Michael O'Neill
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 560 | .269/.334/.447 | 17 | 32 | 71 | — | .211/.267/.350 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/AATEX | 522 | .251/.326/.394 | 12 | 30 | 55 | — | .208/.263/.310 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 371 | .282/.339/.362 | 5 | 15 | 50 | — | .221/.266/.282 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 553 | 489 | 125 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 133 | 16 | 42 | 9 | 256 | 335 | 384 | 719 | 129 | 330 | 24 | 8 | 322 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 372 | 342 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 85 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 213 | 265 | 298 | 563 | 85 | 271 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 196 | 176 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 233 | 293 | 318 | 611 | 85 | 310 | 25 | 6 | 272 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 144 | 127 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 276 | 338 | 394 | 732 | 118 | 351 | 23 | 7 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 309 | 271 | 71 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 82 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 262 | 345 | 413 | 759 | 151 | 346 | 27 | 8 | 339 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 178 | 165 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 273 | 322 | 497 | 819 | 224 | 325 | 24 | 5 | 356 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 73 | 70 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 286 | 315 | 457 | 772 | 171 | 333 | 19 | 4 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 318 | 568 | 136 | 286 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 498 | 440 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 119 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 329 | 398 | 727 | 143 | 319 | 24 | 8 | 321 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | San Antonio Missions | — | 52 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 288 | 292 | 580 | 63 | 333 | 29 | 8 | 267 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 319 | 292 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 291 | 347 | 373 | 720 | 82 | 390 | 26 | 7 | 325 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 553 | 504 | 103 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 183 | 16 | 42 | 9 | 204 | 267 | 306 | 572 | 101 | 289 | 33 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 372 | 347 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 119 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 176 | 219 | 254 | 472 | 78 | 242 | 32 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 196 | 180 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 217 | 262 | 294 | 556 | 78 | 298 | 31 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 144 | 130 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 246 | 295 | 362 | 657 | 115 | 334 | 33 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 309 | 281 | 58 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 104 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 206 | 274 | 317 | 590 | 110 | 297 | 34 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 178 | 169 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 219 | 254 | 408 | 663 | 189 | 279 | 32 | 3 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 24 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 217 | 384 | 87 | 241 | 42 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 498 | 454 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 157 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 211 | 268 | 315 | 583 | 104 | 287 | 32 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 52 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 212 | 204 | 416 | 41 | 291 | 38 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 319 | 299 | 69 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 103 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 231 | 274 | 294 | 569 | 64 | 336 | 32 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 553 | 504 | 103 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 183 | 16 | 42 | 9 | 204 | 267 | 306 | 572 | 101 | 298 | 33 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 553 | 489 | 125 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 133 | 16 | 42 | 9 | 256 | 335 | 384 | 719 | 129 | 330 | 24 | 8 | 322 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 372 | 347 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 119 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 176 | 219 | 254 | 472 | 78 | 252 | 32 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | Tampa Yankees | — | 372 | 342 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 85 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 213 | 265 | 298 | 563 | 85 | 271 | 23 | 6 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 310 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 107 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 229 | 276 | 323 | 598 | 94 | 332 | 31 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 340 | 303 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 82 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 251 | 312 | 350 | 662 | 99 | 327 | 24 | 6 | 292 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 560 | 520 | 108 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 186 | 12 | 32 | 5 | 208 | 260 | 342 | 603 | 135 | 294 | 33 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 560 | 506 | 136 | 27 | 6 | 17 | 38 | 138 | 12 | 32 | 5 | 269 | 334 | 447 | 781 | 178 | 337 | 25 | 7 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 477 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 167 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 208 | 263 | 310 | 573 | 103 | 297 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 462 | 116 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 127 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 251 | 326 | 394 | 719 | 143 | 318 | 24 | 8 | 318 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 348 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 123 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 224 | 268 | 284 | 553 | 60 | 335 | 33 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 371 | 340 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 97 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 282 | 339 | 362 | 701 | 79 | 382 | 26 | 7 | 317 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 553 | 505 | 103 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 183 | 16 | 42 | 9 | 204 | 267 | 305 | 572 | 101 | 289 | 33 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 372 | 350 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 119 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 174 | 219 | 251 | 470 | 77 | 242 | 32 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 317 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 107 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 224 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 91 | 313 | 31 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 560 | 518 | 108 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 186 | 12 | 32 | 5 | 208 | 260 | 344 | 604 | 135 | 290 | 33 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 481 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 167 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 206 | 263 | 308 | 571 | 102 | 285 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 347 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 123 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 225 | 268 | 285 | 554 | 61 | 330 | 33 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2718 | 2506 | 520 | 90 | 17 | 41 | 129 | 885 | 47 | 144 | 39 | 208 | 260 | 306 | 566 | 99 | 300 | 33 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -156 | +13 | +0 | -29 | +59 | -11.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 125 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 212 | 11 | 34 | 9 | 209 | 261 | 309 | 569 | 100 | 302 | 33 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 319 PAwOBA .317 → .249 (−67)K% 25.7% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.949 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.29% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 30.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 2.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .317 → .249; ISO .082 → .061; BABIP .390 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASan Antonio Missions · 52 PAwOBA .260 → .196 (−65)K% 28.8% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.85% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.055 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 86, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .260 → .196; ISO .062 → .043; BABIP .333 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 498 PAwOBA .315 → .253 (−62)K% 23.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.90% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.03% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.988 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.012 | ×0.988 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.012 | ×0.988 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .315 → .253; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .319 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARound Rock Express · 24 PAwOBA .250 → .189 (−61)K% 33.3% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 6.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.019 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 17.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .250 → .189; ISO .136 → .100; BABIP .286 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 309 PAwOBA .331 → .257 (−74)K% 26.5% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.54% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.91% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.46% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.051 | ×0.840 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.12% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.089 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 103, K 92, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .331 → .257; ISO .151 → .112; BABIP .346 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 178 PAwOBA .346 → .273 (−73)K% 23.6% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷1.045 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.49% | ÷0.989 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 2.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 16.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.76% | ÷0.905 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 8.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.69% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 5.03% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .346 → .273; ISO .224 → .181; BABIP .325 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 196 PAwOBA .269 → .239 (−30)K% 25.0% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.62% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 23.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .269 → .239; ISO .085 → .074; BABIP .310 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Tampa Yankees · 144 PAwOBA .314 → .274 (−41)K% 22.9% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.988 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.021 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.60% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.953 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.032 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.862 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 91, 3B 106, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .274; ISO .118 → .110; BABIP .351 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .