Victor Reyes

PosCF

B/TS/R

Born1994-10-05

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	26	AAA/A/INTL2 orgs	162	.346/.453/.579	5	6	162	—	.337/.420/.484
2021	26	MLBDET	220	.258/.286/.416	5	5	96	-0.2
2022	27	AAADET	32	.333/.419/.704	3	1	141	—	.286/.355/.536
2022	27	MLBDET	336	.254/.292/.362	3	2	85	-0.6
2023	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	679	.279/.335/.446	21	3	81	—	.240/.277/.364
2024	29	No MLB games played
2025	30	No MLB games played
2026	31	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022

Speed52

xwOBA47

Avg EV47

Barrel%30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	202	162	48	3	0	0	31	39	5	12	6	296	424	315	739	19	381	19	15	346	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Danville Braves	—	213	193	66	11	1	0	15	29	1	5	1	342	392	409	802	67	395	14	7	356	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Rome Braves	—	361	332	86	13	0	0	24	58	1	12	7	259	311	298	609	39	312	16	7	278	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	458	424	132	17	5	2	22	58	1	13	4	311	347	389	736	78	352	13	5	323	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	509	469	142	11	12	6	33	78	1	20	8	303	350	416	766	113	352	15	6	338	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Jackson Generals	—	516	479	140	29	5	4	27	80	3	18	9	292	334	399	733	106	342	16	5	324	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	83	79	25	3	2	0	2	12	0	12	1	316	333	405	738	89	373	14	2	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	219	212	47	5	3	1	5	46	0	9	1	222	240	288	527	66	277	21	2	234	47	-14	+1	-2	-3	+5	-1.3
2018	23	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	96	86	23	1	2	0	8	18	1	1	0	267	337	326	662	58	338	19	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	292	276	84	16	5	3	14	64	0	9	3	304	338	431	769	127	384	22	5	339	119	+7	+1	+3	+2	+6	2.0
2019	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	308	289	88	19	1	10	14	50	1	10	6	304	339	481	820	176	335	16	5	357	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	213	202	56	7	2	4	9	45	2	8	2	277	315	391	706	114	340	21	4	316	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.7
2021	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	220	209	54	10	4	5	8	55	0	5	1	258	286	416	702	158	327	25	4	304	96	-1	+1	-2	-4	+5	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	91	78	30	7	2	1	10	17	2	5	2	385	467	564	1.031	179	475	19	11	449	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	18	11	3	1	0	0	5	3	1	0	0	273	529	364	893	91	333	17	28	407	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	53	44	13	2	1	4	7	6	1	1	0	295	404	659	1.063	364	257	11	13	444	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	336	315	80	19	3	3	13	77	4	2	2	254	292	362	654	108	322	23	4	289	85	-6	-0	-3	-4	+7	-0.6
2022	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	32	27	9	1	0	3	4	2	0	1	1	333	419	704	1.123	370	261	6	12	464	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	546	502	140	28	2	20	36	124	4	3	1	279	332	462	794	183	331	23	7	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	133	121	34	9	0	1	12	24	0	0	0	281	346	380	726	99	344	18	9	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1280	1214	321	57	17	16	49	287	6	33	9	264	296	379	675	114	332	22	4	298	88	-18	+3	-3	-9	+28	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	202	172	36	2	0	0	21	48	5	12	6	209	313	221	534	12	272	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	198	56	8	1	0	10	41	1	5	1	283	321	333	654	51	343	19	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	361	340	81	12	0	0	16	81	1	12	7	238	275	274	548	35	303	22	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	458	432	119	14	4	2	14	82	1	13	4	275	300	340	640	65	320	18	3	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	509	479	131	9	9	5	23	102	1	20	8	273	308	361	669	88	331	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	516	488	134	27	4	3	18	99	3	18	9	275	305	365	669	90	332	19	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	219	212	47	5	3	1	5	46	0	9	1	222	240	288	527	66	277	21	2	237	47	-14	+1	-2	-3	+5	-1.3
2019	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	292	276	85	16	5	3	14	64	0	9	3	308	341	435	776	127	384	22	5	344	119	+7	+1	+3	+2	+6	2.0
2019	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	308	294	80	16	1	10	9	57	1	10	6	272	296	435	731	163	295	19	3	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	213	202	57	7	2	4	9	45	2	8	2	282	319	396	715	114	340	21	4	321	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.7
2021	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	220	209	54	10	4	5	8	55	0	5	1	258	286	416	702	158	327	25	4	310	96	-1	+1	-2	-4	+5	-0.2
2021	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	91	81	29	6	2	1	7	20	2	5	2	358	422	519	941	160	453	22	8	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	18	13	3	1	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	231	412	308	719	77	288	22	17	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	336	315	81	19	3	3	13	77	4	2	2	257	295	365	660	108	322	23	4	294	85	-6	-0	-3	-4	+7	-0.6
2022	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	32	28	8	1	0	2	3	2	0	1	1	286	355	536	891	250	224	6	9	377	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	546	516	124	24	2	12	22	152	4	3	1	240	277	364	641	124	312	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	202	172	36	2	0	0	21	48	5	12	6	209	313	221	534	12	283	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	202	162	48	3	0	0	31	39	5	12	6	296	424	315	739	19	381	19	15	346	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	198	56	8	1	0	10	41	1	5	1	283	321	333	654	51	350	19	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	—	213	193	66	11	1	0	15	29	1	5	1	342	392	409	802	67	395	14	7	356	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	361	340	81	12	0	0	16	81	1	12	7	238	275	274	548	35	310	22	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	361	332	86	13	0	0	24	58	1	12	7	259	311	298	609	39	312	16	7	278	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	458	432	119	14	4	2	14	82	1	13	4	275	300	340	640	65	331	18	3	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	458	424	132	17	5	2	22	58	1	13	4	311	347	389	736	78	352	13	5	323	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	509	479	131	9	9	5	23	102	1	20	8	273	308	361	669	88	338	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	509	469	142	11	12	6	33	78	1	20	8	303	350	416	766	113	352	15	6	338	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	599	567	157	32	5	4	20	115	3	30	10	277	305	372	677	95	339	19	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	599	558	165	32	7	4	29	92	3	30	10	296	334	400	734	104	346	15	5	323	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	315	304	68	7	4	2	7	66	1	10	1	224	244	293	536	69	278	21	2	237	47	-20	+2	-2	-3	+7	-1.7
2018	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	315	298	70	6	5	1	13	64	1	10	1	235	269	299	568	64	295	20	4	254	47	-20	+2	-2	-3	+7	-1.7
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	600	570	164	32	6	13	23	121	1	19	9	288	316	433	750	146	342	20	4	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	600	565	172	35	6	13	28	114	1	19	9	304	338	457	795	152	358	19	5	348	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	213	202	57	7	2	4	9	45	2	8	2	282	319	396	715	114	346	21	4	321	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.7
2020	25	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	213	202	56	7	2	4	9	45	2	8	2	277	315	391	706	114	340	21	4	316	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.7
2021	26	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	382	351	101	20	7	7	21	92	4	11	3	288	335	444	780	157	367	24	5	336	114	+6	+1	-2	-4	+8	1.0
2021	26	MLB RAW	4 teams	—	382	342	100	20	7	10	30	81	4	11	3	292	356	480	836	187	353	21	8	363	114	+6	+1	-2	-4	+8	1.0
2022	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	368	343	89	20	3	5	16	79	4	3	3	259	300	379	679	120	318	21	4	301	90	-4	-1	-3	-4	+8	-0.4
2022	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	368	342	89	20	3	6	17	79	4	3	3	260	303	389	692	129	317	21	5	305	90	-4	-1	-3	-4	+8	-0.4
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	679	643	153	30	2	14	28	189	4	3	1	238	274	356	630	118	313	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	679	623	174	37	2	21	48	148	4	3	1	279	335	446	781	167	334	22	7	345	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	202	174	36	2	0	0	21	48	5	12	6	207	313	218	532	11	272	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	213	200	56	8	1	0	10	41	1	5	1	280	321	330	651	50	343	19	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	361	341	81	12	0	0	16	81	1	12	7	238	275	273	547	35	303	22	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	458	440	119	14	4	2	14	82	1	13	4	270	300	334	634	64	320	18	3	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	509	480	131	9	9	5	23	102	1	20	8	273	308	360	669	88	331	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	599	571	157	32	5	4	20	115	3	30	10	275	305	370	675	95	332	19	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	315	304	68	7	4	2	7	66	1	10	1	224	244	293	536	69	277	21	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	600	571	164	32	6	13	23	121	1	19	9	287	316	433	749	145	338	20	4	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	213	200	57	7	2	4	9	45	2	8	2	285	319	400	719	115	340	21	4	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	382	354	101	20	7	7	21	92	4	11	3	285	335	441	776	155	359	24	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	368	345	89	20	3	5	16	79	4	3	3	258	300	377	677	119	314	21	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	679	642	153	30	2	14	28	189	4	3	1	238	274	357	631	118	312	28	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1280	1214	321	57	17	16	49	287	6	33	9	264	296	379	675	114	332	22	4	298	81	-18	+3	-3	-9	+28	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	616	163	29	9	8	25	146	3	17	5	265	297	380	676	115	333	22	4	298	81	-9	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4899	4601	1212	193	43	56	208	1061	28	146	55	263	299	361	660	97	328	22	4	289	81	-18	+3	-3	-9	+28	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	610	161	26	6	7	28	141	4	19	7	264	301	361	661	97	330	22	4	289	81	-9	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 546 PAwOBA .341 → .277 (−64)K% 22.7% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.71%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	27.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.59%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.982	4.14%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.68%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷0.967	×0.930	×1.045	×0.982	23.49%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.045	×0.982	6.49%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷0.996	×0.970	×1.045	×0.982	0.53%
Home runs /BIP	5.29%	÷1.152	×0.700	—	×0.982	3.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .341 → .277; ISO .183 → .125; BABIP .331 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 32 PAwOBA .465 → .377 (−88)K% 6.2% → 7.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.25%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	7.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.88%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.015	×0.930	—	×0.992	18.17%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.015	×0.830	—	×0.992	3.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.00%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.992	8.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .465 → .377; ISO .370 → .274; BABIP .261 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 91 PAwOBA .442 → .398 (−44)K% 18.7% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.68%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	22.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.99%	÷1.038	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.33%
HBP% /PA	2.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.07%
Singles /BIP	32.79%	÷0.991	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	32.41%
Doubles /BIP	11.48%	÷1.013	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	9.90%
Triples /BIP	3.28%	÷0.981	×0.920	×1.050	×1.003	3.24%
Home runs /BIP	1.64%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.09%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .442 → .398; ISO .179 → .156; BABIP .475 → .453. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 18 PAwOBA .422 → .346 (−76)K% 16.7% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.988	×1.360	—	—	22.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	27.78%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×0.950	17.91%
HBP% /PA	5.56%	—	×0.780	—	×0.950	4.12%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.002	×0.920	—	×0.950	21.80%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.992	×0.830	—	×0.950	9.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.016	×0.910	—	×0.950	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.937	×0.800	—	×0.950	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .422 → .346; ISO .091 → .089; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 308 PAwOBA .350 → .310 (−39)K% 16.2% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.23%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	18.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.22%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.033	3.00%
HBP% /PA	0.32%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.32%
Singles /BIP	24.27%	÷1.013	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	21.87%
Doubles /BIP	7.95%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	6.51%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷1.096	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	4.18%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×1.033	4.09%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .350 → .310; ISO .176 → .163; BABIP .335 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAJackson Generals · 516 PAwOBA .315 → .292 (−23)K% 15.5% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.50%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	19.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.84%	÷0.987	×0.680	—	×1.027	3.43%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.50%
Singles /BIP	25.56%	÷0.980	×0.920	×1.023	×1.027	25.23%
Doubles /BIP	7.27%	÷1.004	×0.910	×1.023	×1.027	6.92%
Triples /BIP	1.25%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.023	×1.027	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	1.00%	÷0.985	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.84%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .315 → .292; ISO .106 → .095; BABIP .342 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Visalia Rawhide · 509 PAwOBA .329 → .288 (−41)K% 15.3% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.32%	÷1.020	×1.340	—	—	20.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.29%	÷1.008	×0.710	—	×1.012	4.48%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	0.16%
Singles /BIP	28.90%	÷0.994	×0.910	×1.050	×1.012	28.12%
Doubles /BIP	2.81%	÷1.038	×0.820	×1.050	×1.012	2.36%
Triples /BIP	3.07%	÷1.065	×0.760	×1.050	×1.012	2.33%
Home runs /BIP	1.53%	÷1.134	×0.920	—	×1.012	1.26%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 113, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .329 → .288; ISO .113 → .088; BABIP .352 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AKane County Cougars · 458 PAwOBA .317 → .276 (−41)K% 12.7% → 17.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.66%	÷0.970	×1.360	—	—	17.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.59%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×1.015	3.15%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.17%
Singles /BIP	29.51%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.020	×1.015	27.37%
Doubles /BIP	4.64%	÷1.042	×0.830	×1.020	×1.015	3.83%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.020	×1.015	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	0.55%	÷0.881	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .317 → .276; ISO .078 → .065; BABIP .352 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .