Jeff McVaney
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAA/AADET | 517 | .260/.343/.347 | 3 | 17 | 65 | — | .233/.296/.299 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA/AADET | 439 | .291/.403/.457 | 7 | 13 | 98 | — | .249/.339/.377 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AADET | 212 | .219/.311/.332 | 3 | 3 | 45 | — | .191/.264/.279 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 239 | 220 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 301 | 400 | 701 | 150 | 285 | 16 | 5 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 529 | 473 | 119 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 87 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 252 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 116 | 294 | 16 | 7 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 556 | 494 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 87 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 273 | 348 | 423 | 772 | 150 | 309 | 16 | 8 | 343 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 182 | 161 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 186 | 264 | 230 | 494 | 43 | 233 | 19 | 5 | 230 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 335 | 292 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 59 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 301 | 386 | 411 | 797 | 110 | 365 | 18 | 10 | 358 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 150 | 128 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 273 | 376 | 398 | 774 | 125 | 330 | 16 | 12 | 350 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 289 | 240 | 72 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 300 | 417 | 487 | 904 | 188 | 316 | 9 | 13 | 402 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 18 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 167 | 62 | 229 | 83 | 22 | 6 | 130 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 194 | 171 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 234 | 325 | 357 | 681 | 123 | 276 | 18 | 8 | 312 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 239 | 224 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 134 | 251 | 23 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 529 | 484 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 211 | 275 | 302 | 577 | 91 | 269 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 556 | 507 | 113 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 125 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 223 | 285 | 343 | 628 | 120 | 272 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 182 | 164 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 171 | 236 | 207 | 443 | 37 | 216 | 23 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 335 | 304 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 266 | 328 | 349 | 677 | 82 | 337 | 22 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 150 | 133 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 322 | 346 | 668 | 105 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 289 | 252 | 64 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 254 | 347 | 393 | 740 | 139 | 271 | 11 | 9 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 18 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 167 | 62 | 229 | 74 | 28 | 6 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 194 | 177 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 203 | 273 | 299 | 573 | 96 | 247 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 239 | 224 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 250 | 344 | 594 | 134 | 256 | 23 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 239 | 220 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 301 | 400 | 701 | 150 | 285 | 16 | 5 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 529 | 484 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 211 | 275 | 302 | 577 | 91 | 269 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 529 | 473 | 119 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 87 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 252 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 116 | 294 | 16 | 7 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 556 | 507 | 113 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 125 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 223 | 285 | 343 | 628 | 120 | 275 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 556 | 494 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 87 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 273 | 348 | 423 | 772 | 150 | 309 | 16 | 8 | 343 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 469 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 117 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 232 | 294 | 299 | 593 | 66 | 301 | 23 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 453 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 94 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 260 | 343 | 347 | 690 | 86 | 318 | 18 | 9 | 313 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 386 | 96 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 60 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 249 | 336 | 376 | 712 | 127 | 283 | 14 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 439 | 368 | 107 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 50 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 291 | 403 | 457 | 859 | 166 | 321 | 11 | 13 | 384 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 194 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 186 | 255 | 273 | 528 | 88 | 234 | 22 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 212 | 187 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 219 | 311 | 332 | 643 | 112 | 260 | 18 | 8 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 239 | 225 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 250 | 342 | 592 | 133 | 251 | 23 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 529 | 481 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 212 | 275 | 304 | 579 | 91 | 269 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 556 | 507 | 113 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 125 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 223 | 285 | 343 | 628 | 120 | 272 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 471 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 117 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 231 | 294 | 297 | 591 | 66 | 294 | 23 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 385 | 96 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 60 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 249 | 336 | 377 | 713 | 127 | 279 | 14 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 192 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 188 | 255 | 276 | 531 | 89 | 232 | 22 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2492 | 2264 | 503 | 103 | 24 | 27 | 143 | 524 | 66 | 64 | 32 | 222 | 288 | 325 | 613 | 102 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -91 | +0 | +0 | -27 | +54 | -6.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 131 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 137 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 222 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 102 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAErie SeaWolves · 194 PAwOBA .302 → .246 (−56)K% 17.5% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.53% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.73% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.71% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.094 | ×0.950 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.259 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .302 → .246; ISO .123 → .092; BABIP .276 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 18 PAwOBA .127 → .106 (−21)K% 22.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 5.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 7.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .127 → .106; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .083 → .074. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAErie SeaWolves · 289 PAwOBA .393 → .325 (−69)K% 9.0% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.00% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.81% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.56% | ÷1.045 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×0.988 | 18.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.973 | ×0.860 | ×0.963 | ×0.988 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | ×0.963 | ×0.988 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .393 → .325; ISO .188 → .152; BABIP .316 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 150 PAwOBA .341 → .290 (−51)K% 16.0% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷1.001 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 20.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .341 → .290; ISO .125 → .105; BABIP .330 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAErie SeaWolves · 335 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 17.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.61% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.45% | ÷1.077 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.90% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 27.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.095 | ×0.860 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.074 | ×0.950 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 119, 3B 115, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .110 → .085; BABIP .365 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 182 PAwOBA .228 → .202 (−26)K% 19.2% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 18.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 100, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .228 → .202; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .233 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 556 PAwOBA .336 → .276 (−60)K% 15.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.65% | ÷0.991 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷1.017 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.87% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.13% | ÷0.963 | ×0.960 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.123 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.032 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 125, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .336 → .276; ISO .150 → .123; BABIP .309 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 529 PAwOBA .308 → .259 (−49)K% 16.4% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.45% | ÷1.018 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 19.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 5.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.067 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .308 → .259; ISO .116 → .096; BABIP .294 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).