Brandon Bednar
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24 | AA/A+SF | 476 | .285/.323/.367 | 6 | 8 | 65 | — | .259/.291/.331 |
| 2017 | 25 | AASF | 448 | .280/.329/.350 | 1 | 2 | 65 | — | .256/.295/.313 |
| 2018 | 26 | AACOL | 293 | .279/.326/.426 | 7 | 2 | 72 | — | .245/.282/.347 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 212 | 195 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 241 | 299 | 354 | 652 | 113 | 256 | 13 | 6 | 294 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 313 | 291 | 80 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 275 | 317 | 330 | 647 | 55 | 326 | 16 | 4 | 291 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 373 | 346 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 237 | 279 | 327 | 605 | 90 | 271 | 14 | 4 | 268 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 237 | 224 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 286 | 319 | 371 | 690 | 85 | 337 | 17 | 3 | 308 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 239 | 218 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 284 | 328 | 362 | 690 | 78 | 337 | 19 | 3 | 304 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 448 | 411 | 115 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 63 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 280 | 329 | 350 | 679 | 71 | 325 | 14 | 6 | 304 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 293 | 272 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 326 | 426 | 753 | 147 | 324 | 18 | 5 | 333 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 212 | 199 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 226 | 270 | 332 | 602 | 106 | 246 | 17 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 313 | 295 | 69 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 65 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 234 | 269 | 281 | 550 | 47 | 287 | 21 | 3 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 373 | 351 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 205 | 238 | 276 | 514 | 71 | 243 | 20 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 237 | 227 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 269 | 294 | 348 | 642 | 79 | 324 | 21 | 2 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 239 | 220 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 62 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 289 | 314 | 602 | 64 | 304 | 26 | 3 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 448 | 418 | 107 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 256 | 295 | 313 | 608 | 57 | 304 | 18 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 293 | 277 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 282 | 347 | 628 | 101 | 299 | 22 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 494 | 114 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 231 | 269 | 304 | 573 | 73 | 276 | 19 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 525 | 486 | 127 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 78 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 261 | 310 | 340 | 649 | 78 | 298 | 15 | 5 | 292 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 373 | 351 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 205 | 238 | 276 | 514 | 71 | 249 | 20 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 373 | 346 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 237 | 279 | 327 | 605 | 90 | 271 | 14 | 4 | 268 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 447 | 115 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 112 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 257 | 289 | 327 | 616 | 69 | 327 | 24 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 442 | 126 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 86 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 285 | 323 | 367 | 690 | 81 | 337 | 18 | 3 | 306 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 448 | 418 | 107 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 256 | 295 | 313 | 608 | 57 | 312 | 18 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 448 | 411 | 115 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 63 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 280 | 329 | 350 | 679 | 71 | 325 | 14 | 6 | 304 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 293 | 277 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 282 | 347 | 628 | 101 | 303 | 22 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 293 | 272 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 326 | 426 | 753 | 147 | 324 | 18 | 5 | 333 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 494 | 114 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 231 | 269 | 304 | 573 | 73 | 270 | 19 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 373 | 355 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 203 | 238 | 273 | 511 | 70 | 243 | 20 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 453 | 115 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 112 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 254 | 289 | 322 | 611 | 68 | 314 | 24 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 448 | 422 | 107 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 254 | 295 | 310 | 605 | 57 | 304 | 18 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 293 | 277 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 282 | 347 | 628 | 101 | 299 | 22 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2115 | 1987 | 476 | 71 | 8 | 19 | 69 | 430 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 240 | 275 | 312 | 587 | 72 | 294 | 20 | 3 | 255 | 58 | -105 | -4 | +0 | +8 | +46 | -5.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 611 | 146 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 132 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 239 | 275 | 311 | 586 | 72 | 292 | 20 | 3 | 255 | 58 | -32 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAHartford Yard Goats · 293 PAwOBA .326 → .275 (−51)K% 18.4% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.43% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.46% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.011 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 23.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.081 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.948 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.21% | ÷1.194 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 90, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .326 → .275; ISO .147 → .108; BABIP .324 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 448 PAwOBA .299 → .265 (−33)K% 14.1% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.06% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.57% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.26% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .299 → .265; ISO .071 → .058; BABIP .325 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+San Jose Giants · 239 PAwOBA .301 → .257 (−44)K% 19.2% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.25% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.35% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.51% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.40% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 28.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .301 → .257; ISO .078 → .066; BABIP .337 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 237 PAwOBA .302 → .271 (−31)K% 16.9% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.38% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.17% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 26.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.88% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .302 → .271; ISO .085 → .071; BABIP .337 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+San Jose Giants · 373 PAwOBA .261 → .221 (−40)K% 14.5% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.75% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 2.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.21% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 19.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.071 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .261 → .221; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .271 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAugusta GreenJackets · 313 PAwOBA .286 → .241 (−45)K% 16.3% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.29% | ÷1.053 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.47% | ÷0.966 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.33% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | — | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.75% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | — | 3.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.934 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | — | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.890 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.38% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .286 → .241; ISO .055 → .049; BABIP .326 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+San Jose Giants · 212 PAwOBA .286 → .262 (−24)K% 12.7% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.74% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷1.009 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷0.931 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 105, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .286 → .262; ISO .113 → .108; BABIP .256 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).