David Denson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 19 | A/ROK2 orgs | 291 | .244/.371/.351 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — | .190/.285/.268 |
| 2015 | 20 | A/ROK2 orgs | 363 | .235/.331/.390 | 9 | 6 | 42 | — | .175/.242/.278 |
| 2016 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 454 | .212/.309/.335 | 10 | 3 | 38 | — | .168/.243/.250 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 161 | 127 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 244 | 392 | 449 | 841 | 205 | 316 | 28 | 18 | 371 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 269 | 226 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 243 | 364 | 350 | 714 | 106 | 359 | 30 | 16 | 331 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 455 | 375 | 830 | 125 | 500 | 36 | 27 | 389 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 151 | 133 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 313 | 361 | 674 | 135 | 329 | 32 | 11 | 304 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 212 | 182 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 242 | 343 | 412 | 755 | 170 | 290 | 22 | 13 | 337 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 81 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 125 | 222 | 139 | 361 | 14 | 191 | 31 | 11 | 183 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 373 | 325 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 328 | 378 | 706 | 148 | 305 | 28 | 12 | 320 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 161 | 138 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 167 | 272 | 297 | 569 | 130 | 253 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 269 | 239 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 110 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 197 | 286 | 276 | 562 | 79 | 348 | 41 | 11 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 273 | 167 | 439 | 56 | 388 | 55 | 18 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 151 | 138 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 247 | 275 | 522 | 94 | 312 | 44 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 212 | 193 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 171 | 238 | 280 | 518 | 109 | 235 | 32 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 81 | 74 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 108 | 185 | 122 | 307 | 14 | 189 | 43 | 9 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 373 | 338 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 137 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 255 | 278 | 533 | 98 | 280 | 37 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 161 | 138 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 167 | 272 | 297 | 569 | 130 | 264 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 161 | 127 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 244 | 392 | 449 | 841 | 205 | 316 | 28 | 18 | 371 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 258 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 122 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 194 | 285 | 271 | 557 | 78 | 353 | 42 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 291 | 242 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 88 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 371 | 351 | 722 | 107 | 367 | 30 | 17 | 335 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 331 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 135 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 175 | 242 | 278 | 520 | 103 | 269 | 37 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 315 | 74 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 96 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 235 | 331 | 390 | 721 | 156 | 305 | 26 | 12 | 323 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 412 | 69 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 172 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 167 | 243 | 250 | 493 | 83 | 268 | 38 | 9 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 454 | 397 | 84 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 55 | 128 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 309 | 335 | 644 | 123 | 285 | 28 | 12 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 161 | 140 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 164 | 272 | 293 | 565 | 129 | 253 | 40 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 291 | 256 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 122 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 285 | 273 | 559 | 78 | 351 | 42 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 331 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 135 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 175 | 242 | 278 | 520 | 103 | 267 | 37 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 410 | 69 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 172 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 168 | 243 | 251 | 494 | 83 | 264 | 38 | 9 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1269 | 1139 | 200 | 43 | 3 | 19 | 119 | 494 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 176 | 256 | 269 | 525 | 93 | 286 | 39 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -80 | -2 | +0 | -23 | +27 | -7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 103 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 61 | 253 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 177 | 257 | 273 | 530 | 96 | 287 | 39 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -41 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 373 PAwOBA .313 → .242 (−71)K% 27.6% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.61% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 19.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.50% | ÷1.161 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .313 → .242; ISO .148 → .105; BABIP .305 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Brevard County Manatees · 81 PAwOBA .179 → .142 (−37)K% 30.9% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.86% | ÷1.021 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.036 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.001 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .179 → .142; ISO .014 → .012; BABIP .191 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKHelena Brewers · 212 PAwOBA .330 → .236 (−94)K% 22.2% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 15.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 3.32% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .330 → .236; ISO .170 → .121; BABIP .290 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 151 PAwOBA .298 → .223 (−75)K% 32.5% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.45% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.26% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 23.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.090 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.085 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.331 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .298 → .223; ISO .135 → .084; BABIP .329 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 269 PAwOBA .323 → .254 (−69)K% 29.7% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.74% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.99% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.40% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 27.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .254; ISO .106 → .081; BABIP .359 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Brewers · 22 PAwOBA .381 → .242 (−139)K% 36.4% → 52.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 52.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 17.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 20.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 18.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .381 → .242; ISO .125 → .076; BABIP .500 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Brewers · 161 PAwOBA .369 → .262 (−108)K% 28.0% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.95% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 11.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.007 | ×1.022 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 5.84% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .369 → .262; ISO .205 → .149; BABIP .316 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).