Wes Rogers
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | A+Lancaster Jet… | 521 | .319/.383/.488 | 9 | 70 | 78 | — | .248/.299/.356 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 403 | .244/.311/.350 | 8 | 24 | 37 | — | .191/.240/.253 |
| 2019 | 25 | A+Carolina Mudc… | 282 | .235/.331/.346 | 2 | 9 | 27 | — | .160/.227/.219 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 131 | 113 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 283 | 362 | 425 | 787 | 142 | 341 | 19 | 10 | 342 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 321 | 278 | 76 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 61 | 8 | 46 | 4 | 273 | 359 | 392 | 751 | 119 | 340 | 19 | 9 | 334 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 37 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 414 | 541 | 483 | 1.023 | 69 | 480 | 11 | 22 | 465 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 563 | 487 | 124 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 99 | 7 | 43 | 9 | 255 | 341 | 359 | 701 | 105 | 308 | 18 | 10 | 313 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 521 | 461 | 147 | 37 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 85 | 3 | 70 | 12 | 319 | 383 | 488 | 871 | 169 | 368 | 16 | 9 | 377 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 197 | 175 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 200 | 271 | 269 | 539 | 69 | 254 | 22 | 8 | 245 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 206 | 185 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 286 | 350 | 427 | 777 | 141 | 351 | 23 | 8 | 343 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 282 | 243 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 74 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 331 | 346 | 677 | 111 | 324 | 26 | 12 | 306 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 131 | 118 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 212 | 268 | 297 | 564 | 85 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 321 | 289 | 66 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 80 | 8 | 46 | 4 | 228 | 292 | 315 | 607 | 87 | 294 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 37 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 312 | 405 | 344 | 749 | 31 | 380 | 16 | 14 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 563 | 503 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 138 | 7 | 43 | 9 | 221 | 289 | 308 | 597 | 87 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 521 | 475 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 127 | 3 | 70 | 12 | 248 | 299 | 356 | 654 | 107 | 310 | 24 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 197 | 180 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 172 | 224 | 217 | 441 | 44 | 230 | 26 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 206 | 191 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 69 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 256 | 288 | 544 | 79 | 292 | 33 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 282 | 256 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 109 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 160 | 227 | 219 | 445 | 59 | 264 | 39 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 131 | 118 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 212 | 268 | 297 | 564 | 85 | 287 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 131 | 113 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 283 | 362 | 425 | 787 | 142 | 341 | 19 | 10 | 342 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 322 | 75 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 8 | 53 | 4 | 233 | 298 | 314 | 612 | 81 | 309 | 24 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 358 | 307 | 88 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 65 | 8 | 53 | 4 | 287 | 378 | 401 | 778 | 114 | 354 | 18 | 10 | 348 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 563 | 503 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 138 | 7 | 43 | 9 | 221 | 289 | 308 | 597 | 87 | 292 | 25 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 563 | 487 | 124 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 99 | 7 | 43 | 9 | 255 | 341 | 359 | 701 | 105 | 308 | 18 | 10 | 313 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 521 | 475 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 127 | 3 | 70 | 12 | 248 | 299 | 356 | 654 | 107 | 322 | 24 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 521 | 461 | 147 | 37 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 85 | 3 | 70 | 12 | 319 | 383 | 488 | 871 | 169 | 368 | 16 | 9 | 377 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 371 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 120 | 3 | 24 | 7 | 194 | 243 | 264 | 507 | 70 | 268 | 30 | 5 | 222 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 360 | 88 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 92 | 3 | 24 | 7 | 244 | 311 | 350 | 661 | 106 | 303 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 282 | 256 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 109 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 160 | 227 | 219 | 445 | 59 | 268 | 39 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 282 | 243 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 74 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 331 | 346 | 677 | 111 | 324 | 26 | 12 | 306 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 131 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 207 | 268 | 289 | 557 | 83 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 325 | 75 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 8 | 53 | 4 | 231 | 298 | 311 | 609 | 80 | 303 | 24 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 563 | 510 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 138 | 7 | 43 | 9 | 218 | 289 | 304 | 592 | 86 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 521 | 482 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 127 | 3 | 70 | 12 | 245 | 299 | 351 | 649 | 106 | 310 | 24 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 376 | 72 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 120 | 3 | 24 | 7 | 191 | 243 | 261 | 504 | 69 | 262 | 30 | 5 | 222 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 282 | 258 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 109 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 159 | 227 | 217 | 444 | 58 | 264 | 39 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2258 | 2045 | 442 | 76 | 18 | 20 | 143 | 615 | 24 | 214 | 35 | 216 | 275 | 300 | 576 | 84 | 295 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -113 | +29 | +0 | +8 | +49 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 127 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 177 | 7 | 62 | 10 | 216 | 275 | 301 | 575 | 85 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -33 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Carolina Mudcats · 282 PAwOBA .302 → .208 (−93)K% 26.2% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.24% | ÷0.967 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.010 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 7.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.49% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 20.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.37% | ÷1.096 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.082 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.96% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 137, 3B 119, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .302 → .208; ISO .111 → .069; BABIP .324 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 206 PAwOBA .339 → .242 (−97)K% 23.3% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.30% | ÷0.938 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷1.073 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.47% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 24.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.130 | ×0.760 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.38% | ÷1.531 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 206, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 126, K 88, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .339 → .242; ISO .141 → .083; BABIP .351 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAHartford Yard Goats · 197 PAwOBA .240 → .202 (−38)K% 22.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.37% | ÷1.011 | ×0.970 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.081 | ×0.860 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 2.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.948 | ×0.950 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.194 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 90, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .240 → .202; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .254 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 521 PAwOBA .372 → .284 (−89)K% 16.3% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.31% | ÷0.897 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.64% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 7.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷1.136 | ×0.760 | ×0.989 | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.600 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 220, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 79, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .372 → .284; ISO .169 → .111; BABIP .368 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Modesto Nuts · 563 PAwOBA .307 → .261 (−46)K% 17.6% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.58% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷0.933 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.877 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .307 → .261; ISO .105 → .090; BABIP .308 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAsheville Tourists · 321 PAwOBA .325 → .263 (−62)K% 19.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.00% | ÷1.025 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷1.033 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.88% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 22.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.267 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 4.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.936 | ×0.940 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 2.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.172 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 98, 2B 153, 3B 87, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .325 → .263; ISO .119 → .091; BABIP .340 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 37 PAwOBA .454 → .343 (−111)K% 10.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 12.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 32.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .454 → .343; ISO .069 → .052; BABIP .480 → .380. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 131 PAwOBA .334 → .251 (−83)K% 19.1% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 2.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 2.54% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .334 → .251; ISO .142 → .103; BABIP .341 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).