Hever Bueno prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Hever Bueno P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 179 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%22.4%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	5	2	16	77	18	10	0	40%	3.2	15.9%	16.2%	-0.3%	0.0%	3.94	3.81	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	5	2	16	77	18	10	0	40%	3.2	23.4%	13.0%	10.4%	0.0%	3.94	2.73	—
2019	24	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	25	0	42	172	54	22	2	0%	1.7	23.2%	15.1%	8.1%	1.3%	2.14	3.75	—
2019	24	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	25	0	42	172	54	22	2	0%	1.7	31.4%	12.8%	18.6%	1.2%	2.14	2.72	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	32	0	48	216	55	22	3	0%	1.5	20.6%	11.2%	9.4%	1.5%	4.28	3.60	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	32	0	48	216	55	22	3	0%	1.5	25.5%	10.2%	15.3%	1.4%	4.28	3.00	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	30	0	38	187	54	30	7	0%	1.3	25.4%	16.8%	8.6%	4.3%	7.82	5.45	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	30	0	38	187	54	30	7	0%	1.3	28.9%	16.0%	12.8%	3.7%	7.82	5.02	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	16	0	16	80	18	19	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	26.1%	-7.9%	0.0%	4.50	4.87	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	16	0	16	80	18	19	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	26.1%	-7.9%	0.0%	4.50	4.87	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	16	0	16	80	18	19	0	0%	1.0	22.5%	23.8%	-1.2%	0.0%	4.50	4.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	TEX	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	12.9%	9.5%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.9%	9.1%	3.2%	4.92	5.01	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	TEX	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.9%	9.1%	3.2%	4.92	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.9%	9.1%	3.2%	4.92	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.9%	9.1%	3.2%	4.92	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		108	2	160	732	159	115	13	2%	1.5	21.7%	15.7%	6.0%	1.8%	4.55	4.27	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	2	200	913	198	144	17	2%	1.5	21.7%	15.7%	6.0%	1.8%	4.55	4.27	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hever Bueno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	22.4%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.01	22.1%	9.1%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	80
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	79
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	78
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	76
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	74
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	74
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	74
David Carpenter R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.8%	2.9%	.333	3.89	21.5%	11.9%	49	-0.60	2.66	275	74
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	73
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	73
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	73
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	72
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	72
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	72
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	71
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	71
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	71