Johan Quezada prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Johan Quezada P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 31 RHP 6'9" / 255 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%21.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SL-0.5

FB-1.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	19	0	21	87	23	12	1	0%	1.1	18.0%	17.2%	0.7%	1.6%	3.38	4.65	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	19	0	21	87	23	12	1	0%	1.1	26.4%	13.8%	12.6%	1.1%	3.38	3.24	—
2016	21	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	19	0	30	139	29	21	1	0%	1.6	14.2%	18.9%	-4.7%	1.0%	5.04	4.85	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	19	0	30	139	29	21	1	0%	1.6	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	0.7%	5.04	3.69	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	33	139	31	14	0	0%	2.0	14.0%	14.7%	-0.7%	0.0%	1.93	3.78	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	33	139	31	14	0	0%	2.0	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	0.0%	1.93	2.49	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	33	0	52	233	49	27	2	0%	1.6	16.2%	13.3%	2.9%	0.8%	3.44	3.85	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	33	0	52	233	49	27	2	0%	1.6	21.0%	11.6%	9.4%	0.9%	3.44	3.27	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	9.00	7.32	-0.1
2020	25	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	3	0	3	12	2	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	8.3%	9.00	7.10	-0.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	2	24	112	28	9	3	11%	1.3	17.7%	10.3%	7.4%	5.7%	6.38	6.03	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	2	24	112	28	9	3	11%	1.3	25.0%	8.0%	17.0%	2.7%	6.38	3.52	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	60	274	73	37	3	2%	1.4	21.9%	15.2%	6.7%	1.3%	4.83	3.88	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	1	60	274	73	37	3	2%	1.4	26.6%	13.5%	13.1%	1.1%	4.83	3.17	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	43	201	43	35	5	0%	1.5	18.8%	13.4%	5.4%	2.8%	4.85	4.77	-0.1
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	43	201	43	35	5	0%	1.5	18.8%	13.4%	5.4%	2.8%	4.85	4.77	-0.1
2023	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	43	201	43	35	5	0%	1.5	21.4%	17.4%	4.0%	2.5%	4.85	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	0	4	20	2	6	1	0%	0.9	10.0%	30.0%	-20.0%	5.0%	14.73	10.46	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.2%	10.9%	10.4%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIA	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	11.1%	9.9%	3.2%	4.80	4.89	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIA	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.1%	9.9%	3.2%	4.80	4.89	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	53	9	10	2	0%	1.0	16.8%	18.3%	-1.5%	3.9%	8.00	6.14	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	0	200	924	158	176	35	0%	1.0	16.8%	18.3%	-1.5%	3.9%	8.00	6.14	-3.7
Career	—	MLE		180	3	266	1197	212	174	21	2%	1.5	17.7%	14.5%	3.2%	1.8%	4.30	4.42	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	2	200	900	159	131	16	2%	1.5	17.7%	14.5%	3.2%	1.8%	4.30	4.42	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johan Quezada (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	21.2%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.89	21.0%	9.9%	21	+0.18	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	81
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	77
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	77
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	76
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	76
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	75
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	75
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	74
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	73
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	73
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	73
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	73