Matt McPhearson

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1995-04-18

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

ALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	21	AKane County C…	88	.219/.337/.247	9	46	—	.208/.291/.234
2017	22	A+ARI	445	.278/.334/.340	31	56	—	.239/.284/.287
2018	23	ATB	126	.266/.365/.358	10	56	—	.216/.278/.293

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	154	130	26	3	1	0	21	45	0	15	3	200	307	238	546	38	306	29	14	260	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	191	160	45	2	0	0	23	43	4	23	3	281	385	294	679	13	378	23	12	317	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	196	173	41	1	1	0	18	53	3	30	7	237	320	254	574	17	339	27	9	270	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	88	73	16	2	0	0	13	21	0	9	3	219	337	247	584	27	302	24	15	276	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	445	406	113	15	5	0	30	86	4	31	11	278	334	340	674	62	351	19	7	304	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	126	109	29	6	2	0	17	31	0	10	2	266	365	358	723	92	372	25	13	332	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	154	140	20	2	1	0	13	65	0	15	3	143	216	171	387	29	264	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	191	169	37	1	0	0	14	62	4	23	3	219	294	225	519	6	326	32	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	196	180	31	1	1	0	11	76	3	30	7	172	232	189	421	17	283	39	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	88	77	16	2	0	0	9	28	0	9	3	208	291	234	524	26	295	32	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	445	414	99	12	4	0	22	121	4	31	11	239	284	287	572	48	328	27	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	126	116	25	5	2	0	10	42	0	10	2	216	278	293	571	78	334	33	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	154	140	20	2	1	0	13	65	0	15	3	143	216	171	387	29	267	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	154	130	26	3	1	0	21	45	0	15	3	200	307	238	546	38	306	29	14	260	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	191	169	37	1	0	0	14	62	4	23	3	219	294	225	519	6	339	32	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	191	160	45	2	0	0	23	43	4	23	3	281	385	294	679	13	378	23	12	317	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	196	180	31	1	1	0	11	76	3	30	7	172	232	189	421	17	295	39	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	196	173	41	1	1	0	18	53	3	30	7	237	320	254	574	17	339	27	9	270	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	88	77	16	2	0	0	9	28	0	9	3	208	291	234	524	26	320	32	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	88	73	16	2	0	0	13	21	0	9	3	219	337	247	584	27	302	24	15	276	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	445	414	99	12	4	0	22	121	4	31	11	239	284	287	572	48	336	27	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	445	406	113	15	5	0	30	86	4	31	11	278	334	340	674	62	351	19	7	304	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	126	116	25	5	2	0	10	42	0	10	2	216	278	293	571	78	338	33	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	126	109	29	6	2	0	17	31	0	10	2	266	365	358	723	92	372	25	13	332	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	154	140	20	2	1	0	13	65	0	15	3	143	216	171	387	29	264	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	191	171	37	1	0	0	14	62	4	23	3	216	294	222	516	6	326	32	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	196	180	31	1	1	0	11	76	3	30	7	172	232	189	421	17	283	39	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	88	79	16	2	0	0	9	28	0	9	3	203	291	228	519	25	295	32	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	445	416	99	12	4	0	22	121	4	31	11	238	284	286	570	48	328	27	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	126	115	25	5	2	0	10	42	0	10	2	217	278	296	573	78	334	33	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1200	1096	228	23	8	0	79	394	11	118	29	208	268	244	512	36	322	33	7	229	41	-84	+12	+0	-13	+26	-6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	123	12	4	0	43	213	6	64	16	207	267	241	508	34	320	33	7	229	41	-46	+6	+0	-7	+14	-3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 ACharleston RiverDogs · 126 PAwOBA .324 → .251 (−73)K% 24.6% → 33.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.60%	÷0.991	×1.340	—	—	33.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.49%	÷1.092	×0.660	—	×0.990	8.07%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.020	×0.920	×1.024	×0.990	24.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.961	×0.820	×1.024	×0.990	6.65%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.024	×0.990	2.12%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.811	×0.820	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .324 → .251; ISO .092 → .074; BABIP .372 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Visalia Rawhide · 445 PAwOBA .298 → .251 (−47)K% 19.3% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.33%	÷0.952	×1.340	—	—	27.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.74%	÷0.996	×0.710	—	×1.012	4.86%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	0.72%
Singles /BIP	29.06%	÷1.016	×0.910	×1.050	×1.012	27.66%
Doubles /BIP	4.69%	÷1.038	×0.820	×1.050	×1.012	3.94%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷0.900	×0.760	×1.050	×1.012	1.40%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.048	×0.920	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .298 → .251; ISO .062 → .050; BABIP .351 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AKane County Cougars · 88 PAwOBA .273 → .236 (−38)K% 23.9% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.86%	÷1.029	×1.360	—	—	31.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.77%	÷0.995	×0.690	—	×1.015	10.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷0.988	×0.920	×1.050	×1.015	26.72%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.015	3.40%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.008	×0.910	×1.050	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.975	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .273 → .236; ISO .027 → .024; BABIP .302 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ROKMissoula Osprey · 196 PAwOBA .265 → .188 (−78)K% 27.0% → 38.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.04%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	38.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.18%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.995	5.57%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.10%
Singles /BIP	32.50%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.031	×0.995	27.34%
Doubles /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.031	×0.995	0.62%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.031	×0.995	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .265 → .188; ISO .017 → .011; BABIP .339 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ROKACL D-backs · 191 PAwOBA .311 → .239 (−72)K% 22.5% → 32.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.51%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	32.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.52%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	7.19%
HBP% /PA	2.09%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.52%
Singles /BIP	36.75%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	31.88%
Doubles /BIP	1.71%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	1.30%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .311 → .239; ISO .013 → .009; BABIP .378 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKACL D-backs · 154 PAwOBA .254 → .182 (−72)K% 29.2% → 42.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.22%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	42.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.64%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	8.64%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.88%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.022	22.79%
Doubles /BIP	3.53%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	2.73%
Triples /BIP	1.18%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	0.91%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .254 → .182; ISO .038 → .027; BABIP .306 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).