Carlos Tocci

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1995-08-23

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	27	INTLTigres de Ara…	195	.262/.328/.297	1	2	77	—
2024	28	INTLLeones del Ca…	130	.209/.278/.287	0	0	58	—
2025	29	INTLTiburones de …	101	.276/.427/.382	0	0	128	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Power31Speed57Eye45

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	16	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	107	97	27	2	0	0	6	18	2	9	2	278	333	299	632	21	338	17	6	288	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	459	421	88	17	0	0	22	77	9	6	7	209	263	249	513	40	253	17	5	235	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	538	487	118	18	8	2	25	96	14	10	11	242	298	324	623	82	297	18	5	278	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	298	275	71	9	0	2	12	52	4	3	9	258	299	313	612	55	308	17	4	273	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	261	234	75	14	2	2	20	31	6	14	2	321	388	423	812	103	361	12	8	365	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	39	30	10	0	1	0	4	3	3	2	1	333	459	400	859	67	357	8	10	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	556	500	142	26	2	3	34	76	5	13	6	284	336	362	698	78	324	14	6	307	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	249	217	70	8	2	1	20	36	10	1	3	323	403	392	795	69	381	14	8	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	54	53	10	0	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	189	204	245	449	57	220	20	2	202	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	474	430	132	19	7	2	29	66	10	4	5	307	365	398	762	91	356	14	6	341	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	75	70	22	5	2	0	2	5	3	5	0	314	360	443	803	129	338	7	3	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	135	120	27	3	2	0	7	39	1	0	3	225	273	283	557	58	329	29	5	242	45	-9	-1	+1	+1	+3	-0.5
2018	22	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	30	28	6	2	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	261	17	7	253	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	27	22	7	0	1	0	4	5	0	3	1	318	423	409	832	91	389	19	15	364	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	147	129	45	6	0	0	11	12	4	3	2	349	417	395	812	47	381	8	7	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	367	328	80	9	0	4	30	64	5	4	6	244	317	308	625	64	288	17	8	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	74	64	11	3	0	1	10	16	0	0	0	172	284	266	549	94	213	22	14	260	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	58	56	13	1	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	232	259	250	509	18	283	17	0	235	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	242	218	74	15	0	1	13	24	8	2	1	339	397	422	820	83	374	10	5	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	177	47	6	0	1	21	17	3	2	1	266	353	316	670	51	286	8	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	172	45	3	0	1	13	20	4	2	0	262	328	297	625	35	289	10	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	130	115	24	9	0	0	7	14	4	0	0	209	278	287	565	78	233	11	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	101	76	21	6	1	0	14	12	6	0	0	276	427	382	809	105	323	12	14	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	135	120	27	3	2	0	7	39	1	0	3	225	273	283	557	58	329	29	5	242	50	-8	-1	+1	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	107	99	22	1	0	0	4	26	2	9	2	222	267	232	499	10	289	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	459	428	81	14	0	0	15	102	9	6	7	189	232	222	454	33	241	22	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	538	494	113	16	7	2	18	126	14	10	11	229	276	302	577	73	290	23	3	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	298	277	68	9	0	2	10	79	4	3	9	245	282	300	581	54	318	27	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	261	241	69	12	2	2	13	42	6	14	2	286	338	378	716	91	337	16	5	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	556	508	137	27	2	3	26	110	5	13	6	270	312	348	660	79	318	20	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	54	53	9	0	0	1	1	14	0	0	0	170	185	226	412	57	199	26	2	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	474	439	132	18	7	1	20	80	10	4	5	301	345	380	726	80	354	17	4	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	135	120	27	3	2	0	7	39	1	0	3	225	273	283	557	58	329	29	5	235	45	-9	-1	+1	+1	+3	-0.5
2018	22	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	30	28	6	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	243	20	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	27	23	7	0	1	0	3	7	0	3	1	304	385	391	776	87	366	26	11	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	367	335	68	7	0	3	23	81	5	4	6	203	264	251	515	48	253	22	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	74	67	11	3	0	1	7	20	0	0	0	164	243	254	497	90	204	27	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	58	56	13	1	0	0	0	12	2	0	0	232	259	250	509	18	281	21	0	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	107	99	22	1	0	0	4	26	2	9	2	222	267	232	499	10	297	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	—	107	97	27	2	0	0	6	18	2	9	2	278	333	299	632	21	338	17	6	288	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	459	428	81	14	0	0	15	102	9	6	7	189	232	222	454	33	245	22	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	459	421	88	17	0	0	22	77	9	6	7	209	263	249	513	40	253	17	5	235	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	538	494	113	16	7	2	18	126	14	10	11	229	276	302	577	73	302	23	3	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	538	487	118	18	8	2	25	96	14	10	11	242	298	324	623	82	297	18	5	278	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	598	551	147	23	2	4	24	129	13	19	12	267	313	338	650	71	338	22	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	598	539	156	23	3	4	36	86	13	19	12	289	349	365	714	76	335	14	6	320	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	805	734	198	39	3	4	38	159	15	14	9	270	319	347	666	78	334	20	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	805	717	212	34	4	4	54	112	15	14	9	296	357	371	728	75	341	14	7	324	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	603	561	159	20	8	2	24	107	13	9	5	283	328	358	686	75	345	18	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	603	553	164	24	9	3	32	82	13	9	5	297	349	389	738	92	342	14	5	331	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	339	303	69	8	5	0	20	91	5	6	6	228	287	287	574	59	321	27	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL RAW	4 teams	—	339	299	85	11	3	0	24	61	5	6	6	284	348	341	689	57	353	18	7	306	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	367	335	68	7	0	3	23	81	5	4	6	203	264	251	515	48	255	22	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	367	328	80	9	0	4	30	64	5	4	6	244	317	308	625	64	288	17	8	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	374	341	64	10	0	2	20	91	10	2	1	188	253	235	488	47	248	24	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	374	338	98	19	0	2	23	50	10	2	1	290	353	364	717	74	333	13	6	325	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	177	47	6	0	1	21	17	3	2	1	266	353	316	670	51	286	8	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	206	177	47	6	0	1	21	17	3	2	1	266	353	316	670	51	286	8	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	172	45	3	0	1	13	20	4	2	0	262	328	297	625	35	289	10	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	195	172	45	3	0	1	13	20	4	2	0	262	328	297	625	35	289	10	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL MLE	Leones del Caracas	—	130	115	24	9	0	0	7	14	4	0	0	209	278	287	565	78	233	11	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL RAW	Leones del Caracas	—	130	115	24	9	0	0	7	14	4	0	0	209	278	287	565	78	233	11	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	101	76	21	6	1	0	14	12	6	0	0	276	427	382	809	105	323	12	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	101	76	21	6	1	0	14	12	6	0	0	276	427	382	809	105	323	12	14	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	107	100	22	1	0	0	4	26	2	9	2	220	267	230	497	10	289	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	459	432	81	14	0	0	15	102	9	6	7	188	232	220	452	32	241	22	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	538	501	113	16	7	2	18	126	14	10	11	226	276	297	573	72	290	23	3	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	598	556	147	23	2	4	24	129	13	19	12	264	313	335	647	70	327	22	4	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	805	746	198	39	3	4	38	159	15	14	9	265	319	342	661	76	318	20	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	603	561	159	20	8	2	24	107	13	9	5	283	328	358	686	75	338	18	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	339	311	69	8	5	0	20	91	5	6	6	222	287	280	566	58	321	27	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	367	336	68	7	0	3	23	81	5	4	6	202	264	250	514	48	253	22	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	374	341	64	10	0	2	20	91	10	2	1	188	253	235	488	47	238	24	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	135	120	27	3	2	0	7	39	1	0	3	225	273	283	557	58	329	29	5	242	37	-8	-1	+1	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	130	14	10	0	34	188	5	0	14	225	274	284	558	59	329	29	5	242	37	-39	-6	+6	+6	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4822	4386	1058	162	26	19	241	975	103	83	60	241	296	303	599	62	303	20	5	223	37	-8	-1	+1	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	144	22	4	3	32	131	14	11	8	244	298	310	607	66	305	20	5	223	37	-39	-6	+6	+6	+14	-2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAARochester Red Wings · 74 PAwOBA .254 → .211 (−43)K% 21.6% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.62%	÷0.979	×1.200	—	—	26.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.51%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×1.018	9.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.58%	÷0.994	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	14.58%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.005	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	5.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷0.968	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.53%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .254 → .211; ISO .094 → .075; BABIP .213 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAHarrisburg Senators · 58 PAwOBA .228 → .213 (−15)K% 17.2% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.24%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	21.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×0.988	0.00%
HBP% /PA	3.45%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	2.90%
Singles /BIP	26.09%	÷0.967	×0.940	×1.048	×0.988	26.27%
Doubles /BIP	2.17%	÷1.055	×0.870	×1.048	×0.988	1.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.048	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.037	×0.780	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .228 → .213; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .283 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAANashville Sounds · 367 PAwOBA .282 → .237 (−45)K% 17.4% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.44%	÷1.015	×1.290	—	—	22.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.17%	÷0.988	×0.710	—	×1.048	6.15%
HBP% /PA	1.36%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	1.40%
Singles /BIP	25.38%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.950	×1.048	22.58%
Doubles /BIP	3.41%	÷0.967	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	2.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.069	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.52%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.24%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .282 → .237; ISO .064 → .052; BABIP .288 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAARound Rock Express · 30 PAwOBA .246 → .214 (−32)K% 16.7% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.055	×1.290	—	—	20.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷0.978	×0.710	—	×1.050	5.08%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷0.962	×0.900	—	×1.050	17.08%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.019	×0.810	—	×1.050	7.26%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.978	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .246 → .214; ISO .071 → .058; BABIP .261 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 27 PAwOBA .370 → .328 (−42)K% 18.5% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.52%	÷0.922	×1.220	—	—	24.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.81%	÷1.021	×0.700	—	×1.027	10.43%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	35.29%	÷0.988	×0.920	—	×1.027	33.75%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.993	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.00%
Triples /BIP	5.88%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×1.027	4.94%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.088	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .328; ISO .091 → .079; BABIP .389 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAReading Fightin Phils · 474 PAwOBA .334 → .315 (−19)K% 13.9% → 16.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.92%	÷1.012	×1.220	—	—	16.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.12%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×1.042	4.27%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	1.87%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.013	×0.970	×1.014	×1.042	28.91%
Doubles /BIP	5.22%	÷0.986	×0.860	×1.014	×1.042	4.81%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.063	×0.950	×1.014	×1.042	1.82%
Home runs /BIP	0.55%	÷1.220	×0.780	—	×1.042	0.37%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 113, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .334 → .315; ISO .091 → .081; BABIP .356 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 54 PAwOBA .197 → .165 (−32)K% 20.4% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.37%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	25.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.85%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×1.050	1.32%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.055	×0.930	×0.985	×1.050	19.54%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.969	×0.830	×0.985	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.047	×0.970	×0.985	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷1.043	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.01%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 111, 2B 94, 3B 109, K 92, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .197 → .165; ISO .057 → .045; BABIP .220 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Clearwater Threshers · 556 PAwOBA .303 → .284 (−19)K% 13.7% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.67%	÷0.986	×1.420	—	—	19.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.12%	÷1.011	×0.750	—	×1.027	4.66%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.86%
Singles /BIP	26.18%	÷0.997	×0.920	×1.019	×1.027	25.27%
Doubles /BIP	6.13%	÷0.947	×0.960	×1.019	×1.027	6.50%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.019	×1.027	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	0.71%	÷0.964	×0.880	—	×1.027	0.66%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .303 → .284; ISO .078 → .078; BABIP .324 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .