Antonio Senzatela

Antonio Senzatela P Colorado Rockies

+0.0 WAR

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 235 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

ERA5.81

FIP5.26

xFIP2.98

SIERA2.66

K%13.6%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%5.7%

IP84

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

K†3040

FB Velo

p8797.1

Whiff%

p6026.9%

p8328.3%

xwOBA vs

p900.216

CT+2.6 (24%)

FB+1.5 (50%)

SL+1.1 (9%)

CH+0.9 (7%)

SI (11%)

CU (10%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2015	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	26	26	154	623	143	33	10	17.7%	6.1%	2.5%	2.51	3.74	+2.7
2016	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	7	7	35	137	27	9	1	16.0%	7.2%	0.8%	1.82	3.10	+0.7
2017	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	37	21	138	579	104	47	18	18.1%	8.2%	2.8%	4.63	4.14	+1.8
2018	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	31	21	128	540	111	41	11	19.6%	7.7%	1.9%	3.73	3.48	+2.6
2019	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	32	32	159	733	88	62	26	11.8%	8.5%	3.1%	6.51	4.90	+0.7
2020	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	12	12	73	303	41	18	9	13.5%	5.9%	2.7%	3.44	4.22	+0.7
2021	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	29	29	161	683	108	31	12	15.7%	4.6%	1.5%	4.31	3.20	+3.8
2022	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	21	21	101	451	54	25	11	13.1%	5.6%	1.6%	5.06	3.57	+2.0
2023	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	4	4	14	68	11	5	3	—	—	—	7.07	—	—
2024	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	8	8	29	125	25	12	6	13.0%	14.8%	5.4%	5.83	6.86	-0.6
2025	30	MLB	Colorado Rockies	30	23	130	618	73	45	22	11.8%	7.3%	3.7%	6.65	5.04	+0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	Colorado Rockies	5	0	12	43	15	3	0	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
ROS	31	MLB	COL	12	12	66	279	40	22	10	14.2%	7.8%	3.5%	5.98	5.20	-0.1
2026 Total	31	MLB	COL	—	—	78	322	55	25	10	17.0%	7.7%	3.0%	5.04	4.38	+0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	32	MLB	COL	13	13	70	296	51	23	10	17.3%	7.9%	3.3%	5.11	4.84	+0.2
2028	33	MLB	COL	11	11	62	263	44	21	9	16.6%	8.1%	3.4%	5.03	4.97	+0.0
2029	34	MLB	COL	55	—	55	232	37	19	8	15.9%	8.3%	3.5%	5.08	5.11	-0.1
2030	35	MLB	COL	48	—	48	204	31	17	7	15.2%	8.5%	3.6%	5.19	5.26	-0.2
2031	36	MLB	COL	42	—	42	177	25	15	7	14.4%	8.8%	3.7%	5.33	5.43	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			242	204	1135	4903	751	345	125	15.3%	7.0%	2.5%	4.58	4.09	+15.5
/ 200 IP	—			43	36	200	864	132	61	22	15.3%	7.0%	2.5%	4.58	4.09	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Senzatela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	14.2%	7.8%	3.5%	—	4.96	16.7%	8.6%	187	-0.24	—	—	—
Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.22 FIP	31	SW	4.22	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.06	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.16	4.06	219	73
Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.79 FIP	30	SW	4.79	14.8%	7.3%	3.7%	.311	4.68	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.93	337	72
Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	31	SW	4.61	13.4%	8.9%	2.8%	.286	4.13	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.48	4.13	156	69
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.53 FIP	32	SW	4.53	15.9%	8.0%	3.2%	.268	4.27	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.26	3.50	292	69
Ramon Delgado R 2025 · 4.35 FIP	30	SW	4.35	11.2%	4.0%	3.1%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	135	68
Francisco Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP	32	SW	4.81	11.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.281	4.04	12.1%	4.4%	139	-0.77	3.17	273	68
Alfredo Aceves R 2027 · 4.99 FIP	32	SW	4.99	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.90	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.09	4.78	160	67
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.49 FIP	31	SW	4.49	13.5%	6.7%	3.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	149	67
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2026 · 4.80 FIP	31	SW	4.80	8.9%	6.6%	2.9%	.346	4.86	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.06	4.80	104	67
Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	158	67
Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP	33	SW	4.63	16.3%	8.6%	3.3%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.39	4.11	186	67
Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 4.75 FIP	31	SW	4.75	14.3%	8.1%	3.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	205	67
Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	31	SW	4.38	13.2%	7.4%	2.6%	.283	3.66	19.4%	11.5%	210	-0.72	2.96	358	67
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.65 FIP	31	SW	4.65	16.7%	8.6%	3.4%	.282	3.52	20.9%	15.1%	136	-1.13	3.01	260	66
Vin Mazzaro R 2024 · 4.06 FIP	29	SW	4.06	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	66
Fernando Villalobos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP	31	SW	4.03	12.3%	8.6%	1.6%	.305	4.70	10.6%	2.6%	55	+0.67	4.03	152	66
Miguel Ruiz R 2026 · 5.52 FIP	31	SW	5.52	10.6%	11.0%	3.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.52	117	65
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.53 FIP	31	SW	4.53	16.0%	7.6%	3.3%	.270	4.84	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.31	2.99	227	65
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	31	SW	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.54	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.83	2.23	173	65
Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.58 FIP	30	SW	4.58	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	300	65

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.