Jesús Liranzo
P
Nashville Sounds
+0.4
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'2" / 248 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.26
FIP4.26
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5555
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | 23 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 46 | 18 | 0 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 3.23 | +0.7 |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 27 | 0 | 53 | 207 | 66 | 27 | 3 | 24.3% | 14.9% | 1.6% | 1.87 | 3.84 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 31 | 12 | 65 | 288 | 75 | 43 | 12 | 21.1% | 16.4% | 5.0% | 4.85 | 6.15 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 41 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 65 | 34 | 7 | 21.1% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 3.95 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 42 | 0 | 59 | 256 | 54 | 34 | 7 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 16 | 0 | 18 | 72 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 26.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.06 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 20 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 26.1% | 15.0% | 5.9% | 9.64 | 6.02 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 28 | 0 | 36 | 168 | 46 | 22 | 5 | 23.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 6.56 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 31 | 3 | 39 | 166 | 51 | 15 | 5 | 24.7% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 3.66 | 3.22 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 48 | 0 | 58 | 248 | 64 | 23 | 6 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 3.39 | 3.75 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.40 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 307 | 15 | 442 | 1905 | 420 | 254 | 60 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.65 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 7 | 200 | 862 | 190 | 115 | 27 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesús Liranzo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.40 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 120 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 90 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 85 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 83 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 82 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 81 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 81 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 81 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.39 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.70 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.31 | 2.80 | 410 | 81 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 81 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 80 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 80 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .246 | 3.65 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.24 | 1.69 | 468 | 79 |
| Tony Barnette R 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.05 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.23 | 2.56 | 144 | 79 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 78 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 78 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.