Ian Miller
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 684 | .260/.338/.342 | 6 | 42 | 76 | — | .238/.291/.300 | |
| 2019 | 27 | AAAWSH | 514 | .264/.350/.431 | 11 | 35 | 74 | — | .221/.281/.355 | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLBMIN | 17 | .176/.176/.235 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.1 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 457 | .255/.337/.334 | 3 | 25 | 64 | — | .232/.283/.303 | |
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 176 | 155 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 297 | 374 | 348 | 722 | 52 | 360 | 16 | 9 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 185 | 166 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 271 | 335 | 349 | 685 | 78 | 338 | 19 | 9 | 306 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 384 | 347 | 88 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 53 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 254 | 313 | 320 | 633 | 66 | 295 | 14 | 8 | 284 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 171 | 159 | 47 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 296 | 341 | 352 | 693 | 57 | 376 | 20 | 6 | 313 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 97 | 85 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 259 | 337 | 294 | 631 | 35 | 306 | 14 | 9 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 494 | 430 | 109 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 45 | 54 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 253 | 334 | 305 | 639 | 51 | 287 | 11 | 9 | 290 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 177 | 168 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 268 | 297 | 315 | 613 | 48 | 333 | 19 | 3 | 275 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 384 | 344 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 69 | 6 | 30 | 4 | 326 | 386 | 430 | 816 | 105 | 393 | 18 | 7 | 362 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 478 | 422 | 110 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 89 | 5 | 33 | 9 | 261 | 336 | 327 | 663 | 66 | 322 | 19 | 9 | 301 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 206 | 181 | 47 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 260 | 343 | 376 | 719 | 116 | 319 | 21 | 10 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 214 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 9 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 514 | 450 | 119 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 89 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 264 | 350 | 431 | 781 | 167 | 304 | 17 | 10 | 346 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 413 | 368 | 96 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 75 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 261 | 337 | 345 | 682 | 84 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 310 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 44 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 194 | 341 | 222 | 563 | 28 | 259 | 20 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 214 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 9 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 176 | 161 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 242 | 299 | 286 | 585 | 43 | 308 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 185 | 172 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 244 | 286 | 314 | 600 | 70 | 324 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 384 | 356 | 89 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 66 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 250 | 292 | 312 | 604 | 62 | 297 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 171 | 162 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 259 | 294 | 309 | 603 | 49 | 355 | 27 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 494 | 445 | 112 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 66 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 252 | 309 | 299 | 608 | 47 | 282 | 13 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 177 | 170 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 247 | 269 | 288 | 557 | 41 | 321 | 23 | 2 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 384 | 352 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 6 | 30 | 4 | 293 | 341 | 372 | 713 | 80 | 369 | 22 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 478 | 437 | 104 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 111 | 5 | 33 | 9 | 238 | 291 | 300 | 591 | 62 | 305 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 214 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 9 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 514 | 470 | 104 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 107 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 221 | 281 | 355 | 636 | 134 | 259 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 413 | 383 | 89 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 87 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 232 | 283 | 303 | 586 | 70 | 288 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 176 | 161 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 242 | 299 | 286 | 585 | 43 | 319 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 176 | 155 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 297 | 374 | 348 | 722 | 52 | 360 | 16 | 9 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 185 | 172 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 244 | 286 | 314 | 600 | 70 | 331 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 185 | 166 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 35 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 271 | 335 | 349 | 685 | 78 | 338 | 19 | 9 | 306 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 652 | 607 | 154 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 132 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 254 | 294 | 313 | 607 | 59 | 321 | 20 | 5 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 652 | 591 | 157 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 48 | 101 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 266 | 324 | 325 | 649 | 59 | 317 | 15 | 7 | 292 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 494 | 445 | 112 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 66 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 252 | 309 | 299 | 608 | 47 | 292 | 13 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 494 | 430 | 109 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 45 | 54 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 253 | 334 | 305 | 639 | 51 | 287 | 11 | 9 | 290 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 522 | 146 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 128 | 8 | 43 | 5 | 280 | 320 | 349 | 669 | 69 | 362 | 23 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 561 | 512 | 157 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 102 | 8 | 43 | 5 | 307 | 358 | 393 | 751 | 86 | 373 | 18 | 6 | 334 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 684 | 627 | 148 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 159 | 7 | 42 | 12 | 236 | 289 | 293 | 583 | 57 | 309 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 684 | 603 | 157 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 64 | 133 | 7 | 42 | 12 | 260 | 338 | 342 | 680 | 81 | 321 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 487 | 107 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 110 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 220 | 278 | 351 | 629 | 131 | 261 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 531 | 467 | 122 | 31 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 92 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 261 | 344 | 424 | 768 | 163 | 301 | 17 | 10 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 420 | 97 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 96 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 231 | 289 | 298 | 586 | 67 | 292 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 457 | 404 | 103 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 84 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 255 | 337 | 334 | 671 | 79 | 312 | 18 | 9 | 307 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 176 | 161 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 242 | 299 | 286 | 585 | 43 | 308 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 185 | 173 | 42 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 243 | 286 | 312 | 598 | 69 | 324 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 652 | 612 | 154 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 132 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 252 | 294 | 310 | 605 | 59 | 315 | 20 | 5 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 494 | 454 | 112 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 66 | 7 | 49 | 3 | 247 | 309 | 293 | 602 | 46 | 282 | 13 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 561 | 525 | 146 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 128 | 8 | 43 | 5 | 278 | 320 | 347 | 667 | 69 | 354 | 23 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 684 | 632 | 148 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 159 | 7 | 42 | 12 | 234 | 289 | 291 | 580 | 57 | 305 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 487 | 107 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 110 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 220 | 278 | 351 | 629 | 131 | 258 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 420 | 97 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 96 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 231 | 289 | 298 | 586 | 67 | 288 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 176 | 235 | 412 | 59 | 214 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 68 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 650 | 114 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 175 | 234 | 409 | 58 | 213 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 68 | -70 | +0 | +21 | +73 | +14 | 3.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3740 | 3441 | 845 | 116 | 35 | 18 | 200 | 779 | 46 | 282 | 57 | 246 | 296 | 315 | 611 | 70 | 309 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 146 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 135 | 8 | 49 | 10 | 244 | 295 | 313 | 608 | 69 | 308 | 21 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -70 | +0 | +21 | +73 | +14 | 3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAIowa Cubs · 413 PAwOBA .301 → .260 (−41)K% 18.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.16% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.99% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.60% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 23.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.78% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×0.982 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.65% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 98, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .301 → .260; ISO .084 → .071; BABIP .317 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAARochester Red Wings · 514 PAwOBA .339 → .278 (−61)K% 17.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.73% | ÷1.095 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.94% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 18.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.31% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷0.958 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .278; ISO .167 → .138; BABIP .304 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAATacoma Rainiers · 478 PAwOBA .295 → .262 (−33)K% 18.6% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.62% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.103 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.73% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 25.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.80% | ÷0.885 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 77, 3B 80, K 106, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .295 → .262; ISO .066 → .063; BABIP .322 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 384 PAwOBA .356 → .315 (−41)K% 18.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.97% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.29% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.64% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 30.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .356 → .315; ISO .105 → .086; BABIP .393 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAATacoma Rainiers · 177 PAwOBA .265 → .244 (−21)K% 18.6% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷1.028 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.26% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 1.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 28.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.96% | ÷0.988 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 2.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .265 → .244; ISO .048 → .042; BABIP .333 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJackson Generals · 494 PAwOBA .284 → .267 (−17)K% 10.9% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.93% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 24.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.889 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷1.138 | ×0.880 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .284 → .267; ISO .051 → .049; BABIP .287 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJackson Generals · 384 PAwOBA .278 → .267 (−10)K% 13.8% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.80% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.03% | ÷0.950 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 4.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.70% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .278 → .267; ISO .066 → .066; BABIP .295 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 171 PAwOBA .305 → .261 (−44)K% 19.9% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.88% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.85% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 30.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 3.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.040 | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .305 → .261; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .376 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .