Jhoan Urena
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 483 | .257/.324/.408 | 14 | 2 | 68 | — | .229/.277/.356 |
| 2019 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 568 | .255/.333/.391 | 9 | 2 | 49 | — | .191/.247/.294 |
| 2021 | 26 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 285 | .303/.401/.463 | 8 | 1 | 147 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 288 | 262 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 279 | 335 | 405 | 739 | 126 | 319 | 16 | 7 | 326 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 171 | 157 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 299 | 353 | 376 | 729 | 76 | 379 | 20 | 8 | 328 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 222 | 210 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 257 | 267 | 523 | 52 | 265 | 18 | 5 | 239 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 19 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 474 | 800 | 1.274 | 467 | 231 | 0 | 21 | 529 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 430 | 383 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 302 | 350 | 652 | 125 | 255 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 48 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 477 | 769 | 250 | 280 | 33 | 8 | 335 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 522 | 458 | 129 | 34 | 2 | 11 | 60 | 114 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 282 | 366 | 437 | 803 | 155 | 351 | 22 | 11 | 357 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 466 | 421 | 110 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 261 | 327 | 418 | 745 | 157 | 321 | 24 | 8 | 330 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 333 | 53 | 12 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 522 | 468 | 122 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 140 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 337 | 404 | 741 | 143 | 354 | 27 | 10 | 333 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 46 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 244 | 527 | 49 | 308 | 33 | 11 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 285 | 244 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 401 | 463 | 865 | 160 | 365 | 20 | 14 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 288 | 268 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 183 | 229 | 254 | 483 | 71 | 215 | 19 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 171 | 162 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 259 | 272 | 530 | 49 | 318 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 222 | 213 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 216 | 230 | 446 | 47 | 252 | 26 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 19 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 706 | 1.074 | 412 | 173 | 0 | 11 | 401 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 430 | 395 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 258 | 309 | 566 | 111 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 48 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 229 | 356 | 585 | 178 | 249 | 46 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 522 | 473 | 110 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 169 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 233 | 301 | 357 | 658 | 125 | 335 | 32 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 466 | 433 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 138 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 229 | 277 | 356 | 633 | 127 | 298 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 522 | 486 | 93 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 179 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 247 | 294 | 541 | 103 | 289 | 34 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 288 | 268 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 183 | 229 | 254 | 483 | 71 | 220 | 19 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 288 | 262 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 279 | 335 | 405 | 739 | 126 | 319 | 16 | 7 | 326 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 171 | 162 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 259 | 272 | 530 | 49 | 316 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 171 | 157 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 299 | 353 | 376 | 729 | 76 | 379 | 20 | 8 | 328 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 229 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 232 | 266 | 499 | 74 | 247 | 24 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 241 | 225 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 80 | 262 | 17 | 6 | 262 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 430 | 395 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 258 | 309 | 566 | 111 | 251 | 26 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 430 | 383 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 302 | 350 | 652 | 125 | 255 | 17 | 10 | 294 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 518 | 117 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 191 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 226 | 293 | 351 | 644 | 125 | 332 | 34 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 570 | 502 | 139 | 34 | 3 | 14 | 64 | 130 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 277 | 360 | 440 | 800 | 163 | 346 | 23 | 11 | 356 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 449 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 143 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 227 | 276 | 352 | 627 | 125 | 304 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 436 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 121 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 257 | 324 | 408 | 732 | 151 | 321 | 25 | 8 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 568 | 528 | 101 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 194 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 191 | 248 | 295 | 544 | 104 | 287 | 34 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 568 | 509 | 130 | 36 | 3 | 9 | 58 | 155 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 333 | 391 | 724 | 136 | 351 | 27 | 10 | 326 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 285 | 244 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 401 | 463 | 865 | 160 | 365 | 20 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 285 | 244 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 401 | 463 | 865 | 160 | 365 | 20 | 14 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 288 | 270 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 181 | 229 | 252 | 481 | 70 | 215 | 19 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 171 | 161 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 259 | 273 | 532 | 50 | 318 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 227 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 232 | 269 | 501 | 75 | 246 | 24 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 430 | 395 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 258 | 309 | 566 | 111 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 516 | 117 | 28 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 191 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 227 | 293 | 353 | 645 | 126 | 328 | 34 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 450 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 143 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 227 | 276 | 351 | 627 | 124 | 298 | 30 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 568 | 523 | 101 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 194 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 248 | 298 | 547 | 105 | 289 | 34 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3036 | 2793 | 601 | 120 | 18 | 49 | 219 | 857 | 8 | 42 | 15 | 215 | 274 | 324 | 598 | 108 | 290 | 28 | 7 | 228 | 41 | -215 | +2 | +0 | +11 | +66 | -13.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 129 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 183 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 216 | 275 | 323 | 598 | 107 | 292 | 28 | 7 | 228 | 41 | -46 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAMobile BayBears · 522 PAwOBA .324 → .241 (−84)K% 26.8% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.82% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.37% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.902 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.050 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .324 → .241; ISO .143 → .108; BABIP .354 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 466 PAwOBA .324 → .272 (−52)K% 24.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.03% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.37% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.95% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 22.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.53% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .324 → .272; ISO .157 → .126; BABIP .321 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+St. Lucie Mets · 522 PAwOBA .349 → .292 (−57)K% 21.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.84% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.957 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 23.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.88% | ÷1.056 | ×0.960 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 9.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷0.911 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.08% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .349 → .292; ISO .155 → .131; BABIP .351 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 48 PAwOBA .325 → .221 (−105)K% 33.3% → 45.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 45.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 20.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 2.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.209 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 7.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .325 → .221; ISO .250 → .144; BABIP .280 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+St. Lucie Mets · 430 PAwOBA .288 → .249 (−39)K% 17.4% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.44% | ÷0.959 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.83% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷0.956 | ×0.960 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.943 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .288 → .249; ISO .125 → .113; BABIP .255 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+St. Lucie Mets · 222 PAwOBA .233 → .200 (−34)K% 18.0% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.02% | ÷0.992 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.95% | ÷1.023 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.76% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.055 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.269 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 110, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .233 → .200; ISO .052 → .047; BABIP .265 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Mets · 19 PAwOBA .514 → .401 (−113)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 12.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 10.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 10.24% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .514 → .401; ISO .467 → .391; BABIP .231 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Mets · 171 PAwOBA .319 → .239 (−80)K% 19.9% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.039 | ×1.008 | 26.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.039 | ×1.008 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.039 | ×1.008 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .319 → .239; ISO .076 → .054; BABIP .379 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .