Ryan Cordell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/ROKCWS | 208 | .241/.284/.361 | 3 | 8 | 35 | — | .200/.235/.292 | |
| 2018 | 26 | MLBCWS | 40 | .108/.132/.216 | 1 | 0 | -15 | -0.3 | ||
| 2019 | 27 | AAACWS | 55 | .275/.327/.471 | 1 | 1 | 68 | — | .231/.273/.404 | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLBCWS | 247 | .221/.293/.355 | 7 | 3 | 77 | -0.0 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAAPHI | 226 | .198/.295/.411 | 12 | 8 | 34 | — | .146/.214/.286 | |
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 70 | 62 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 306 | 377 | 645 | 1.022 | 339 | 311 | 19 | 10 | 431 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 310 | 274 | 88 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 53 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 321 | 390 | 504 | 894 | 182 | 372 | 17 | 9 | 389 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 242 | 221 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 217 | 267 | 335 | 602 | 118 | 293 | 30 | 5 | 264 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 319 | 286 | 89 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 311 | 379 | 528 | 907 | 217 | 342 | 17 | 9 | 395 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 52 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 288 | 312 | 601 | 83 | 306 | 23 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 445 | 405 | 107 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 97 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 264 | 323 | 484 | 807 | 220 | 299 | 22 | 7 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 48 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 255 | 233 | 488 | 47 | 250 | 23 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 292 | 261 | 74 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 284 | 353 | 506 | 859 | 222 | 339 | 22 | 9 | 372 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 40 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 132 | 216 | 348 | 108 | 130 | 38 | 0 | 148 | -15 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 193 | 176 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 239 | 286 | 364 | 649 | 125 | 293 | 23 | 6 | 284 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 67 | 400 | 33 | 0 | 267 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 247 | 217 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 293 | 355 | 648 | 134 | 287 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +4 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 55 | 51 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 327 | 471 | 798 | 196 | 394 | 31 | 7 | 350 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 226 | 197 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 87 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 198 | 295 | 411 | 706 | 213 | 270 | 38 | 11 | 313 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 287 | 254 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 271 | 335 | 605 | 130 | 265 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 66 | -12 | +0 | +5 | -2 | +6 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 70 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 304 | 516 | 820 | 266 | 275 | 27 | 7 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 310 | 282 | 79 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 70 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 280 | 334 | 426 | 760 | 145 | 340 | 23 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 242 | 224 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 86 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 174 | 216 | 263 | 479 | 89 | 246 | 36 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 319 | 296 | 75 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 253 | 303 | 426 | 729 | 172 | 294 | 23 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 445 | 415 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 114 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 222 | 266 | 383 | 649 | 161 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 292 | 268 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 88 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 205 | 263 | 358 | 621 | 153 | 270 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 40 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 132 | 216 | 348 | 108 | 130 | 38 | 0 | 147 | -15 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 193 | 180 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 200 | 238 | 294 | 533 | 94 | 250 | 27 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 267 | 467 | 67 | 299 | 47 | 0 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 247 | 217 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 293 | 355 | 648 | 134 | 287 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +4 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 55 | 52 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 273 | 404 | 677 | 173 | 353 | 38 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 226 | 206 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 105 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 146 | 214 | 286 | 501 | 141 | 220 | 46 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 346 | 95 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 90 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 275 | 329 | 442 | 771 | 168 | 341 | 24 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 380 | 336 | 107 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 66 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 318 | 388 | 530 | 917 | 211 | 362 | 17 | 9 | 396 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 613 | 569 | 125 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 174 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 220 | 266 | 360 | 626 | 141 | 281 | 28 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 613 | 555 | 148 | 20 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 138 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 327 | 432 | 760 | 166 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 333 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 459 | 103 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 127 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 224 | 269 | 392 | 661 | 168 | 271 | 26 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 448 | 115 | 22 | 6 | 19 | 36 | 108 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 257 | 316 | 460 | 776 | 203 | 294 | 22 | 7 | 337 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 292 | 268 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 88 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 205 | 263 | 358 | 621 | 153 | 269 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 292 | 261 | 74 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 284 | 353 | 506 | 859 | 222 | 339 | 22 | 9 | 372 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 232 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 76 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 181 | 215 | 272 | 486 | 91 | 245 | 31 | 3 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 248 | 228 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 64 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 260 | 338 | 598 | 118 | 277 | 26 | 4 | 261 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 269 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 223 | 289 | 364 | 653 | 141 | 301 | 30 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -9 | +0 | +4 | -3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 302 | 268 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 86 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 299 | 377 | 676 | 146 | 307 | 28 | 8 | 296 | 76 | -9 | +0 | +4 | -3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 226 | 206 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 105 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 146 | 214 | 286 | 501 | 141 | 232 | 46 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 226 | 197 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 87 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 198 | 295 | 411 | 706 | 213 | 270 | 38 | 11 | 313 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 380 | 349 | 95 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 90 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 272 | 329 | 438 | 767 | 166 | 328 | 24 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 613 | 572 | 125 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 174 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 219 | 266 | 358 | 625 | 140 | 273 | 28 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 462 | 103 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 127 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 223 | 269 | 390 | 659 | 167 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 292 | 269 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 88 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 204 | 263 | 357 | 620 | 152 | 270 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 248 | 236 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 76 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 178 | 215 | 267 | 482 | 89 | 234 | 31 | 3 | 209 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 274 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 289 | 358 | 647 | 139 | 299 | 30 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 226 | 206 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 105 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 146 | 214 | 286 | 501 | 141 | 220 | 46 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 287 | 254 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 271 | 335 | 605 | 130 | 265 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 70 | -12 | +0 | +5 | -2 | +6 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 117 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 190 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 203 | 270 | 332 | 602 | 129 | 263 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 70 | -27 | +0 | +10 | -5 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2554 | 2349 | 510 | 86 | 24 | 70 | 142 | 750 | 24 | 83 | 23 | 217 | 269 | 364 | 632 | 146 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -12 | +0 | +5 | -2 | +6 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 130 | 22 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 191 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 217 | 269 | 365 | 633 | 147 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -27 | +0 | +10 | -5 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 226 PAwOBA .307 → .219 (−88)K% 38.5% → 46.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.50% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.09% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 16.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.91% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 7.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .219; ISO .213 → .146; BABIP .270 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 55 PAwOBA .340 → .268 (−72)K% 30.9% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.91% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.061 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 18.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.921 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 13.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 3.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.212 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .340 → .268; ISO .196 → .158; BABIP .394 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 193 PAwOBA .282 → .226 (−56)K% 22.8% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.80% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.70% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×1.018 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.47% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .282 → .226; ISO .125 → .090; BABIP .293 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKACL White Sox · 15 PAwOBA .259 → .150 (−109)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 23.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .259 → .150; ISO .067 → .035; BABIP .400 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 292 PAwOBA .366 → .275 (−91)K% 22.3% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.26% | ÷0.953 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.56% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.92% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 18.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.18% | ÷1.163 | ×0.810 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.933 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.41% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .366 → .275; ISO .222 → .161; BABIP .339 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 445 PAwOBA .343 → .283 (−60)K% 21.8% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.97% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.81% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.062 | ×0.840 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.065 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .343 → .283; ISO .220 → .169; BABIP .299 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+High Desert Mavericks · 319 PAwOBA .385 → .316 (−69)K% 16.6% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.61% | ÷0.973 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.15% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.89% | ÷1.041 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 21.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.05% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 108, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .385 → .316; ISO .217 → .183; BABIP .342 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 242 PAwOBA .261 → .213 (−48)K% 30.2% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.17% | ÷1.033 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.96% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.65% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.026 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .261 → .213; ISO .118 → .096; BABIP .293 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .