David Rodríguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 183 | .295/.390/.468 | 6 | 1 | 143 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 208 | .301/.406/.386 | 1 | 0 | 131 | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 55 | .375/.444/.729 | 4 | 1 | 219 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | VSL Rays | — | 269 | 237 | 78 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 62 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 329 | 409 | 540 | 949 | 211 | 405 | 23 | 9 | 419 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | — | 146 | 128 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 350 | 383 | 732 | 109 | 350 | 21 | 6 | 326 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | Princeton Rays | — | 196 | 178 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 327 | 376 | 703 | 118 | 311 | 20 | 8 | 318 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 472 | 416 | 100 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 88 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 240 | 323 | 349 | 672 | 108 | 282 | 19 | 9 | 304 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 85 | 77 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 442 | 494 | 753 | 1.247 | 312 | 491 | 16 | 8 | 538 | 250 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 338 | 303 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 73 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 201 | 273 | 248 | 521 | 46 | 261 | 22 | 7 | 242 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 69 | 62 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 353 | 339 | 692 | 48 | 415 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 276 | 252 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 59 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 289 | 337 | 627 | 107 | 281 | 21 | 8 | 281 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 117 | 104 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 317 | 388 | 471 | 859 | 154 | 388 | 20 | 7 | 380 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 131 | 125 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 336 | 366 | 496 | 862 | 160 | 398 | 18 | 5 | 380 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 295 | 262 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 305 | 366 | 671 | 141 | 275 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Panama | — | 188 | 157 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 376 | 476 | 567 | 1.043 | 191 | 425 | 14 | 14 | 457 | 196 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 75 | 69 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 320 | 377 | 697 | 116 | 320 | 23 | 8 | 314 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 112 | 95 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 348 | 411 | 759 | 179 | 286 | 25 | 13 | 343 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 217 | 181 | 51 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 393 | 442 | 835 | 160 | 359 | 24 | 13 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 127 | 116 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 315 | 440 | 755 | 190 | 329 | 30 | 8 | 335 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 231 | 192 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 333 | 434 | 547 | 981 | 214 | 390 | 20 | 14 | 422 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 243 | 201 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 450 | 458 | 908 | 119 | 388 | 14 | 15 | 410 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 183 | 156 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 390 | 468 | 858 | 173 | 331 | 16 | 13 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 208 | 176 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 301 | 406 | 386 | 792 | 85 | 388 | 20 | 14 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 55 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 375 | 444 | 729 | 1.174 | 354 | 378 | 15 | 9 | 492 | 219 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Rays | — | 269 | 245 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 76 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 200 | 271 | 306 | 577 | 106 | 259 | 28 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 146 | 131 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 259 | 260 | 518 | 69 | 267 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 196 | 183 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 250 | 284 | 534 | 87 | 256 | 28 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 472 | 429 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 118 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 219 | 283 | 308 | 590 | 89 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 338 | 307 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 102 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 173 | 237 | 215 | 452 | 42 | 246 | 30 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 276 | 259 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 267 | 320 | 588 | 93 | 288 | 25 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 117 | 106 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 336 | 415 | 751 | 142 | 364 | 28 | 5 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 295 | 270 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 84 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 260 | 315 | 575 | 115 | 259 | 28 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 75 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 267 | 296 | 562 | 70 | 310 | 28 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 112 | 100 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 277 | 320 | 597 | 130 | 251 | 30 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 127 | 119 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 252 | 319 | 571 | 118 | 306 | 36 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Rays | — | 269 | 245 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 76 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 200 | 271 | 306 | 577 | 106 | 264 | 28 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Rays | — | 269 | 237 | 78 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 62 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 329 | 409 | 540 | 949 | 211 | 405 | 23 | 9 | 419 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 146 | 131 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 259 | 260 | 518 | 69 | 281 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Rays | — | 146 | 128 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 350 | 383 | 732 | 109 | 350 | 21 | 6 | 326 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 196 | 183 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 250 | 284 | 534 | 87 | 264 | 28 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | Princeton Rays | — | 196 | 178 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 327 | 376 | 703 | 118 | 311 | 20 | 8 | 318 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 110 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 139 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 217 | 279 | 301 | 580 | 85 | 279 | 25 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 493 | 134 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 102 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 272 | 350 | 412 | 761 | 140 | 313 | 18 | 9 | 340 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 370 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 123 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 173 | 237 | 216 | 453 | 43 | 255 | 30 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 407 | 365 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 93 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 216 | 287 | 263 | 550 | 47 | 284 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 524 | 490 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 135 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 283 | 345 | 628 | 106 | 312 | 26 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 524 | 481 | 133 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 106 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 277 | 331 | 407 | 738 | 131 | 335 | 20 | 7 | 328 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 295 | 270 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 84 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 260 | 315 | 575 | 115 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 295 | 262 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 68 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 305 | 366 | 671 | 141 | 275 | 23 | 10 | 300 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Panama | — | 188 | 157 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 376 | 476 | 567 | 1.043 | 191 | 425 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Panama | — | 188 | 157 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 376 | 476 | 567 | 1.043 | 191 | 425 | 14 | 14 | 457 | 196 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 364 | 77 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 118 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 284 | 330 | 614 | 118 | 280 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 404 | 345 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 96 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 367 | 420 | 787 | 157 | 332 | 24 | 12 | 353 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 332 | 70 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 129 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 211 | 258 | 337 | 595 | 127 | 307 | 36 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 358 | 308 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 302 | 391 | 506 | 897 | 205 | 369 | 24 | 12 | 391 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 243 | 201 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 450 | 458 | 908 | 119 | 388 | 14 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 243 | 201 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 450 | 458 | 908 | 119 | 388 | 14 | 15 | 410 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 183 | 156 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 390 | 468 | 858 | 173 | 331 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 183 | 156 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 390 | 468 | 858 | 173 | 331 | 16 | 13 | 380 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 208 | 176 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 301 | 406 | 386 | 792 | 85 | 388 | 20 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 208 | 176 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 301 | 406 | 386 | 792 | 85 | 388 | 20 | 14 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 55 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 375 | 444 | 729 | 1.174 | 354 | 378 | 15 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 55 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 375 | 444 | 729 | 1.174 | 354 | 378 | 15 | 9 | 492 | 219 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Rays | — | 269 | 243 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 76 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 202 | 271 | 309 | 580 | 107 | 259 | 28 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 146 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 259 | 256 | 514 | 68 | 267 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 196 | 181 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 199 | 250 | 287 | 537 | 88 | 256 | 28 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 110 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 139 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 217 | 279 | 301 | 580 | 85 | 275 | 25 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 373 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 123 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 172 | 237 | 214 | 451 | 43 | 246 | 30 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 524 | 489 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 135 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 283 | 346 | 628 | 106 | 311 | 26 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 295 | 271 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 84 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 199 | 260 | 314 | 574 | 114 | 259 | 28 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 404 | 364 | 77 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 118 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 284 | 330 | 614 | 118 | 275 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 334 | 70 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 129 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 210 | 258 | 335 | 593 | 126 | 306 | 36 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4033 | 3631 | 846 | 162 | 11 | 69 | 306 | 1043 | 61 | 26 | 23 | 233 | 303 | 341 | 644 | 108 | 305 | 26 | 8 | 197 | 19 | -387 | -4 | +0 | +72 | +87 | -23.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 136 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 168 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 232 | 303 | 340 | 643 | 108 | 304 | 26 | 8 | 197 | 19 | -62 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 127 PAwOBA .325 → .258 (−68)K% 29.9% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.92% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .325 → .258; ISO .190 → .131; BABIP .329 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 112 PAwOBA .331 → .268 (−63)K% 25.0% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 8.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.40% | ÷1.045 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 17.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.053 | ×0.870 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 112, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .331 → .268; ISO .179 → .144; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 75 PAwOBA .306 → .260 (−47)K% 22.7% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.67% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.897 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 79, 3B 97, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .260; ISO .116 → .085; BABIP .320 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 295 PAwOBA .294 → .253 (−41)K% 23.1% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.05% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.83% | ÷0.963 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.10% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 19.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .294 → .253; ISO .141 → .121; BABIP .275 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 276 PAwOBA .275 → .260 (−14)K% 21.4% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.055 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.031 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.73% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.010 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 93, 2B 101, 3B 102, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .275 → .260; ISO .107 → .099; BABIP .281 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 117 PAwOBA .373 → .320 (−53)K% 19.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷1.022 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.42% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.16% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 25.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.88% | ÷1.012 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 9.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.857 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 106, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .373 → .320; ISO .154 → .137; BABIP .388 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 338 PAwOBA .239 → .206 (−33)K% 21.6% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷1.017 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.51% | ÷0.967 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.87% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.007 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 115, 2B 102, 3B 105, K 103, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .239 → .206; ISO .046 → .042; BABIP .261 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 472 PAwOBA .298 → .260 (−38)K% 18.6% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.56% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.956 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 91, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .298 → .260; ISO .108 → .091; BABIP .282 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .