Antonio Senzatela
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 235 lbs
MLB
peak 0.9 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10394vR 85
ERA4.30
FIP3.99
K%16.7%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.3
Whiff%
p4825.0%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p720.291
CT+2.6 (30%)
FB+1.5 (50%)
SL+1.1 (3%)
CH+0.9 (7%)
SI (11%)
CU (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 26 | 154 | 623 | 143 | 33 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 2.51 | 4.07 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 26 | 26 | 154 | 623 | 143 | 33 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.0% | 5.3% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 2.51 | 2.73 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 7 | 7 | 35 | 137 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 16.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 0.7% | 1.82 | 3.07 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 7 | 7 | 35 | 137 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 0.7% | 1.82 | 2.70 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 21 | 138 | 579 | 104 | 47 | 18 | 57% | 3.7 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 4.63 | 3.95 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 21 | 138 | 579 | 104 | 47 | 18 | 57% | 3.7 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.31 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 111 | 41 | 11 | 68% | 4.1 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 1.6% | 3.73 | 3.28 | +3.2 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 111 | 41 | 11 | 68% | 4.1 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 2.0% | 3.73 | 3.44 | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 159 | 733 | 88 | 62 | 26 | 100% | 5.0 | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.51 | 4.73 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 159 | 733 | 88 | 62 | 26 | 100% | 5.0 | 12.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.51 | 5.29 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 12 | 12 | 73 | 303 | 41 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 3.44 | 3.96 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 12 | 12 | 73 | 303 | 41 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 3.44 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 161 | 683 | 108 | 31 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.7% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 4.31 | 3.12 | +4.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 161 | 683 | 108 | 31 | 12 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.8% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 1.8% | 4.31 | 3.31 | +3.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 101 | 451 | 54 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 5.06 | 3.62 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 101 | 451 | 54 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 5.06 | 4.19 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 14 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 7.07 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 14 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 7.07 | 5.39 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 8 | 29 | 125 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 13.0% | 14.8% | -1.9% | 4.3% | 5.83 | 6.22 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 8 | 29 | 125 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 5.28 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 30 | 23 | 130 | 618 | 73 | 45 | 22 | 77% | 4.3 | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 6.65 | 4.52 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 30 | 23 | 130 | 618 | 73 | 45 | 22 | 77% | 4.3 | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.65 | 5.22 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 30 | 0 | 49 | 202 | 42 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 3.31 | 3.04 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | COL | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | COL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | COL | — | — | 84 | 351 | 67 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 19.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 1.9% | 3.72 | 3.44 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | COL | — | — | 84 | 356 | 67 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 18.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 2.0% | 3.81 | 3.53 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 78 | 330 | 56 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.44 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 72 | 303 | 49 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 56 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 49 | 23 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 266 | 170 | 1056 | 4608 | 703 | 326 | 133 | 64% | 4.0 | 15.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 4.29 | +13.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 32 | 200 | 873 | 133 | 62 | 25 | 64% | 4.0 | 15.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 267 | 204 | 1171 | 5062 | 778 | 356 | 115 | 76% | 4.4 | 15.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 4.57 | 3.94 | +19.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 35 | 200 | 864 | 133 | 61 | 20 | 76% | 4.4 | 15.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 4.57 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Antonio Senzatela (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.57 | 16.6% | 9.3% | 150 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 75 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 74 |
| Scott McGregor R 2023 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 73 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 70 |
| Jerome Williams R 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 69 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 69 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 67 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.37 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .283 | 4.35 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 144 | -1.02 | 3.91 | 577 | 67 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.87 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .260 | 4.11 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 180 | -0.76 | 2.49 | 433 | 66 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.15 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.56 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.59 | 3.52 | 316 | 66 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.58 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | .259 | 5.41 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 218 | +0.83 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 66 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.64 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.42 | 3.64 | 139 | 65 |
| Nate Long R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 64 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .313 | 4.83 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | -0.13 | 4.83 | 294 | 64 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.12 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .353 | 3.44 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.68 | 3.29 | 283 | 63 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 63 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.79 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | .313 | 4.27 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 216 | +0.48 | 3.56 | 394 | 63 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 62 |
| Hector Galvan R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.64 | 14.3% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .357 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 406 | 62 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 283 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 78 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 1.11 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |