Dalton Moats

P Tennessee Smokies

Age 32 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	26	MIX2 levels	20	0	29	5.52	3.51	23.9%	6.0%	—	K 18.8% · BB 6.2% · FIP 4.54
2022	27	AAATB	51	1	55	3.60	3.94	27.3%	5.5%	—	K 24.0% · BB 5.7% · FIP 4.45
2024	29	AATennessee Smo…	14	0	18	6.50	5.49	22.4%	16.5%	—	K 18.1% · BB 18.1% · FIP 6.59
2027PROJ	32	MLBCHC	10	0	10	4.69	4.69	22.3%	11.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	33	MLBCHC	6	0	6	4.80	4.90	21.9%	11.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Juan Pablo Perez (age 34) · Adam Liberatore (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%22.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%11.1%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	17	0	30	127	29	5	2	0%	1.8	15.5%	4.9%	10.6%	2.2%	2.40	3.62	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	17	0	30	127	29	5	2	0%	1.8	22.8%	3.9%	18.9%	1.6%	2.40	2.53	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	63	238	53	10	3	0%	1.7	16.8%	4.9%	11.9%	1.7%	1.86	3.23	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	63	238	53	10	3	0%	1.7	22.3%	4.2%	18.1%	1.3%	1.86	2.51	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	41	10	62	275	65	29	12	24%	1.5	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	5.3%	5.34	5.87	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	41	10	62	275	65	29	12	24%	1.5	23.6%	10.5%	13.1%	4.4%	5.34	4.91	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	42	2	65	272	62	20	8	5%	1.6	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.8%	3.17	4.67	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	42	2	65	272	62	20	8	5%	1.6	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	2.9%	3.17	3.71	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	29	134	32	8	4	0%	1.5	18.8%	6.2%	12.6%	4.1%	5.52	4.54	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	29	134	32	8	4	0%	1.5	23.9%	6.0%	17.9%	3.0%	5.52	3.51	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	51	1	55	220	60	12	10	2%	1.1	24.0%	5.7%	18.3%	4.8%	3.60	4.45	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	51	1	55	220	60	12	10	2%	1.1	27.3%	5.5%	21.8%	4.5%	3.60	3.94	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	18.1%	18.1%	-0.0%	5.0%	6.50	6.59	—
2024	29	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	18.1%	18.1%	-0.0%	5.0%	6.50	6.59	—
2024	29	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	14	0	18	85	19	14	3	0%	1.3	22.4%	16.5%	5.9%	3.5%	6.50	5.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	CHC	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.2%	11.1%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.90	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	3.3%	4.80	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		222	13	323	1351	256	108	52	6%	1.5	18.9%	8.0%	11.0%	3.9%	3.73	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	8	200	837	158	67	32	6%	1.5	18.9%	8.0%	11.0%	3.9%	3.73	4.64	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dalton Moats (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	22.3%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.90	21.9%	10.4%	20	+0.21	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	83
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	78
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	77
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	76
Jack Taschner L 2010 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	18.1%	11.7%	3.1%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	189	75
Yorkis Perez L 2000 · 4.85 FIP	32	SU	4.85	18.9%	10.8%	3.6%	.284	4.54	20.8%	10.0%	27	-0.31	3.18	269	75
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	74
Jeremy Bleich L 2019 · 4.41 FIP	32	SW	4.41	20.1%	7.0%	3.9%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	241	72
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	72
James Jones L 2021 · 5.35 FIP	32	SU	5.35	23.0%	11.4%	5.0%	.315	4.25	18.1%	3.1%	36	-1.10	3.58	127	72
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	71
Doug Creek L 2001 · 4.48 FIP	32	SU	4.48	23.7%	15.8%	2.5%	.272	4.99	20.3%	7.6%	69	+0.51	4.48	277	71
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	70
Ryan Buchter L 2019 · 4.75 FIP	32	SU	4.75	25.3%	10.6%	4.4%	.286	5.24	22.9%	9.7%	32	+0.49	2.37	296	68
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	2.84	187	68
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	67
Tom Martin L 2001 · 5.68 FIP	31	SU	5.68	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	.311	4.25	19.8%	11.1%	96	-1.43	3.40	303	67
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	66
Ryan Sherriff L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	32	SU	4.06	20.7%	12.4%	2.1%	.344	3.78	21.9%	10.9%	24	-0.28	2.96	245	66
Anthony Gose L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	31	SU	4.71	30.4%	14.1%	4.4%	.234	4.63	23.9%	12.2%	82	-0.08	3.78	233	66