28.7% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.71% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.74% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.916 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.06% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 84, K 106, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .264 → .217; ISO .088 → .078; BABIP .305 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAATacoma Rainiers · 69 PAwOBA .371 → .284 (−88)K% 27.5% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.54% | ÷0.990 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 25.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 9.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.049 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 115, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .371 → .284; ISO .177 → .126; BABIP .415 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAArkansas Travelers · 290 PAwOBA .291 → .243 (−47)K% 25.2% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.17% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.097 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷0.920 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 85, K 104, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .291 → .243; ISO .120 → .104; BABIP .312 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAATacoma Rainiers · 21 PAwOBA .126 → .088 (−37)K% 47.6% → 59.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 47.62% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 59.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.103 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 24.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 77, 3B 80, K 106, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .126 → .088; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMississippi Braves · 62 PAwOBA .304 → .267 (−37)K% 25.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 2.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.71% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 28.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .304 → .267; ISO .105 → .095; BABIP .400 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 213 PAwOBA .361 → .289 (−73)K% 18.8% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷1.030 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.57% | ÷0.970 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.987 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.362 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.44% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .361 → .289; ISO .208 → .147; BABIP .329 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).