Ignacio Valdez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROKGCL Tigers We… | 180 | .219/.306/.494 | 11 | 0 | 34 | — | .132/.194/.293 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+/ROK2 orgs | 98 | .203/.351/.418 | 4 | 0 | 34 | — | .129/.237/.271 |
| 2018 | 23 | ADET | 110 | .192/.229/.288 | 1 | 0 | -9 | — | .132/.156/.208 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers | — | 114 | 107 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 234 | 274 | 308 | 583 | 75 | 342 | 31 | 4 | 262 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 222 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 59 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 347 | 342 | 690 | 104 | 309 | 22 | 13 | 314 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 224 | 59 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 58 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 263 | 363 | 460 | 823 | 196 | 331 | 22 | 11 | 360 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 124 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 244 | 213 | 457 | 74 | 206 | 35 | 10 | 220 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | — | 180 | 160 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 306 | 494 | 799 | 275 | 238 | 27 | 9 | 349 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 30 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 167 | 433 | 83 | 250 | 53 | 20 | 225 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | — | 68 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 388 | 527 | 915 | 273 | 323 | 31 | 15 | 396 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 110 | 104 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 229 | 288 | 518 | 96 | 288 | 35 | 5 | 231 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 114 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 139 | 177 | 185 | 362 | 46 | 219 | 38 | 4 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 232 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 72 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 151 | 239 | 207 | 446 | 56 | 200 | 27 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 233 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 71 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 150 | 236 | 249 | 484 | 99 | 199 | 27 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 124 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 154 | 115 | 270 | 35 | 155 | 51 | 6 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 180 | 167 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 194 | 293 | 488 | 162 | 170 | 38 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 30 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 167 | 77 | 244 | 38 | 265 | 77 | 13 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 68 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 269 | 356 | 625 | 186 | 240 | 44 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 110 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 156 | 208 | 364 | 75 | 243 | 48 | 3 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 114 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 139 | 177 | 185 | 362 | 46 | 227 | 38 | 4 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Tigers | — | 114 | 107 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 234 | 274 | 308 | 583 | 75 | 342 | 31 | 4 | 262 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 232 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 72 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 151 | 239 | 207 | 446 | 56 | 209 | 27 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 222 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 59 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 347 | 342 | 690 | 104 | 309 | 22 | 13 | 314 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 233 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 71 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 150 | 236 | 249 | 484 | 99 | 201 | 27 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 224 | 59 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 58 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 263 | 363 | 460 | 823 | 196 | 331 | 22 | 11 | 360 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 124 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 154 | 115 | 270 | 35 | 160 | 51 | 6 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 124 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 244 | 213 | 457 | 74 | 206 | 35 | 10 | 220 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 180 | 167 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 194 | 293 | 488 | 162 | 165 | 38 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers West | — | 180 | 160 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 306 | 494 | 799 | 275 | 238 | 27 | 9 | 349 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 129 | 237 | 271 | 508 | 141 | 267 | 54 | 10 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 98 | 79 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 351 | 418 | 768 | 215 | 308 | 38 | 16 | 344 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 110 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 156 | 208 | 364 | 75 | 245 | 48 | 3 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 110 | 104 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 229 | 288 | 518 | 96 | 288 | 35 | 5 | 231 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 114 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 139 | 177 | 185 | 362 | 46 | 219 | 38 | 4 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 234 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 72 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 150 | 239 | 205 | 445 | 56 | 200 | 27 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 263 | 235 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 71 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 149 | 236 | 247 | 482 | 98 | 199 | 27 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 124 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 154 | 115 | 270 | 35 | 155 | 51 | 6 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 180 | 165 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 133 | 194 | 297 | 491 | 164 | 170 | 38 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 128 | 237 | 267 | 505 | 140 | 248 | 54 | 10 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 110 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 156 | 208 | 364 | 75 | 243 | 48 | 3 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1152 | 1044 | 141 | 33 | 7 | 15 | 77 | 424 | 19 | 27 | 15 | 135 | 208 | 223 | 431 | 88 | 204 | 37 | 7 | 194 | 18 | -113 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +25 | -10.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 80 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 239 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 136 | 208 | 222 | 431 | 87 | 206 | 37 | 7 | 194 | 18 | -64 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -5.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 110 PAwOBA .226 → .155 (−72)K% 34.5% → 48.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.55% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.70% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 17.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷1.024 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.045 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .226 → .155; ISO .096 → .063; BABIP .288 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Tigers West · 68 PAwOBA .392 → .259 (−133)K% 30.9% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 8.95% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .392 → .259; ISO .273 → .182; BABIP .323 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 30 PAwOBA .221 → .127 (−94)K% 53.3% → 76.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 53.33% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 76.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.138 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 13.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.012 | 26.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.747 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 249, 1B 102, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 99, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .127; ISO .083 → .035; BABIP .250 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Tigers West · 180 PAwOBA .339 → .219 (−119)K% 26.7% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 10.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 7.55% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .219; ISO .275 → .180; BABIP .238 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Tigers · 124 PAwOBA .216 → .133 (−83)K% 35.5% → 51.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 51.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 13.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 2.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .216 → .133; ISO .074 → .045; BABIP .206 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Tigers · 263 PAwOBA .356 → .220 (−136)K% 22.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.66% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 11.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 6.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.13% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .356 → .220; ISO .196 → .107; BABIP .331 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Tigers · 263 PAwOBA .311 → .205 (−106)K% 22.4% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 14.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .311 → .205; ISO .104 → .059; BABIP .309 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Tigers · 114 PAwOBA .257 → .156 (−101)K% 30.7% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.70% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 16.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .257 → .156; ISO .075 → .041; BABIP .342 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).