Roy Morales
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 28 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 145 | .291/.411/.342 | 1 | 1 | 120 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 162 | .288/.405/.341 | 0 | 0 | 118 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 131 | .239/.344/.292 | 0 | 0 | 90 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 89 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 224 | 314 | 263 | 577 | 39 | 224 | 2 | 7 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 51 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 294 | 227 | 521 | 45 | 205 | 10 | 6 | 256 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 205 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 376 | 341 | 718 | 54 | 319 | 10 | 9 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 119 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 288 | 373 | 356 | 729 | 67 | 315 | 10 | 11 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 169 | 145 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 337 | 297 | 634 | 41 | 291 | 12 | 8 | 286 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 36 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 364 | 417 | 364 | 780 | 429 | 14 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 46 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 405 | 522 | 541 | 1.062 | 135 | 438 | 9 | 15 | 475 | 208 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 375 | 333 | 102 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 306 | 381 | 363 | 744 | 57 | 352 | 13 | 9 | 340 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 108 | 87 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 299 | 430 | 299 | 729 | 325 | 7 | 18 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 194 | 163 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 301 | 409 | 417 | 827 | 117 | 331 | 12 | 13 | 375 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 24 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 417 | 381 | 798 | 48 | 368 | 8 | 12 | 367 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 174 | 145 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 386 | 338 | 724 | 62 | 286 | 7 | 10 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 145 | 117 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 291 | 411 | 342 | 753 | 51 | 303 | 7 | 10 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 162 | 132 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 405 | 341 | 746 | 53 | 317 | 9 | 12 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 131 | 113 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 344 | 292 | 636 | 53 | 265 | 8 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 89 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 267 | 218 | 485 | 26 | 190 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 51 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 275 | 222 | 497 | 44 | 193 | 14 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 212 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 342 | 321 | 663 | 47 | 305 | 14 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 119 | 107 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 299 | 613 | 56 | 277 | 14 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 169 | 149 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 248 | 313 | 295 | 608 | 47 | 280 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 375 | 343 | 98 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 58 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 286 | 343 | 335 | 678 | 50 | 334 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 194 | 173 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 277 | 352 | 364 | 716 | 87 | 314 | 15 | 8 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 24 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 318 | 652 | 45 | 322 | 12 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 89 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 267 | 218 | 485 | 26 | 195 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 89 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 224 | 314 | 263 | 577 | 39 | 224 | 2 | 7 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 51 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 275 | 222 | 497 | 44 | 211 | 14 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 51 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 294 | 227 | 521 | 45 | 205 | 10 | 6 | 256 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 212 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 342 | 321 | 663 | 47 | 318 | 14 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 205 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 376 | 341 | 718 | 54 | 319 | 10 | 9 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 119 | 107 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 299 | 613 | 56 | 278 | 14 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 119 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 288 | 373 | 356 | 729 | 67 | 315 | 10 | 11 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 169 | 149 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 248 | 313 | 295 | 608 | 47 | 303 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 169 | 145 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 337 | 297 | 634 | 41 | 291 | 12 | 8 | 286 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL MLE | Atenienses de Manati | — | 36 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 364 | 417 | 364 | 780 | 429 | 14 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL RAW | Atenienses de Manati | — | 36 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 364 | 417 | 364 | 780 | 429 | 14 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Atenienses de Manati | — | 46 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 405 | 522 | 541 | 1.062 | 135 | 438 | 9 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Atenienses de Manati | — | 46 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 405 | 522 | 541 | 1.062 | 135 | 438 | 9 | 15 | 475 | 208 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 442 | 125 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 74 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 283 | 340 | 328 | 668 | 45 | 335 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 420 | 128 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 55 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 305 | 392 | 350 | 742 | 45 | 346 | 11 | 11 | 342 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 392 | 343 | 97 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 57 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 283 | 366 | 370 | 736 | 87 | 320 | 15 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 392 | 329 | 96 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 292 | 399 | 380 | 779 | 88 | 312 | 10 | 12 | 356 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 145 | 117 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 291 | 411 | 342 | 753 | 51 | 303 | 7 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 145 | 117 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 291 | 411 | 342 | 753 | 51 | 303 | 7 | 10 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 162 | 132 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 405 | 341 | 746 | 53 | 317 | 9 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 162 | 132 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 405 | 341 | 746 | 53 | 317 | 9 | 12 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 131 | 113 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 344 | 292 | 636 | 53 | 265 | 8 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 131 | 113 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 344 | 292 | 636 | 53 | 265 | 8 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 89 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 267 | 210 | 477 | 25 | 190 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 51 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 275 | 222 | 497 | 44 | 193 | 14 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 216 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 342 | 315 | 657 | 46 | 305 | 14 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 119 | 107 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 314 | 299 | 613 | 56 | 277 | 14 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 169 | 153 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 242 | 313 | 288 | 600 | 46 | 280 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 442 | 125 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 74 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 283 | 340 | 328 | 668 | 45 | 334 | 15 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 392 | 344 | 97 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 57 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 282 | 366 | 369 | 735 | 87 | 315 | 15 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2063 | 1808 | 492 | 64 | 2 | 11 | 164 | 265 | 60 | 21 | 13 | 272 | 352 | 328 | 680 | 56 | 310 | 13 | 8 | 217 | 33 | -164 | -1 | +0 | +37 | +45 | -8.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 155 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 83 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 272 | 353 | 326 | 679 | 54 | 310 | 13 | 8 | 217 | 33 | -52 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASt. Paul Saints · 194 PAwOBA .364 → .325 (−40)K% 12.4% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.37% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 26.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.881 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .364 → .325; ISO .117 → .097; BABIP .331 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 24 PAwOBA .358 → .301 (−57)K% 8.3% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 27.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .301; ISO .048 → .040; BABIP .368 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAWichita Wind Surge · 375 PAwOBA .334 → .300 (−34)K% 12.5% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.53% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷0.950 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 6.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 29.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.908 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.104 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.24% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 82, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .334 → .300; ISO .057 → .049; BABIP .352 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 169 PAwOBA .282 → .263 (−19)K% 12.4% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.43% | ÷1.009 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.967 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.903 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.850 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .263; ISO .041 → .041; BABIP .291 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 119 PAwOBA .328 → .280 (−48)K% 10.1% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.08% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷0.947 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.17% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 23.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.094 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.131 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 126, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .328 → .280; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .315 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 240 PAwOBA .319 → .287 (−32)K% 9.6% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.58% | ÷0.943 | ×1.340 | — | — | 13.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷0.982 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.47% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 26.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 3.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.378 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .319 → .287; ISO .054 → .045; BABIP .319 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 51 PAwOBA .250 → .215 (−35)K% 9.8% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.80% | ÷0.962 | ×1.340 | — | — | 13.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.973 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.84% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 6.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 14.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.391 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 92, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .250 → .215; ISO .045 → .039; BABIP .205 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Marlins · 89 PAwOBA .265 → .221 (−44)K% 2.2% → 3.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 2.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 3.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.49% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 16.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .221; ISO .039 → .032; BABIP .224 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .