Luis Valenzuela
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 27 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 31 | .387/.387/.419 | 0 | 0 | 131 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 27 | .296/.296/.296 | 0 | 0 | 68 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 36 | .182/.250/.212 | 0 | 0 | 35 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 267 | 502 | 133 | 160 | 15 | 12 | 230 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 200 | 130 | 330 | 136 | 4 | 8 | 164 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 234 | 216 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 259 | 307 | 370 | 678 | 111 | 318 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 210 | 198 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 343 | 372 | 490 | 862 | 146 | 390 | 14 | 4 | 375 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 37 | 35 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 486 | 486 | 600 | 1.086 | 114 | 500 | 8 | 0 | 458 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 198 | 189 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 292 | 376 | 668 | 106 | 299 | 12 | 3 | 292 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 37 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 382 | 432 | 500 | 932 | 118 | 481 | 19 | 8 | 414 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 251 | 232 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 259 | 306 | 384 | 690 | 125 | 302 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 62 | 56 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 339 | 393 | 429 | 822 | 89 | 404 | 15 | 6 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 386 | 369 | 104 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 282 | 308 | 369 | 677 | 87 | 337 | 17 | 3 | 301 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 174 | 165 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 306 | 352 | 658 | 79 | 317 | 15 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 319 | 302 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 202 | 237 | 291 | 529 | 89 | 246 | 21 | 4 | 236 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 98 | 94 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 281 | 340 | 622 | 74 | 311 | 20 | 2 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 31 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 387 | 387 | 419 | 806 | 32 | 444 | 13 | 0 | 363 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 27 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 296 | 296 | 593 | 400 | 26 | 0 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 212 | 462 | 30 | 231 | 19 | 8 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 34 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 147 | 129 | 276 | 65 | 102 | 18 | 9 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 25 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 83 | 120 | 83 | 203 | 111 | 4 | 4 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 234 | 222 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 194 | 225 | 261 | 486 | 68 | 261 | 28 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 210 | 202 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 297 | 314 | 411 | 725 | 114 | 364 | 20 | 2 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 37 | 35 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 400 | 400 | 514 | 914 | 114 | 394 | 11 | 0 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 198 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 251 | 319 | 571 | 84 | 275 | 16 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 37 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 343 | 378 | 457 | 836 | 114 | 466 | 24 | 5 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 251 | 237 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 236 | 270 | 350 | 620 | 114 | 280 | 20 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 386 | 375 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 82 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 272 | 336 | 608 | 80 | 315 | 21 | 2 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 319 | 306 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 80 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 190 | 229 | 419 | 65 | 210 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 34 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 147 | 129 | 276 | 65 | 80 | 18 | 9 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 267 | 502 | 133 | 160 | 15 | 12 | 230 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 25 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 83 | 120 | 83 | 203 | 87 | 4 | 4 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 200 | 130 | 330 | 136 | 4 | 8 | 164 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 234 | 222 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 194 | 225 | 261 | 486 | 68 | 268 | 28 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 234 | 216 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 259 | 307 | 370 | 678 | 111 | 318 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 237 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 312 | 326 | 426 | 753 | 114 | 374 | 19 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 247 | 233 | 85 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 365 | 388 | 506 | 895 | 142 | 408 | 13 | 4 | 388 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 198 | 191 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 251 | 319 | 571 | 84 | 275 | 16 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 198 | 189 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 292 | 376 | 668 | 106 | 299 | 12 | 3 | 292 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 350 | 330 | 82 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 71 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 248 | 283 | 358 | 641 | 109 | 309 | 20 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 350 | 322 | 92 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 286 | 335 | 404 | 739 | 118 | 338 | 16 | 5 | 327 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 560 | 543 | 138 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 119 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 254 | 272 | 331 | 603 | 77 | 318 | 21 | 2 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 560 | 534 | 149 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 92 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 279 | 308 | 363 | 671 | 84 | 330 | 16 | 4 | 299 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 400 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 105 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 165 | 189 | 235 | 424 | 70 | 212 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 417 | 396 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 86 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 217 | 248 | 303 | 551 | 86 | 261 | 21 | 4 | 245 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 31 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 387 | 387 | 419 | 806 | 32 | 444 | 13 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 31 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 387 | 387 | 419 | 806 | 32 | 444 | 13 | 0 | 363 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 27 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 296 | 296 | 593 | 400 | 26 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 27 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 296 | 296 | 593 | 400 | 26 | 0 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 212 | 462 | 30 | 231 | 19 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 212 | 462 | 30 | 231 | 19 | 8 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 34 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 147 | 129 | 276 | 65 | 102 | 18 | 9 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 25 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 83 | 120 | 83 | 203 | 111 | 4 | 4 | 121 | -32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 234 | 223 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 193 | 225 | 260 | 485 | 67 | 261 | 28 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 240 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 308 | 326 | 421 | 747 | 112 | 368 | 19 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 198 | 192 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 251 | 318 | 569 | 83 | 275 | 16 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 350 | 331 | 82 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 71 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 248 | 283 | 356 | 640 | 109 | 304 | 20 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 560 | 542 | 138 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 119 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 272 | 332 | 604 | 77 | 315 | 21 | 2 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 402 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 105 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 164 | 189 | 234 | 423 | 70 | 210 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2159 | 2069 | 478 | 92 | 17 | 14 | 56 | 464 | 10 | 31 | 15 | 231 | 255 | 312 | 567 | 81 | 289 | 21 | 3 | 235 | 45 | -141 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +47 | -8.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 623 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 140 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 231 | 255 | 311 | 566 | 80 | 290 | 22 | 3 | 235 | 45 | -42 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AABirmingham Barons · 319 PAwOBA .230 → .187 (−43)K% 20.7% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.76% | ÷0.929 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 2.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.80% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.009 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .230 → .187; ISO .089 → .070; BABIP .246 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAMississippi Braves · 386 PAwOBA .292 → .260 (−32)K% 17.1% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.10% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.85% | ÷1.037 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 1.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 24.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.110 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 122, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .292 → .260; ISO .087 → .076; BABIP .337 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMississippi Braves · 251 PAwOBA .296 → .264 (−32)K% 15.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.98% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 2.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 18.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 7.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .296 → .264; ISO .125 → .112; BABIP .302 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 37 PAwOBA .403 → .368 (−35)K% 18.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.04% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 35.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.936 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.005 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 3.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .403 → .368; ISO .118 → .111; BABIP .481 → .466. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 198 PAwOBA .287 → .248 (−39)K% 11.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.62% | ÷1.030 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.53% | ÷0.970 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 1.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.987 | ×0.800 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.362 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .287 → .248; ISO .106 → .084; BABIP .299 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ARome Braves · 210 PAwOBA .365 → .312 (−53)K% 14.3% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.932 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.29% | ÷1.077 | ×0.660 | — | — | 2.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.76% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 28.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷0.915 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | — | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | — | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.097 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 105, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 86, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .365 → .312; ISO .146 → .119; BABIP .390 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 37 PAwOBA .457 → .366 (−91)K% 8.1% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 46.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 37.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .457 → .366; ISO .114 → .084; BABIP .500 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 234 PAwOBA .293 → .215 (−78)K% 19.2% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .215; ISO .111 → .077; BABIP .318 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .