Antonio Senzatela

Antonio Senzatela P Milwaukee Brewers

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 235 lbs MLB peak 0.8 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.59

FIP4.34

K%16.5%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.3

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p3019.3%

xwOBA vs

p570.305

CT+2.6 (33%)

FB+1.5 (51%)

SL+1.1 (2%)

CH+0.9 (5%)

SI (20%)

CU (9%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	26	26	154	623	143	33	10	100%	5.9	17.7%	6.1%	11.6%	2.4%	2.51	3.71	—
2015	20	A+ RAW	Modesto Nuts	26	26	154	623	143	33	10	100%	5.9	23.0%	5.3%	17.7%	1.6%	2.51	2.73	—
2016	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	7	7	35	137	27	9	1	100%	5.0	16.0%	7.2%	8.7%	0.8%	1.82	3.11	—
2016	21	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	7	7	35	137	27	9	1	100%	5.0	19.7%	6.6%	13.1%	0.7%	1.82	2.70	—
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	21	138	579	104	47	18	57%	3.7	18.1%	8.2%	9.9%	2.8%	4.63	4.16	+1.2
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	21	138	579	104	47	18	57%	3.7	18.0%	8.1%	9.8%	3.1%	4.63	4.31	+1.0
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	21	128	540	111	41	11	68%	4.1	19.6%	7.7%	11.9%	1.8%	3.73	3.42	+2.3
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	21	128	540	111	41	11	68%	4.1	20.6%	7.6%	13.0%	2.0%	3.73	3.44	+2.3
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	32	159	733	88	62	26	100%	5.0	11.8%	8.5%	3.3%	3.2%	6.51	4.95	-0.1
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	32	159	733	88	62	26	100%	5.0	12.0%	8.5%	3.5%	3.5%	6.51	5.29	-0.7
2020	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	12	12	73	303	41	18	9	100%	6.1	13.5%	5.9%	7.6%	2.6%	3.44	4.16	+0.6
2020	25	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	12	12	73	303	41	18	9	100%	6.1	13.5%	5.9%	7.6%	3.0%	3.44	4.31	+0.5
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	161	683	108	31	12	100%	5.5	15.7%	4.6%	11.0%	1.6%	4.31	3.23	+3.3
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	161	683	108	31	12	100%	5.5	15.8%	4.5%	11.3%	1.8%	4.31	3.31	+3.2
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	101	451	54	25	11	100%	4.8	13.1%	5.6%	7.5%	1.9%	5.06	3.76	+1.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	101	451	54	25	11	100%	4.8	12.0%	5.5%	6.4%	2.4%	5.06	4.19	+0.9
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	14	68	11	5	3	100%	3.5	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	4.4%	7.07	5.09	-0.0
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	14	68	11	5	3	100%	3.5	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	4.4%	7.07	5.09	-0.0
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	14	68	11	5	3	100%	3.5	16.2%	7.4%	8.8%	4.4%	7.07	5.39	-0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	8	29	125	25	12	6	100%	3.7	13.0%	14.8%	-1.9%	4.9%	5.83	6.59	-0.5
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	8	29	125	25	12	6	100%	3.7	13.0%	14.8%	-1.9%	4.9%	5.83	6.59	-0.5
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	8	29	125	25	12	6	100%	3.7	20.0%	9.6%	10.4%	4.8%	5.83	5.28	-0.1
2025	30	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	30	23	130	618	73	45	22	77%	4.3	11.8%	7.3%	4.5%	3.2%	6.65	4.76	+0.2
2025	30	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	30	23	130	618	73	45	22	77%	4.3	11.8%	7.3%	4.5%	3.2%	6.65	4.76	+0.2
2025	30	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	30	23	130	618	73	45	22	77%	4.3	11.8%	7.3%	4.5%	3.6%	6.65	5.22	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			229	145	891	3914	587	277	110	63%	3.9	15.0%	7.1%	7.9%	2.8%	5.09	4.32	+6.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	51	0	69	290	56	23	5	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.9%	11.4%	1.6%	4.06	3.38	+1.0
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	51	0	69	290	56	23	5	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.9%	11.4%	1.6%	4.06	3.38	+1.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	MLB RAW	MIL	51	0	69	290	56	23	5	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.9%	11.4%	1.7%	4.06	3.42	+0.9
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	MIL	51	0	69	290	56	23	5	0%	1.3	19.3%	7.9%	11.4%	1.7%	4.06	3.42	+0.9
ROS	31	MLB MLE	MIL	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	3.0%	4.59	4.34	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	MIL	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	3.1%	4.67	4.42	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	75	315	60	25	6	—	—	19.1%	7.9%	11.2%	1.8%	4.10	3.45	+1.1
FULL	31	MLB A+C	MIL	—	—	75	315	60	25	6	—	—	19.1%	7.9%	11.2%	1.8%	4.11	3.50	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	78	330	56	25	10	100%	6.5	17.0%	7.5%	9.5%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	+0.3
2028	33	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	72	303	49	24	10	100%	6.5	16.2%	7.9%	8.2%	3.2%	4.79	4.86	+0.0
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	78	329	56	25	10	100%	6.5	17.0%	7.5%	9.5%	3.0%	4.76	4.66	+0.3
2028	33	MLB CTX	MIL	11	11	72	304	49	24	10	100%	6.5	16.2%	7.9%	8.2%	3.3%	4.88	4.95	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		258	169	1046	4571	696	328	131	66%	4.1	15.2%	7.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.29	+7.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		49	32	200	874	133	63	25	65%	4.0	15.2%	7.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		288	204	1191	5150	792	365	127	71%	4.1	15.4%	7.1%	8.3%	2.5%	4.59	4.05	+6.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	34	200	865	133	61	21	71%	4.1	15.4%	7.1%	8.3%	2.5%	4.59	4.05	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Senzatela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	12.5%	7.8%	3.2%	—	4.71	16.6%	8.9%	150	-0.45	—	—	—
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	77
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	74
Daniel McCutchen R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	32	SP-	4.30	13.9%	4.4%	3.3%	.268	4.74	10.8%	4.9%	155	+0.44	4.30	287	73
Bud Norris R 2016 · 4.00 FIP	31	SP-	4.00	20.6%	9.1%	2.7%	.305	3.58	27.5%	19.3%	120	-0.42	3.51	316	72
Clay Buchholz R 2016 · 4.94 FIP	31	SP-	4.94	15.8%	9.2%	3.7%	.260	4.18	17.8%	11.6%	180	-0.76	2.51	433	71
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	70
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	69
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	67
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	65
Yovani Gallardo R 2017 · 5.31 FIP	31	SP-	5.31	16.3%	9.9%	4.3%	.283	4.33	14.9%	5.3%	144	-0.98	3.90	577	63
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	63
Scott Copeland R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	31	SP-	5.62	17.1%	12.4%	4.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	569	63
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	62
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	61
Josh A. Smith R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	31	SW	4.65	20.8%	6.4%	4.5%	.341	3.67	17.4%	8.6%	59	-0.98	2.91	598	61
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	61
Lucas Harrell R 2016 · 4.07 FIP	31	SP	4.07	15.7%	12.9%	1.2%	.310	3.57	16.2%	5.7%	30	-0.50	3.57	139	61
Scott Carroll R 2016 · 4.94 FIP	31	SP	4.94	10.5%	8.6%	3.0%	.289	5.71	14.4%	5.8%	22	+0.77	3.92	248	61
Hector Galvan R 2019 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	14.3%	12.2%	2.6%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	406	60
Tyson Ross R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	31	SP-	4.22	19.2%	9.1%	2.9%	.263	5.68	15.4%	4.3%	35	+1.46	2.76	449	59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	78	15.1%	7.8%	1.19	4.98
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77