Ryan Hendrix

P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	51	47	5.17	3.59	28.8%	16.7%	0.5	K 26.4% · BB 18.4% · FIP 4.00
2023	28	AAAARI	3	3	3.00	7.10	16.7%	8.3%	—	K 16.7% · BB 8.3% · FIP 7.32
2025	30	MIX2 levels	34	41	7.84	4.09	29.0%	15.5%	—	K 23.7% · BB 13.8% · FIP 4.13
2027PROJ	32	MLBKC	51	54	4.60	4.53	27.8%	13.1%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBKC	17	18	4.70	4.78	26.5%	13.1%	-0.0
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBKC	14	15	4.90	5.05	25.4%	13.3%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

Whiff%90

FB Velo75

K%63

xwOBA vs19

CompsHirokazu Sawamura (age 33) · Mike Broadway (age 31) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.60

FIP4.53

K%27.8%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%14.7%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL4040

CMD5050

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7596.3

Whiff%

p9032.9%

p6324.6%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

FB+1.1

CH-0.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	35	148	36	13	0	0%	1.7	20.9%	8.6%	12.3%	0.0%	3.57	2.43	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	35	148	36	13	0	0%	1.7	24.3%	8.8%	15.5%	0.0%	3.57	2.17	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	62	263	88	26	6	0%	1.3	25.1%	11.5%	13.6%	2.9%	2.90	4.02	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	62	263	88	26	6	0%	1.3	33.5%	9.9%	23.6%	2.3%	2.90	2.78	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	51	218	79	24	2	0%	1.2	27.9%	12.7%	15.2%	1.1%	1.76	2.94	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	51	218	79	24	2	0%	1.2	36.2%	11.0%	25.2%	0.9%	1.76	1.92	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	2	24	98	31	8	0	10%	1.2	23.0%	10.9%	12.1%	0.0%	1.85	2.53	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	2	24	98	31	8	0	10%	1.2	31.6%	8.2%	23.5%	0.0%	1.85	1.54	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	47	215	50	23	12	0%	0.9	22.4%	10.9%	11.5%	5.3%	6.85	5.51	-0.5
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	47	215	50	23	12	0%	0.9	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	5.6%	6.85	5.74	-0.7
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	47	215	62	36	3	0%	0.9	26.4%	18.4%	8.0%	1.5%	5.17	4.00	+0.3
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	47	215	62	36	3	0%	0.9	28.8%	16.7%	12.1%	1.4%	5.17	3.59	+0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	3.00	7.32	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	3.00	7.10	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	23.7%	13.8%	9.9%	2.3%	7.84	4.13	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	23.7%	13.8%	9.9%	2.3%	7.84	4.13	—
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	207	60	32	5	0%	1.2	29.0%	15.5%	13.5%	2.4%	7.84	4.09	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			45	0	40	180	44	19	8	0%	0.9	24.4%	10.6%	13.9%	4.4%	5.85	4.92	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	KC	51	0	54	228	63	30	7	0%	1.1	27.8%	13.1%	14.7%	3.2%	4.60	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	KC	48	0	50	211	56	28	7	0%	1.0	26.5%	13.1%	13.4%	3.4%	4.70	4.78	-0.1
2029	34	MLB MLE	KC	43	0	45	192	49	26	7	0%	1.1	25.4%	13.3%	12.0%	3.7%	4.90	5.05	-0.3
2030	35	MLB MLE	KC	39	0	41	172	42	23	7	0%	1.0	24.3%	13.7%	10.6%	4.0%	5.16	5.35	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	KC	17	0	18	76	20	10	3	0%	1.1	26.5%	13.1%	13.4%	3.4%	4.70	4.78	-0.0
2029	34	MLB CTX	KC	14	0	15	63	16	8	2	0%	1.1	25.4%	13.3%	12.0%	3.7%	4.90	5.05	-0.1
2030	35	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	11	46	11	6	2	0%	1.1	24.3%	13.7%	10.6%	4.0%	5.16	5.35	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		87	0	84	367	92	44	15	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.0%	13.0%	4.0%	5.34	4.72	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		207	0	200	871	218	104	36	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.0%	13.0%	4.0%	5.34	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		272	2	311	1376	336	174	30	1%	1.1	24.4%	12.6%	11.8%	2.2%	4.31	3.85	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	1	200	884	216	112	19	1%	1.1	24.4%	12.6%	11.8%	2.2%	4.31	3.85	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Hendrix (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	27.8%	13.1%	3.2%	—	5.04	25.5%	12.1%	136	+0.51	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	88
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	74
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	73
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	73
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	71
Jumbo Diaz R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	32	SU	3.85	22.3%	9.2%	2.7%	.247	3.28	23.0%	13.8%	141	-0.57	2.80	319	69
Huascar Brazobán R 2022 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	28.5%	11.4%	3.0%	.275	3.49	23.3%	12.9%	187	-0.28	3.08	370	69
James Hoyt R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.2%	9.9%	1.8%	.355	5.63	22.1%	10.4%	50	+2.18	1.61	312	68
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	67
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	67
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	65
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	65
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	65
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	65
Dale Thayer R 2013 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.7%	7.4%	2.9%	.287	3.85	20.6%	15.0%	103	+0.23	2.75	239	64
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	63
Dustin Molleken R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	32	SU	3.38	24.3%	12.4%	1.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	129	63
Steve Delabar R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	32	SU	3.74	25.0%	9.9%	2.7%	.246	4.62	20.4%	4.8%	24	+0.88	2.43	229	63
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	46	25.8%	13.1%	1.43	5.00
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Jeff Jones ('80-'84, -2 WAR*)	1.0	41	22.0%*	12.4%*	1.48*	4.53*