Edgar Cabral
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A+PHI | 79 | .197/.260/.437 | 4 | 0 | 40 | — | .139/.195/.306 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAAPHI | 102 | .221/.337/.302 | 0 | 0 | 53 | — | .198/.277/.275 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAAPHI | 84 | .149/.250/.243 | 2 | 2 | -2 | — | .115/.179/.167 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 107 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 355 | 406 | 761 | 125 | 284 | 6 | 7 | 344 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 84 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 266 | 516 | 63 | 224 | 13 | 5 | 237 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 95 | 84 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 383 | 440 | 823 | 131 | 400 | 24 | 9 | 366 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 263 | 235 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 318 | 328 | 646 | 85 | 281 | 15 | 9 | 294 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 51 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 353 | 340 | 693 | 43 | 412 | 25 | 6 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 329 | 294 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 325 | 361 | 686 | 109 | 300 | 19 | 9 | 309 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 79 | 71 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 260 | 437 | 696 | 239 | 200 | 24 | 8 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 102 | 86 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 337 | 302 | 639 | 81 | 345 | 31 | 14 | 297 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 84 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 95 | 191 | 30 | 12 | 234 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 107 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 271 | 313 | 584 | 101 | 213 | 8 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 84 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 62 | 207 | 17 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 95 | 86 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 330 | 395 | 725 | 128 | 384 | 34 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 263 | 242 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 261 | 277 | 537 | 74 | 244 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 329 | 301 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 279 | 546 | 73 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 79 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 195 | 306 | 500 | 167 | 164 | 35 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 102 | 91 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 277 | 275 | 552 | 77 | 327 | 38 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 84 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 167 | 345 | 51 | 164 | 37 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 107 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 271 | 313 | 584 | 101 | 216 | 8 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 107 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 355 | 406 | 761 | 125 | 284 | 6 | 7 | 344 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 84 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 62 | 215 | 17 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 84 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 266 | 516 | 63 | 224 | 13 | 5 | 237 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 409 | 375 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 301 | 580 | 83 | 282 | 24 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 409 | 366 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 75 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 337 | 355 | 693 | 90 | 321 | 18 | 9 | 314 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 329 | 301 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 279 | 546 | 73 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 329 | 294 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 325 | 361 | 686 | 109 | 300 | 19 | 9 | 309 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 79 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 195 | 306 | 500 | 167 | 163 | 35 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 79 | 71 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 260 | 437 | 696 | 239 | 200 | 24 | 8 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 102 | 91 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 277 | 275 | 552 | 77 | 340 | 38 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 102 | 86 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 337 | 302 | 639 | 81 | 345 | 31 | 14 | 297 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 84 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 167 | 345 | 51 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 84 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 95 | 191 | 30 | 12 | 234 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 107 | 98 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 271 | 316 | 587 | 102 | 213 | 8 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 84 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 226 | 250 | 476 | 62 | 207 | 17 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 409 | 375 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 278 | 301 | 580 | 83 | 281 | 24 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 329 | 301 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 91 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 267 | 279 | 546 | 73 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 79 | 74 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 195 | 297 | 492 | 162 | 164 | 35 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 102 | 91 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 277 | 275 | 552 | 77 | 327 | 38 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 84 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 167 | 345 | 51 | 164 | 37 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1194 | 1096 | 217 | 40 | 3 | 15 | 75 | 309 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 83 | 259 | 26 | 6 | 240 | 48 | -73 | +0 | +0 | +21 | +26 | -2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 168 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 260 | 283 | 544 | 84 | 261 | 26 | 6 | 240 | 48 | -40 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 84 PAwOBA .228 → .165 (−63)K% 29.8% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.76% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 14.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .228 → .165; ISO .095 → .062; BABIP .191 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 102 PAwOBA .293 → .246 (−47)K% 31.4% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.37% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.73% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .293 → .246; ISO .081 → .072; BABIP .345 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Clearwater Threshers · 79 PAwOBA .296 → .227 (−69)K% 24.1% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.05% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷0.964 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 8.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.242 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.988 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.949 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 7.05% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 148, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .296 → .227; ISO .239 → .186; BABIP .200 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Clearwater Threshers · 329 PAwOBA .304 → .248 (−56)K% 19.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.45% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.005 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.35% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.028 | ×0.960 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.197 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .304 → .248; ISO .109 → .080; BABIP .300 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ALakewood BlueClaws · 263 PAwOBA .289 → .237 (−52)K% 14.8% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.83% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.75% | ÷0.980 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | — | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷0.927 | ×0.820 | ×0.975 | — | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.021 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | — | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.854 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .289 → .237; ISO .085 → .075; BABIP .281 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 95 PAwOBA .360 → .305 (−56)K% 24.2% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.21% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 7.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.15% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 29.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 8.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .360 → .305; ISO .131 → .112; BABIP .400 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALakewood BlueClaws · 84 PAwOBA .231 → .200 (−31)K% 13.1% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.030 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.015 | 17.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×1.015 | 2.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.864 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .231 → .200; ISO .063 → .057; BABIP .224 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Phillies · 107 PAwOBA .335 → .247 (−88)K% 5.6% → 8.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 8.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.952 | ×0.995 | 16.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×0.995 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.952 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .335 → .247; ISO .125 → .092; BABIP .284 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .