Josh Lester

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1994-07-17

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	30	AANorthwest Ark…	454	.263/.333/.459	18	2	62	—	.200/.251/.356
2025	31	INTLEstrellas Ori…	218	.236/.362/.407	6	1	122	—
2026	32	INTLEstrellas Ori…	31	.185/.290/.333	1	0	81	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AA

ISO90

wOBA80

wRC+76

K%74

Z-Con%69

Whiff%63

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	21	19	3	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	158	238	263	501	105	231	29	10	232	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	26	23	9	4	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	391	462	696	1.157	304	400	8	8	499	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	68	10	0	0	0	3	22	0	1	0	147	183	147	330		217	31	4	157	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	180	166	44	12	1	4	10	41	0	2	1	265	307	422	729	157	323	23	6	315	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	285	265	73	17	1	9	12	46	3	1	1	275	314	449	763	174	298	16	4	331	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	539	464	120	22	3	21	61	118	5	1	0	259	350	455	805	196	297	22	11	352	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	88	72	17	5	0	2	11	26	1	0	0	236	345	389	734	153	312	30	12	319	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	442	394	88	22	1	17	39	103	1	0	0	223	295	414	709	190	253	23	9	309	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	95	88	19	4	0	7	7	19	0	0	0	216	274	500	774	284	194	20	7	335	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	337	307	85	18	5	25	26	109	3	3	2	277	339	612	952	336	345	32	8	407	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	621	557	137	39	2	29	51	137	5	7	3	246	314	479	794	233	271	22	8	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	23	22	4	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	182	217	182	399		267	30	4	188	12	-2	+0	+0	-9	+0	-1.1
2023	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	470	432	111	21	2	23	31	122	2	2	0	257	309	475	784	218	302	26	7	340	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	403	106	21	2	18	40	90	3	2	0	263	333	459	792	196	291	20	9	345	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	218	182	43	11	1	6	36	39	0	1	0	236	362	407	769	170	270	18	17	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	32	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	31	27	5	1	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	185	290	333	624	148	222	26	10	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	23	22	4	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	182	217	182	399		267	30	4	188	13	-2	+0	+0	-9	+0	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	21	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	21	20	3	2	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	206	38	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK MLE	GCL Tigers	—	26	24	7	3	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	292	346	542	888	250	300	12	4	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	69	7	0	0	0	2	30	0	1	0	101	127	101	228		192	42	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	180	170	38	12	1	2	6	58	0	2	1	224	250	341	591	118	300	32	3	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	285	269	57	13	1	8	8	64	3	1	1	212	243	357	600	145	238	22	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	539	486	110	20	3	15	40	144	5	1	0	226	292	372	664	146	276	27	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	88	77	18	5	0	2	6	30	1	0	0	234	298	377	674	143	289	34	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	442	408	73	17	1	10	25	126	1	0	0	179	228	299	527	120	217	29	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	95	90	15	3	0	5	5	23	0	0	0	167	211	367	577	200	160	24	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	337	314	66	15	4	17	19	129	3	3	2	210	262	446	708	236	287	38	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	621	575	113	31	2	20	34	163	5	7	3	197	248	362	609	165	229	26	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	23	22	4	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	182	217	182	399		267	30	4	186	12	-2	+0	+0	-9	+0	-1.1
2023	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	470	443	88	16	2	15	21	149	2	2	0	199	238	345	584	147	253	32	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	419	84	16	2	15	25	111	3	2	0	200	251	356	606	155	221	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	47	43	9	4	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	209	277	372	649	163	258	23	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	47	42	12	6	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	286	362	500	862	214	333	17	9	379	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	69	7	0	0	0	2	30	0	1	0	101	127	101	228		179	42	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	68	10	0	0	0	3	22	0	1	0	147	183	147	330		217	31	4	157	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	465	439	94	25	1	10	14	122	3	3	2	214	243	344	587	130	267	26	3	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	465	431	117	29	2	13	22	87	3	3	2	271	311	439	750	167	307	19	5	325	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	539	486	110	20	3	15	40	144	5	1	0	226	292	372	664	146	284	27	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	539	464	120	22	3	21	61	118	5	1	0	259	350	455	805	196	297	22	11	352	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	530	485	90	21	1	12	31	156	2	0	0	186	237	307	545	122	238	29	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	530	466	105	27	1	19	50	129	2	0	0	225	303	410	713	185	261	24	9	311	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	405	81	18	4	22	23	152	3	3	2	200	248	427	675	227	254	35	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	432	395	104	22	5	32	33	128	3	3	2	263	325	587	912	324	305	30	8	391	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	621	575	113	31	2	20	34	163	5	7	3	197	248	362	609	165	233	26	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	621	557	137	39	2	29	51	137	5	7	3	246	314	479	794	233	271	22	8	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	493	465	92	16	2	15	22	156	2	2	0	198	237	338	575	140	258	32	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	493	454	115	21	2	23	32	129	2	2	0	253	305	460	765	207	301	26	6	333	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	419	84	16	2	15	25	111	3	2	0	200	251	356	606	155	230	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	403	106	21	2	18	40	90	3	2	0	263	333	459	792	196	291	20	9	345	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	218	182	43	11	1	6	36	39	0	1	0	236	362	407	769	170	270	18	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	218	182	43	11	1	6	36	39	0	1	0	236	362	407	769	170	270	18	17	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	32	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	31	27	5	1	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	185	290	333	624	148	222	26	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	32	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	31	27	5	1	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	185	290	333	624	148	222	26	10	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	47	43	9	4	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	209	277	372	649	163	258	23	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	71	69	7	0	0	0	2	30	0	1	0	101	127	101	228		192	42	3	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	465	445	94	25	1	10	14	122	3	3	2	211	243	339	583	128	262	26	3	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	539	489	110	20	3	15	40	144	5	1	0	225	292	370	662	145	276	27	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	530	492	90	21	1	12	31	156	2	0	0	183	237	303	540	120	229	29	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	403	81	18	4	22	23	152	3	3	2	201	248	429	678	228	259	35	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	621	577	113	31	2	20	34	163	5	7	3	196	248	360	608	165	229	26	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	493	466	92	16	2	15	22	156	2	2	0	197	237	337	574	139	254	32	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	423	84	16	2	15	25	111	3	2	0	199	251	352	603	154	221	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	30	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	454	423	84	16	2	15	25	111	3	2	0	199	251	352	603	154	221	24	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	23	22	4	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	182	217	182	399		267	30	4	188	51	-2	+0	+0	-9	+0	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	622	113	0	0	0	28	198	0	0	0	182	217	182	399		267	30	4	188	51	-67	+0	+3	-249	+14	-30.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3901	3595	728	163	16	117	233	1092	25	20	7	203	256	354	610	152	251	28	6	244	51	-2	+0	+0	-9	+0	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	121	27	3	19	39	182	4	3	1	202	255	352	608	150	251	28	6	244	51	-67	+0	+3	-249	+14	-30.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 454 PAwOBA .341 → .260 (−81)K% 19.8% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.82%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	24.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.81%	÷1.056	×0.700	—	×0.948	5.54%
HBP% /PA	0.66%	—	×0.870	—	×0.948	0.54%
Singles /BIP	20.77%	÷1.073	×0.920	×0.950	×0.948	16.03%
Doubles /BIP	6.71%	÷1.025	×0.840	×0.950	×0.948	4.95%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.950	×0.948	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	5.75%	÷0.920	×0.800	—	×0.948	4.74%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .341 → .260; ISO .196 → .160; BABIP .291 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANorfolk Tides · 470 PAwOBA .332 → .253 (−79)K% 26.0% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.96%	÷0.980	×1.200	—	—	31.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.17%	÷0.948	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.41%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.39%
Singles /BIP	20.97%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.976	×0.982	18.35%
Doubles /BIP	6.77%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.976	×0.982	5.31%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.976	×0.982	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	7.42%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×0.982	5.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .332 → .253; ISO .218 → .152; BABIP .302 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 621 PAwOBA .336 → .263 (−74)K% 22.1% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.06%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	26.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.73%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.49%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.75%
Singles /BIP	15.95%	÷1.015	×0.930	×0.988	×0.992	14.33%
Doubles /BIP	9.29%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.988	×0.992	7.45%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.988	×0.992	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	6.90%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.992	4.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .336 → .263; ISO .233 → .167; BABIP .271 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAErie SeaWolves · 337 PAwOBA .396 → .297 (−99)K% 32.3% → 38.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.34%	÷1.026	×1.220	—	—	38.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.72%	÷0.945	×0.690	—	×0.978	5.51%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.74%
Singles /BIP	18.69%	÷1.030	×0.940	×0.975	×0.978	16.26%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.935	×0.870	×0.975	×0.978	8.06%
Triples /BIP	2.53%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.975	×0.978	1.93%
Home runs /BIP	12.63%	÷1.055	×0.780	—	×0.978	9.13%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .396 → .297; ISO .336 → .239; BABIP .345 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 95 PAwOBA .325 → .235 (−90)K% 20.0% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	24.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.37%	÷1.038	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.59%	÷0.991	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	10.37%
Doubles /BIP	5.80%	÷1.013	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	4.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.981	×0.920	×0.950	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.14%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×1.003	6.77%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .325 → .235; ISO .284 → .191; BABIP .194 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAErie SeaWolves · 442 PAwOBA .304 → .230 (−74)K% 23.3% → 28.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.30%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	28.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.37%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.57%
HBP% /PA	0.23%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.19%
Singles /BIP	16.49%	÷0.978	×0.970	×0.950	×0.998	15.51%
Doubles /BIP	7.56%	÷1.077	×0.860	×0.950	×0.998	5.72%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.127	×0.950	×0.950	×0.998	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	5.84%	÷1.294	×0.780	—	×0.998	3.51%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 125, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .304 → .230; ISO .190 → .124; BABIP .253 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 88 PAwOBA .317 → .301 (−16)K% 29.5% → 33.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	33.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.23%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.033	7.26%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.10%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.013	×0.930	—	×1.033	20.62%
Doubles /BIP	10.87%	÷0.995	×0.830	—	×1.033	9.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.096	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×1.033	4.25%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .301; ISO .153 → .157; BABIP .312 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAErie SeaWolves · 539 PAwOBA .346 → .292 (−54)K% 21.9% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.89%	÷0.999	×1.220	—	—	26.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.58%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×1.012	7.44%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.80%
Singles /BIP	21.39%	÷1.016	×0.970	×0.990	×1.012	20.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.36%	÷0.974	×0.860	×0.990	×1.012	5.63%
Triples /BIP	0.87%	÷0.901	×0.950	×0.990	×1.012	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	6.07%	÷1.112	×0.780	—	×1.012	4.31%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .346 → .292; ISO .196 → .154; BABIP .297 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .