Victor González

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	MIX2 levels	54	1	54	4.53	3.04	22.9%	11.0%	1.0	K 21.6% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.05
2024	28	MIX2 levels	48	0	45	4.17	4.29	16.1%	11.1%	0.1	K 14.6% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.28
2025	29	MIX2 levels	37	0	42	3.89	4.80	18.0%	17.5%	—	K 16.2% · BB 16.0% · FIP 4.74
2027PROJ	31	MLBLAA	50	0	52	5.02	5.35	17.9%	14.6%	-0.5
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBLAA	17	0	18	5.37	5.61	17.1%	15.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBLAA	23	0	24	5.68	5.89	16.2%	15.4%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo15

xwOBA vs14

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsJuan Pablo Perez (age 28) · Stephen Randolph (age 30) · Pedro Borbón (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.02

FIP5.35

K%17.9%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%3.3%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1592.0

Whiff%

p1018.1%

p1011.3%

xwOBA vs

p140.355

FB+2.6 (48%)

SL+0.6 (28%)

SI (48%)

CH (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	66	300	56	19	5	74%	3.5	12.8%	7.3%	5.5%	2.2%	5.43	4.17	—
2015	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	14	66	300	56	19	5	74%	3.5	18.7%	6.3%	12.3%	1.7%	5.43	3.25	—
2016	20	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	22	19	95	412	104	44	7	86%	4.3	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	2.3%	3.61	4.38	—
2016	20	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	22	19	95	412	104	44	7	86%	4.3	25.2%	10.7%	14.6%	1.7%	3.61	3.26	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	34	157	25	9	4	80%	3.4	12.0%	5.3%	6.7%	3.2%	7.49	4.51	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	8	34	157	25	9	4	80%	3.4	15.9%	5.7%	10.2%	2.5%	7.49	3.96	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	13	90	380	93	32	7	34%	2.4	19.7%	9.4%	10.3%	2.2%	2.31	3.83	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	13	90	380	93	32	7	34%	2.4	24.5%	8.4%	16.1%	1.8%	2.31	3.11	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	15	1	20	80	23	2	0	7%	1.4	28.7%	2.5%	26.2%	0.0%	1.33	0.99	+0.9
2020	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	15	1	20	80	23	2	0	7%	1.4	28.7%	2.5%	26.2%	0.0%	1.33	1.13	+0.8
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	58	2	46	205	51	20	5	3%	0.8	21.3%	11.0%	10.3%	1.9%	4.08	3.71	+0.5
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	58	2	46	205	51	20	5	3%	0.8	24.9%	9.8%	15.1%	2.4%	4.08	3.60	+0.5
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	13	54	12	5	1	0%	1.0	17.6%	10.5%	7.1%	2.2%	2.84	4.16	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	13	54	12	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.3%	13.0%	1.9%	2.84	3.42	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	1	54	227	52	25	2	2%	1.0	21.6%	10.3%	11.2%	0.8%	4.53	3.05	+1.0
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	1	54	227	52	25	2	2%	1.0	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	0.9%	4.53	3.04	+1.0
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	45	199	32	22	4	0%	0.9	14.6%	10.6%	4.0%	1.9%	4.17	4.28	+0.1
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	45	199	32	22	4	0%	0.9	14.6%	10.6%	4.0%	1.9%	4.17	4.28	+0.1
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	45	199	32	22	4	0%	0.9	16.1%	11.1%	5.0%	2.0%	4.17	4.29	+0.1
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	42	194	35	34	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	16.0%	0.2%	1.8%	3.89	4.74	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	42	194	35	34	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	16.0%	0.2%	1.8%	3.89	4.74	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	42	194	35	34	3	0%	1.1	18.0%	17.5%	0.5%	1.5%	3.89	4.80	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			120	3	113	467	97	41	8	2%	0.9	20.8%	8.8%	12.0%	1.7%	3.36	3.39	+1.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	LAA	50	0	52	220	39	32	6	0%	1.0	17.9%	14.6%	3.3%	2.8%	5.02	5.35	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	48	204	35	30	6	0%	1.0	17.1%	15.0%	2.1%	3.0%	5.37	5.61	-0.5
2029	33	MLB MLE	LAA	42	0	44	187	30	29	6	0%	1.1	16.2%	15.4%	0.8%	3.3%	5.68	5.89	-0.6
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAA	17	0	18	76	13	11	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	15.0%	2.1%	3.0%	5.37	5.61	-0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	LAA	23	0	24	101	16	16	3	0%	1.0	16.2%	15.4%	0.8%	3.3%	5.68	5.89	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		160	3	155	645	126	68	14	2%	1.0	19.6%	10.6%	9.1%	2.1%	3.95	3.95	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		207	4	200	833	163	88	18	2%	1.0	19.6%	10.6%	9.1%	2.1%	3.95	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		314	58	504	2208	395	223	44	18%	1.6	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.0%	3.98	3.96	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	23	200	876	156	89	17	18%	1.6	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	2.0%	3.98	3.96	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor González (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	17.9%	14.6%	2.8%	—	5.74	16.7%	1.5%	92	+0.39	—	—	—
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	73
Stephen Randolph L 2004 · 5.69 FIP	30	SU	5.69	15.8%	18.8%	2.8%	.252	5.97	28.2%	9.0%	13	+0.28	4.83	155	72
Pedro Borbón L 2000 · 5.20 FIP	32	SU	5.20	13.6%	15.5%	2.4%	.274	4.23	21.1%	15.5%	104	-0.97	2.26	264	71
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	71
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	70
Scott Sauerbeck L 2003 · 4.59 FIP	31	SU	4.59	19.2%	14.6%	2.3%	.247	4.29	18.9%	7.8%	61	-0.30	2.79	386	68
Jack Taschner L 2009 · 4.72 FIP	31	SU	4.72	13.3%	12.6%	2.1%	.340	4.74	18.1%	6.4%	20	+0.02	3.14	189	68
Ashur Tolliver L 2017 · 5.03 FIP	29	SU	5.03	13.8%	18.9%	1.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	134	68
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	67
Fabian Williamson L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SU	4.78	20.5%	21.1%	1.3%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	154	67
Vic Darensbourg L 2002 · 5.46 FIP	31	SU	5.46	14.2%	9.4%	4.3%	.304	4.11	9.4%	4.2%	22	-1.35	2.94	287	67
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	66
Scott Alexander L 2020 · 5.61 FIP	31	SU	5.61	17.3%	15.4%	3.7%	.212	3.15	14.5%	11.1%	81	-2.46	2.90	427	66
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	65
Eric DuBose L 2005 · 5.45 FIP	29	SW	5.45	12.6%	14.1%	3.0%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	178	64
Tom Martin L 2001 · 5.68 FIP	31	SU	5.68	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	.311	4.25	19.8%	11.1%	96	-1.43	3.40	303	64
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	64
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	62
Phil Dumatrait L 2011 · 5.09 FIP	30	SU	5.09	14.8%	10.2%	3.5%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.39	151	62
Joey Eischen L 2001 · 5.00 FIP	31	SU	5.00	14.5%	11.5%	3.0%	.269	3.14	20.9%	14.9%	125	-1.86	2.13	294	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	37	18.7%	12.6%	0.96	4.47
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Ray Searage ('81-'90, 4 WAR*)	1.4	41	21.0%*	10.8%*	0.84*	3.70*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Mark Dewey ('90-'96, 3 WAR*)	1.2	42	18.7%*	9.6%*	0.80*	3.89*