Ian Hamilton

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 32 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX3 levels	38	0	42	3.46	2.48	26.9%	8.0%	1.0	K 25.2% · BB 8.6% · FIP 2.69
2025	30	MIX2 levels	55	1	58	4.81	4.01	24.4%	13.0%	0.4	K 23.3% · BB 12.5% · FIP 3.95
2026	31	MIX2 levels	40	0	43	3.32	2.71	25.8%	9.3%	1.0	K 23.3% · BB 7.9% · FIP 2.90
2027PROJ	32	MLBATL	50	0	53	3.99	3.94	26.6%	10.4%	0.4
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBATL	17	0	18	4.13	4.22	25.7%	10.9%	0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBATL	13	0	14	4.37	4.52	24.8%	11.4%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

K%67

Whiff%66

FB Velo62

xwOBA vs47

CompsHirokazu Sawamura (age 33) · Joe Nelson (age 31) · Arcenio Leon (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.99

FIP3.94

K%26.6%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%16.1%

Proj IP53

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p6627.8%

p6725.3%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

SI (11%)

FB (38%)

SL-0.8 (62%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	33	129	29	14	3	0%	1.5	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	3.1%	3.58	5.03	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	33	129	29	14	3	0%	1.5	22.5%	10.9%	11.6%	2.3%	3.58	3.80	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	72	288	74	15	1	0%	1.6	20.1%	5.9%	14.2%	0.3%	2.64	2.33	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	72	288	74	15	1	0%	1.6	25.7%	5.2%	20.5%	0.3%	2.64	1.84	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	60	239	67	18	4	0%	1.1	25.3%	8.4%	16.9%	0.8%	2.11	2.48	+1.5
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	53	0	60	239	67	18	4	0%	1.1	28.0%	7.5%	20.5%	1.7%	2.11	2.63	+1.4
2019	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	16	0	16	78	20	3	4	0%	1.0	22.6%	4.0%	18.5%	4.7%	9.92	4.26	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	16	0	16	78	20	3	4	0%	1.0	25.6%	3.8%	21.8%	5.1%	9.92	4.39	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	4	0	4	20	4	5	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	25.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	4.50	4.58	-0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	4	0	4	20	4	5	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	25.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	4.50	4.85	-0.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	38	3	59	257	86	39	5	8%	1.6	29.4%	15.9%	13.5%	1.9%	4.12	3.68	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	38	3	59	257	86	39	5	8%	1.6	33.5%	15.2%	18.3%	1.9%	4.12	3.27	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	50	207	60	20	7	0%	1.3	26.9%	10.2%	16.8%	3.4%	3.78	3.96	+0.3
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	50	207	60	20	7	0%	1.3	29.0%	9.7%	19.3%	3.4%	3.78	3.72	+0.5
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	3	61	251	73	27	2	7%	1.4	28.9%	10.5%	18.4%	0.8%	2.67	2.42	+1.6
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	3	61	251	73	27	2	7%	1.4	29.1%	10.8%	18.3%	0.8%	2.67	2.46	+1.5
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	25.2%	8.6%	16.6%	1.1%	3.46	2.69	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	25.2%	8.6%	16.6%	1.1%	3.46	2.69	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	42	175	47	14	2	0%	1.1	26.9%	8.0%	18.9%	1.1%	3.46	2.48	+1.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	23.3%	12.5%	10.8%	2.2%	4.81	3.95	+0.4
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	23.3%	12.5%	10.8%	2.2%	4.81	3.95	+0.4
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	1	58	254	62	33	6	2%	1.1	24.4%	13.0%	11.4%	2.4%	4.81	4.01	+0.4
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	43	182	47	17	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	7.9%	15.3%	1.4%	3.32	2.90	+0.9
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	43	182	47	17	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	7.9%	15.3%	1.4%	3.32	2.90	+0.9
2026	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	43	182	47	17	2	0%	1.1	25.8%	9.3%	16.5%	1.1%	3.32	2.71	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			129	4	155	655	165	71	12	3%	1.2	25.2%	10.8%	14.4%	1.8%	3.72	3.35	+2.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	ATL	50	0	53	224	59	23	6	0%	1.1	26.6%	10.4%	16.1%	2.5%	3.99	3.94	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	47	0	49	206	53	23	6	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.9%	14.8%	2.8%	4.13	4.22	+0.2
2029	34	MLB MLE	ATL	42	0	44	188	47	21	6	0%	1.1	24.8%	11.4%	13.4%	3.1%	4.37	4.52	+0.0
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	17	0	18	76	20	8	2	0%	1.1	25.7%	10.9%	14.8%	2.8%	4.13	4.22	+0.1
2029	34	MLB CTX	ATL	13	0	14	59	15	7	2	0%	1.1	24.8%	11.4%	13.4%	3.1%	4.37	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		160	4	187	792	200	86	16	2%	1.2	25.2%	10.9%	14.3%	2.0%	3.81	3.46	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		171	4	200	845	214	92	17	3%	1.2	25.2%	10.9%	14.3%	2.0%	3.81	3.46	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		391	7	497	2080	510	211	35	2%	1.3	24.5%	10.1%	14.4%	1.7%	3.57	3.23	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	3	200	837	205	85	14	2%	1.3	24.5%	10.1%	14.4%	1.7%	3.57	3.23	+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ian Hamilton (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.94	26.6%	10.4%	2.5%	—	4.36	25.3%	14.2%	93	+0.42	—	—	—
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	78
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	75
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	75
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	74
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	74
James Hoyt R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.2%	9.9%	1.8%	.355	5.63	22.1%	10.4%	50	+2.18	1.61	312	72
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	72
Jumbo Diaz R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	32	SU	3.85	22.3%	9.2%	2.7%	.247	3.28	23.0%	13.8%	141	-0.57	2.80	319	71
Ryan Brasier R 2020 · 2.97 FIP	32	SU	2.97	27.3%	9.1%	1.9%	.324	3.30	23.4%	17.1%	134	+0.33	2.31	426	71
John Axford R 2015 · 3.20 FIP	32	SU	3.20	24.8%	11.2%	1.4%	.333	3.97	21.5%	11.1%	141	+0.77	1.90	518	71
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	70
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	70
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	70
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	69
Dustin Molleken R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	32	SU	3.38	24.3%	12.4%	1.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	129	68
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	68
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	68
Dale Thayer R 2013 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.7%	7.4%	2.9%	.287	3.85	20.6%	15.0%	103	+0.23	2.75	239	68
Jose Veras R 2013 · 3.51 FIP	32	SU	3.51	23.6%	8.3%	2.5%	.234	4.28	21.9%	10.2%	65	+0.77	3.37	422	68
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	50	25.5%	11.0%	0.89	3.93
Chaz Roe ('21)	1.1	43	26.4%	11.1%	0.79	3.89
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.5	50	24.0%	10.2%	0.92	3.81
Ray Searage ('81-'90, 4 WAR*)	1.4	41	21.0%*	10.8%*	0.84*	3.70*
Dave Geisel ('78-'85, 2 WAR*)	1.0	42	23.5%*	10.6%*	0.84*	4.12*
Marshall Bridges ('59-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	49	26.7%*	12.3%*	0.88*	4.15*