C.J. Chatham
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A+/A2 orgs | 472 | .314/.355/.389 | 3 | 11 | 62 | — | .251/.282/.314 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 543 | .291/.330/.395 | 5 | 11 | 69 | — | .254/.282/.338 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAAPHI | 176 | .271/.351/.381 | 3 | 0 | 80 | — | .250/.310/.338 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 25 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 375 | 575 | 208 | 188 | 28 | 0 | 252 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 500 | 889 | 188 | 286 | 6 | 11 | 394 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 392 | 362 | 114 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 72 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 315 | 359 | 384 | 743 | 69 | 380 | 18 | 5 | 332 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 80 | 75 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 307 | 333 | 413 | 747 | 107 | 371 | 18 | 4 | 324 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 91 | 86 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 333 | 430 | 764 | 128 | 375 | 23 | 4 | 336 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 376 | 350 | 104 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 297 | 337 | 403 | 740 | 106 | 354 | 18 | 5 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 76 | 70 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 243 | 293 | 314 | 608 | 71 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 176 | 155 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 351 | 381 | 731 | 110 | 307 | 15 | 7 | 330 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 292 | 452 | 167 | 136 | 40 | 0 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 176 | 222 | 6 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 392 | 370 | 92 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 107 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 249 | 282 | 305 | 587 | 57 | 327 | 27 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 80 | 76 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 282 | 355 | 637 | 92 | 335 | 22 | 2 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 91 | 87 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 299 | 322 | 425 | 748 | 126 | 372 | 27 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 376 | 357 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 81 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 244 | 272 | 317 | 589 | 73 | 301 | 22 | 3 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 176 | 160 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 310 | 338 | 648 | 88 | 289 | 19 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 292 | 452 | 167 | 154 | 40 | 0 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 25 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 200 | 375 | 575 | 208 | 188 | 28 | 0 | 252 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 176 | 200 | 6 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 500 | 889 | 188 | 286 | 6 | 11 | 394 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 446 | 113 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 253 | 284 | 316 | 600 | 63 | 340 | 26 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 437 | 137 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 86 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 314 | 355 | 389 | 744 | 76 | 379 | 18 | 5 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 516 | 131 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 124 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 254 | 282 | 337 | 619 | 83 | 321 | 23 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 543 | 506 | 147 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 291 | 330 | 395 | 725 | 105 | 351 | 19 | 5 | 321 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 176 | 160 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 310 | 338 | 648 | 88 | 299 | 19 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 176 | 155 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 351 | 381 | 731 | 110 | 307 | 15 | 7 | 330 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 292 | 452 | 167 | 136 | 40 | 0 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 176 | 222 | 6 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 450 | 113 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 251 | 284 | 313 | 597 | 62 | 328 | 26 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 518 | 131 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 124 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 253 | 282 | 336 | 618 | 83 | 315 | 23 | 3 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 176 | 160 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 310 | 338 | 648 | 88 | 289 | 19 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1234 | 1163 | 291 | 48 | 4 | 12 | 41 | 293 | 14 | 22 | 7 | 250 | 284 | 329 | 613 | 79 | 320 | 24 | 3 | 266 | 66 | -49 | +2 | +0 | +13 | +27 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 613 | 153 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 154 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 250 | 283 | 326 | 610 | 77 | 320 | 24 | 3 | 266 | 66 | -26 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 176 PAwOBA .323 → .287 (−36)K% 15.3% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.34% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 3.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.003 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .323 → .287; ISO .110 → .090; BABIP .307 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 376 PAwOBA .320 → .261 (−59)K% 17.6% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.55% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.06% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 23.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷1.158 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.953 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .261; ISO .106 → .077; BABIP .354 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 91 PAwOBA .330 → .304 (−26)K% 23.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.40% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.23% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 29.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.896 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.038 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .304; ISO .128 → .110; BABIP .375 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Salem Red Sox · 392 PAwOBA .327 → .257 (−70)K% 18.4% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.37% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.10% | ÷0.939 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.10% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 29.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.102 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.936 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 113, 2B 120, 3B 107, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .327 → .257; ISO .069 → .053; BABIP .380 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AGreenville Drive · 80 PAwOBA .319 → .275 (−43)K% 17.5% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.024 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.75% | ÷1.008 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 2.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.23% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×0.980 | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.961 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×0.980 | 8.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.048 | ×0.980 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 105, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .319 → .275; ISO .107 → .094; BABIP .371 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Red Sox · 18 PAwOBA .384 → .290 (−93)K% 5.6% → 8.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 8.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 21.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.02% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .290; ISO .188 → .145; BABIP .286 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Red Sox · 25 PAwOBA .244 → .153 (−91)K% 28.0% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 4.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 4.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .244 → .153; ISO .208 → .128; BABIP .188 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .