Travis Demeritte
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 25 | MLBDET | 33 | .172/.273/.207 | 0 | 0 | 46 | -0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 26 | AAAATL | 300 | .282/.363/.575 | 21 | 7 | 78 | — | .206/.267/.397 | |
| 2022 | 27 | AAAATL | 158 | .207/.293/.357 | 2 | 6 | 34 | — | .166/.229/.276 | |
| 2022 | 27 | MLBATL | 96 | .213/.263/.337 | 3 | 0 | 67 | -0.7 | ||
| 2023 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 175 | 144 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 49 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 285 | 411 | 444 | 856 | 160 | 407 | 28 | 17 | 386 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 466 | 398 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 171 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 211 | 313 | 450 | 763 | 239 | 286 | 37 | 11 | 331 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 198 | 170 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 69 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 241 | 345 | 412 | 757 | 171 | 371 | 35 | 13 | 339 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 232 | 204 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 216 | 307 | 426 | 734 | 211 | 257 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 530 | 455 | 121 | 29 | 9 | 28 | 67 | 175 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 266 | 364 | 554 | 918 | 288 | 363 | 33 | 13 | 394 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 105 | 92 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 261 | 340 | 522 | 862 | 261 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 511 | 458 | 106 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 134 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 231 | 307 | 402 | 709 | 170 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 494 | 428 | 95 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 140 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 319 | 416 | 735 | 194 | 284 | 28 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 186 | 169 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 288 | 343 | 631 | 118 | 337 | 34 | 8 | 282 | 80 | -4 | +1 | -6 | -6 | +4 | -1.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 399 | 339 | 97 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 106 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 286 | 389 | 558 | 946 | 271 | 358 | 27 | 13 | 409 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 33 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 207 | 480 | 34 | 333 | 42 | 9 | 234 | 46 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 300 | 266 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 99 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 282 | 363 | 575 | 939 | 293 | 370 | 33 | 11 | 407 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 96 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 263 | 337 | 600 | 124 | 291 | 33 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -4 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 158 | 140 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 150 | 318 | 34 | 11 | 291 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 315 | 287 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 109 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 216 | 279 | 328 | 606 | 111 | 322 | 35 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -11 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +7 | -2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 175 | 155 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 280 | 290 | 570 | 103 | 321 | 41 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 466 | 412 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 227 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 158 | 241 | 313 | 554 | 155 | 264 | 49 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 198 | 179 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 96 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 179 | 254 | 291 | 544 | 112 | 345 | 48 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 530 | 479 | 85 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 241 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 177 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 167 | 299 | 45 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 511 | 472 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 169 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 191 | 248 | 331 | 579 | 140 | 262 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 494 | 448 | 83 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 173 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 254 | 346 | 600 | 161 | 252 | 35 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 186 | 169 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 288 | 343 | 631 | 118 | 337 | 34 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -4 | +1 | -6 | -6 | +4 | -1.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 399 | 355 | 84 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 35 | 134 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 237 | 316 | 473 | 789 | 237 | 309 | 34 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 33 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 207 | 480 | 34 | 333 | 42 | 9 | 237 | 46 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 300 | 277 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 122 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 397 | 664 | 191 | 300 | 41 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 96 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 263 | 337 | 600 | 124 | 291 | 33 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -4 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 158 | 145 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 65 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 166 | 229 | 276 | 505 | 110 | 269 | 41 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 175 | 155 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 280 | 290 | 570 | 103 | 321 | 41 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 175 | 144 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 49 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 285 | 411 | 444 | 856 | 160 | 407 | 28 | 17 | 386 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 466 | 412 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 227 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 158 | 241 | 313 | 554 | 155 | 283 | 49 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 466 | 398 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 171 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 211 | 313 | 450 | 763 | 239 | 286 | 37 | 11 | 331 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 388 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 208 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 175 | 252 | 281 | 533 | 106 | 352 | 48 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 430 | 374 | 85 | 24 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 129 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 227 | 325 | 420 | 745 | 193 | 305 | 30 | 11 | 331 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 635 | 573 | 101 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 289 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 176 | 248 | 342 | 590 | 166 | 303 | 46 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 635 | 547 | 145 | 33 | 13 | 32 | 78 | 200 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 360 | 548 | 908 | 283 | 352 | 31 | 12 | 389 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 511 | 472 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 169 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 191 | 248 | 331 | 579 | 140 | 264 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 511 | 458 | 106 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 134 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 231 | 307 | 402 | 709 | 170 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 314 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 494 | 448 | 83 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 173 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 254 | 346 | 600 | 161 | 258 | 35 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 494 | 428 | 95 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 140 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 319 | 416 | 735 | 194 | 284 | 28 | 12 | 325 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 524 | 122 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 49 | 197 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 233 | 307 | 431 | 738 | 198 | 325 | 34 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 508 | 135 | 35 | 4 | 23 | 65 | 169 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 266 | 357 | 486 | 843 | 220 | 351 | 29 | 11 | 369 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 33 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 207 | 480 | 34 | 333 | 42 | 9 | 237 | 46 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB RAW | Detroit Tigers | — | 33 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 207 | 480 | 34 | 333 | 42 | 9 | 234 | 46 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 300 | 277 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 122 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 397 | 664 | 191 | 305 | 41 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 300 | 266 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 99 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 282 | 363 | 575 | 939 | 293 | 370 | 33 | 11 | 407 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 234 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 97 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 184 | 242 | 299 | 541 | 115 | 289 | 38 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 254 | 229 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 86 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 210 | 282 | 349 | 631 | 140 | 307 | 34 | 9 | 282 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 175 | 153 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 280 | 294 | 574 | 105 | 321 | 41 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 466 | 418 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 227 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 156 | 241 | 309 | 549 | 153 | 264 | 49 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 430 | 387 | 68 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 208 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 176 | 252 | 282 | 534 | 106 | 345 | 48 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 635 | 575 | 101 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 289 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 176 | 248 | 341 | 589 | 165 | 299 | 46 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 511 | 470 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 169 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 191 | 248 | 332 | 580 | 140 | 262 | 33 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 494 | 450 | 83 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 173 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 184 | 254 | 344 | 598 | 160 | 252 | 35 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 524 | 122 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 49 | 197 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 233 | 307 | 431 | 738 | 198 | 318 | 34 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 33 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 207 | 480 | 34 | 333 | 42 | 9 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 300 | 274 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 122 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 208 | 267 | 401 | 668 | 193 | 300 | 41 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 254 | 234 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 97 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 184 | 242 | 299 | 541 | 115 | 277 | 38 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 315 | 287 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 109 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 216 | 279 | 328 | 606 | 111 | 322 | 35 | 7 | 273 | 64 | -11 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +7 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 225 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 216 | 278 | 326 | 604 | 110 | 323 | 35 | 7 | 273 | 64 | -23 | +1 | -18 | -19 | +14 | -4.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3883 | 3512 | 663 | 149 | 27 | 112 | 305 | 1567 | 33 | 75 | 26 | 189 | 260 | 342 | 602 | 153 | 297 | 40 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -11 | +1 | -9 | -9 | +7 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 112 | 25 | 5 | 19 | 51 | 262 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 190 | 262 | 347 | 609 | 156 | 299 | 40 | 8 | 262 | 64 | -23 | +1 | -18 | -19 | +14 | -4.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 158 PAwOBA .286 → .218 (−68)K% 34.2% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.18% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.76% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.28% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 14.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.79% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 10.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .286 → .218; ISO .150 → .112; BABIP .318 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 300 PAwOBA .394 → .283 (−112)K% 33.0% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.00% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.35% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.98% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 6.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.57% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 8.82% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .394 → .283; ISO .293 → .195; BABIP .370 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 399 PAwOBA .400 → .331 (−70)K% 26.6% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.57% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.78% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.17% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.02% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 10.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.58% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 8.28% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .400 → .331; ISO .271 → .241; BABIP .358 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAMississippi Braves · 494 PAwOBA .318 → .260 (−58)K% 28.3% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.34% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷1.037 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.71% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.110 | ×0.880 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.33% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 122, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .318 → .260; ISO .194 → .166; BABIP .284 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMississippi Braves · 511 PAwOBA .307 → .252 (−56)K% 26.2% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.22% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 17.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .307 → .252; ISO .170 → .143; BABIP .293 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 530 PAwOBA .386 → .260 (−125)K% 33.0% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.02% | ÷1.030 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷0.970 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.64% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 17.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.36% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 8.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.21% | ÷0.987 | ×0.800 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.362 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 6.69% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .386 → .260; ISO .288 → .178; BABIP .363 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AHickory Crawdads · 198 PAwOBA .332 → .238 (−94)K% 34.8% → 48.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.85% | ÷0.967 | ×1.340 | — | — | 48.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.63% | ÷1.042 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.77% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 22.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.88% | ÷0.971 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 10.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.910 | ×0.940 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.229 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 94, 3B 82, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .332 → .238; ISO .171 → .113; BABIP .371 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AHickory Crawdads · 466 PAwOBA .325 → .238 (−87)K% 36.7% → 48.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.70% | ÷1.009 | ×1.340 | — | — | 48.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.73% | ÷0.949 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.06% | ÷0.962 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 17.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.05% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×1.030 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.01% | ÷1.154 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 8.06% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 102, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .325 → .238; ISO .239 → .158; BABIP .286 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .