Ivan Castillo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 28 | INTLGigantes del … | 39 | .222/.282/.389 | 1 | 2 | 88 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLToros del Este | 77 | .209/.312/.269 | 0 | 6 | 72 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTLToros del Este | 27 | .304/.385/.391 | 0 | 2 | 116 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 246 | 216 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 236 | 310 | 278 | 587 | 42 | 272 | 13 | 9 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 165 | 156 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 231 | 259 | 269 | 528 | 38 | 269 | 14 | 2 | 237 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 344 | 315 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 61 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 260 | 296 | 365 | 661 | 105 | 306 | 18 | 3 | 285 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 460 | 418 | 104 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 27 | 69 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 307 | 347 | 654 | 98 | 295 | 15 | 6 | 291 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 265 | 241 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 199 | 240 | 282 | 522 | 83 | 225 | 15 | 3 | 227 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 78 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 174 | 240 | 232 | 472 | 58 | 193 | 15 | 6 | 213 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 87 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 203 | 321 | 290 | 611 | 87 | 232 | 15 | 11 | 269 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 100 | 92 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 315 | 364 | 402 | 766 | 87 | 354 | 11 | 4 | 342 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 418 | 388 | 118 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 51 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 304 | 347 | 448 | 795 | 144 | 337 | 12 | 6 | 349 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 39 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 256 | 263 | 520 | 26 | 257 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 466 | 432 | 135 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 59 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 312 | 352 | 461 | 812 | 148 | 342 | 13 | 4 | 354 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 205 | 191 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 251 | 289 | 309 | 597 | 58 | 297 | 17 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 50 | 44 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 91 | 353 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 435 | 404 | 116 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 76 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 287 | 330 | 366 | 697 | 79 | 342 | 17 | 6 | 311 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 91 | 79 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 278 | 374 | 304 | 677 | 25 | 314 | 10 | 12 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 447 | 392 | 95 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 325 | 347 | 672 | 105 | 264 | 12 | 10 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 121 | 103 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 282 | 353 | 301 | 654 | 19 | 333 | 15 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 389 | 671 | 167 | 241 | 15 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 77 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 209 | 312 | 269 | 580 | 60 | 246 | 13 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 27 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 304 | 385 | 391 | 776 | 87 | 333 | 7 | 11 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 246 | 222 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 167 | 226 | 185 | 411 | 18 | 191 | 16 | 6 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 165 | 158 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 177 | 198 | 203 | 400 | 25 | 219 | 20 | 1 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 344 | 318 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 84 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 239 | 269 | 330 | 599 | 91 | 291 | 24 | 2 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 460 | 429 | 97 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 95 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 226 | 267 | 312 | 579 | 86 | 281 | 21 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 265 | 243 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 202 | 236 | 280 | 516 | 78 | 227 | 18 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 78 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 169 | 213 | 225 | 439 | 56 | 189 | 23 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 87 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 222 | 309 | 306 | 614 | 83 | 238 | 18 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 100 | 94 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 298 | 333 | 372 | 706 | 74 | 343 | 15 | 2 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 418 | 397 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 74 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 262 | 294 | 383 | 677 | 121 | 307 | 18 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 466 | 438 | 111 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 75 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 253 | 286 | 356 | 642 | 103 | 285 | 16 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 435 | 412 | 105 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 95 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 255 | 286 | 311 | 597 | 56 | 319 | 22 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 447 | 407 | 83 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 67 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 204 | 264 | 278 | 541 | 74 | 228 | 15 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 246 | 222 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 167 | 226 | 185 | 411 | 18 | 201 | 16 | 6 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 246 | 216 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 236 | 310 | 278 | 587 | 42 | 272 | 13 | 9 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 165 | 158 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 177 | 198 | 203 | 400 | 25 | 222 | 20 | 1 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 165 | 156 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 231 | 259 | 269 | 528 | 38 | 269 | 14 | 2 | 237 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 344 | 318 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 84 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 239 | 269 | 330 | 599 | 91 | 309 | 24 | 2 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 344 | 315 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 61 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 260 | 296 | 365 | 661 | 105 | 306 | 18 | 3 | 285 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 460 | 429 | 97 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 95 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 226 | 267 | 312 | 579 | 86 | 288 | 21 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 460 | 418 | 104 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 27 | 69 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 307 | 347 | 654 | 98 | 295 | 15 | 6 | 291 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 314 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 67 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 194 | 231 | 268 | 499 | 73 | 232 | 20 | 3 | 213 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 310 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 194 | 240 | 271 | 511 | 77 | 218 | 15 | 4 | 224 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 166 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 265 | 322 | 343 | 666 | 78 | 316 | 17 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 187 | 161 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 267 | 344 | 354 | 698 | 87 | 304 | 13 | 7 | 308 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 434 | 113 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 81 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 260 | 293 | 380 | 673 | 120 | 310 | 18 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 457 | 426 | 127 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 54 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 298 | 339 | 432 | 771 | 134 | 330 | 12 | 5 | 340 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 632 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 109 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 253 | 284 | 356 | 640 | 103 | 291 | 16 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 671 | 623 | 183 | 36 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 94 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 332 | 414 | 746 | 120 | 329 | 14 | 4 | 327 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 50 | 44 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 91 | 353 | 20 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 50 | 44 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 91 | 353 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 498 | 127 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 115 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 255 | 288 | 311 | 599 | 56 | 324 | 22 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 526 | 483 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 85 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 286 | 338 | 356 | 694 | 70 | 338 | 16 | 7 | 312 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 568 | 512 | 106 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 85 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 207 | 270 | 287 | 557 | 80 | 234 | 15 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 568 | 495 | 124 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 55 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 251 | 331 | 337 | 668 | 87 | 278 | 12 | 10 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 389 | 671 | 167 | 241 | 15 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 389 | 671 | 167 | 241 | 15 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 77 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 209 | 312 | 269 | 580 | 60 | 246 | 13 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 77 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 209 | 312 | 269 | 580 | 60 | 246 | 13 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 27 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 304 | 385 | 391 | 776 | 87 | 333 | 7 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 27 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 304 | 385 | 391 | 776 | 87 | 333 | 7 | 11 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 246 | 227 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 163 | 226 | 181 | 407 | 18 | 191 | 16 | 6 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 165 | 160 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 175 | 198 | 200 | 398 | 25 | 219 | 20 | 1 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 344 | 328 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 84 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 232 | 269 | 320 | 589 | 88 | 291 | 24 | 2 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 460 | 433 | 97 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 16 | 95 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 224 | 267 | 309 | 577 | 85 | 281 | 21 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 325 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 67 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 188 | 231 | 258 | 489 | 71 | 218 | 20 | 3 | 213 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 171 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 257 | 322 | 333 | 656 | 76 | 294 | 17 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 434 | 113 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 81 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 260 | 293 | 380 | 673 | 120 | 307 | 18 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 671 | 639 | 160 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 109 | 8 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 284 | 352 | 636 | 102 | 285 | 16 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 526 | 498 | 127 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 115 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 255 | 288 | 311 | 599 | 56 | 319 | 22 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 568 | 519 | 106 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 85 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 204 | 270 | 283 | 553 | 79 | 228 | 15 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4160 | 3853 | 890 | 158 | 35 | 28 | 175 | 767 | 48 | 151 | 49 | 231 | 273 | 312 | 585 | 81 | 278 | 18 | 4 | 241 | 49 | -252 | +11 | +0 | +15 | +90 | -13.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 139 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 120 | 8 | 24 | 8 | 231 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 78 | 279 | 18 | 4 | 241 | 49 | -39 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 447 PAwOBA .297 → .245 (−52)K% 11.9% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.86% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.47% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×1.003 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.003 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .297 → .245; ISO .105 → .081; BABIP .264 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 435 PAwOBA .305 → .265 (−40)K% 17.5% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.47% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.75% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.66% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 27.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.116 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 3.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.099 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.018 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.154 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.56% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 120, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .305 → .265; ISO .079 → .059; BABIP .342 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 466 PAwOBA .349 → .277 (−72)K% 12.7% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.66% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.29% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.66% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.079 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.337 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.30% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 103, 2B 119, 3B 116, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .277; ISO .148 → .104; BABIP .342 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 418 PAwOBA .341 → .293 (−48)K% 12.2% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.02% | ÷1.011 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷0.977 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.37% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.147 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 101, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .341 → .293; ISO .144 → .122; BABIP .337 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 100 PAwOBA .337 → .307 (−30)K% 11.0% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.00% | ÷1.048 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 2.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.16% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 27.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.070 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 117, 3B 114, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .337 → .307; ISO .087 → .069; BABIP .354 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 87 PAwOBA .266 → .255 (−11)K% 14.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.49% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×1.038 | ×1.042 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.072 | ×0.860 | ×1.038 | ×1.042 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.008 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .266 → .255; ISO .087 → .081; BABIP .232 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 265 PAwOBA .226 → .221 (−4)K% 15.1% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.02% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.92% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .226 → .221; ISO .083 → .076; BABIP .225 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 78 PAwOBA .211 → .188 (−23)K% 15.4% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.41% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 17.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 1.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 1.74% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .211 → .188; ISO .058 → .055; BABIP .193 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .