Yadiel Hernandez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 35 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 263 | .278/.366/.317 | 0 | 1 | 95 | — | .154/.175/.179 |
| 2024 | 36 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 184 | .191/.309/.289 | 3 | 0 | 71 | — | |
| 2025 | 37 | INTLTigres de Ara… | 137 | .257/.378/.381 | 3 | 1 | 119 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Cuba | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 13 | 13 | 93 | -51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 29 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 460 | 397 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 56 | 66 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 292 | 381 | 441 | 822 | 149 | 323 | 14 | 12 | 364 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 67 | 59 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 288 | 354 | 339 | 693 | 51 | 327 | 12 | 9 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 363 | 325 | 90 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 88 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 277 | 349 | 431 | 780 | 154 | 348 | 24 | 10 | 347 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 129 | 108 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 315 | 426 | 537 | 963 | 222 | 325 | 14 | 16 | 425 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 46 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 283 | 286 | 568 | 71 | 321 | 30 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 508 | 439 | 142 | 22 | 1 | 33 | 63 | 106 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 323 | 410 | 604 | 1.013 | 280 | 357 | 21 | 12 | 435 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 266 | 211 | 71 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 336 | 468 | 441 | 908 | 104 | 415 | 19 | 19 | 410 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 28 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 222 | 423 | 645 | 231 | 286 | 43 | 4 | 269 | 67 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 212 | 177 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 339 | 448 | 475 | 923 | 136 | 444 | 22 | 16 | 415 | 167 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 289 | 264 | 72 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 331 | 413 | 744 | 140 | 318 | 20 | 8 | 331 | 109 | +3 | +1 | -6 | -4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 33 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 64 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 344 | 576 | 920 | 288 | 279 | 17 | 8 | 399 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 327 | 305 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 314 | 410 | 724 | 141 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 321 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 35 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 40 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 225 | 256 | 481 | 51 | 333 | 38 | 2 | 217 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 35 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 223 | 191 | 56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 293 | 392 | 330 | 722 | 37 | 335 | 11 | 13 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 36 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 184 | 152 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 309 | 289 | 598 | 99 | 220 | 19 | 13 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 37 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 137 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 378 | 381 | 758 | 124 | 321 | 23 | 15 | 343 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 644 | 595 | 159 | 27 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 145 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 267 | 318 | 412 | 729 | 145 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 323 | 105 | +4 | +1 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 460 | 417 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 79 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 266 | 326 | 388 | 714 | 122 | 299 | 17 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 363 | 338 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 101 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 283 | 343 | 626 | 109 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 129 | 117 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 282 | 349 | 462 | 810 | 179 | 297 | 17 | 9 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 508 | 462 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 40 | 143 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 253 | 314 | 457 | 771 | 203 | 300 | 28 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 28 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 222 | 423 | 645 | 231 | 286 | 43 | 4 | 267 | 67 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 289 | 265 | 72 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 272 | 328 | 411 | 739 | 140 | 318 | 20 | 7 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +1 | -6 | -4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 64 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 266 | 410 | 675 | 180 | 233 | 22 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 327 | 305 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 314 | 410 | 724 | 141 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 35 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 40 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 175 | 179 | 354 | 26 | 277 | 45 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL MLE | Cuba | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2014 | 26 | INTL RAW | Cuba | — | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 13 | 13 | 93 | -51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 477 | 126 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 90 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 264 | 324 | 382 | 705 | 117 | 303 | 17 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 456 | 133 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 74 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 292 | 378 | 428 | 805 | 136 | 324 | 14 | 12 | 357 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 496 | 122 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 135 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 302 | 377 | 679 | 131 | 308 | 25 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 538 | 475 | 133 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 120 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 280 | 362 | 442 | 804 | 162 | 340 | 22 | 11 | 358 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 774 | 703 | 176 | 25 | 1 | 38 | 60 | 218 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 250 | 312 | 451 | 763 | 201 | 303 | 28 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 774 | 650 | 213 | 29 | 1 | 38 | 113 | 156 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 328 | 430 | 551 | 980 | 223 | 377 | 20 | 15 | 427 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 229 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 103 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 188 | 222 | 415 | 637 | 227 | 288 | 43 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 240 | 203 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 59 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 320 | 423 | 468 | 891 | 148 | 429 | 25 | 15 | 398 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 326 | 85 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 313 | 405 | 718 | 144 | 300 | 21 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -6 | -4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 353 | 323 | 89 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 70 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 333 | 443 | 776 | 167 | 311 | 20 | 8 | 343 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -6 | -4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 327 | 305 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 314 | 410 | 724 | 141 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 327 | 305 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 314 | 410 | 724 | 141 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 321 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 35 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 263 | 256 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 121 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 148 | 168 | 180 | 348 | 31 | 279 | 46 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 35 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 263 | 230 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 278 | 366 | 317 | 684 | 39 | 335 | 15 | 11 | 318 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 36 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 184 | 152 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 309 | 289 | 598 | 99 | 220 | 19 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 36 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 184 | 152 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 309 | 289 | 598 | 99 | 220 | 19 | 13 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 37 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 137 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 378 | 381 | 758 | 124 | 321 | 23 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 37 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 137 | 113 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 378 | 381 | 758 | 124 | 321 | 23 | 15 | 343 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 480 | 126 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 90 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 263 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 117 | 299 | 17 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 493 | 122 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 135 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 247 | 302 | 379 | 682 | 132 | 306 | 25 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 774 | 705 | 176 | 25 | 1 | 38 | 60 | 218 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 250 | 312 | 450 | 762 | 200 | 300 | 28 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 228 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 103 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 189 | 222 | 417 | 638 | 228 | 286 | 43 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 353 | 325 | 85 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 313 | 406 | 720 | 145 | 303 | 21 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 327 | 304 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 314 | 411 | 725 | 141 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 35 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 263 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 121 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 149 | 168 | 180 | 348 | 31 | 277 | 46 | 2 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 644 | 595 | 159 | 27 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 145 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 267 | 318 | 412 | 729 | 145 | 321 | 23 | 7 | 323 | 68 | +4 | +1 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 160 | 27 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 146 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 266 | 316 | 409 | 726 | 143 | 320 | 22 | 6 | 323 | 68 | +4 | +1 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3358 | 3069 | 730 | 131 | 5 | 100 | 241 | 882 | 15 | 31 | 24 | 238 | 297 | 382 | 678 | 144 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | +4 | +1 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 141 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 171 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 297 | 379 | 676 | 141 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | +4 | +1 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 40 PAwOBA .211 → .150 (−61)K% 37.5% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.50% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 1.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 21.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.137 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 5.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .211 → .150; ISO .051 → .031; BABIP .333 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAARochester Red Wings · 64 PAwOBA .387 → .289 (−98)K% 17.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 18.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 3.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.42% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 7.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .387 → .289; ISO .288 → .196; BABIP .279 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 508 PAwOBA .425 → .330 (−95)K% 20.9% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.87% | ÷0.953 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.42% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.83% | ÷0.959 | ×0.900 | ×0.988 | ×0.952 | 22.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷0.976 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.952 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.952 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.91% | ÷0.962 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 7.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 128, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .425 → .330; ISO .280 → .210; BABIP .357 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 363 PAwOBA .336 → .278 (−58)K% 24.2% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.24% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.58% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 23.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.205 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .336 → .278; ISO .154 → .117; BABIP .348 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAHarrisburg Senators · 129 PAwOBA .410 → .349 (−61)K% 14.0% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 25.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 6.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 114, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .410 → .349; ISO .222 → .186; BABIP .325 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAHarrisburg Senators · 460 PAwOBA .355 → .310 (−45)K% 14.3% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.35% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.52% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 7.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.77% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 23.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.34% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.906 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.948 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 81, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .355 → .310; ISO .149 → .125; BABIP .323 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .