Jesús Liranzo — OGILVIE

Jesús Liranzo P Nashville Sounds

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 248 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%22.0%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	23	0	38	163	46	18	0	0%	1.7	19.2%	13.8%	5.4%	0.0%	2.35	3.23	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	23	0	38	163	46	18	0	0%	1.7	28.2%	11.0%	17.2%	0.0%	2.35	2.11	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	53	207	66	27	3	0%	2.0	24.3%	14.9%	9.3%	1.6%	1.87	3.84	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	53	207	66	27	3	0%	2.0	31.9%	13.0%	18.8%	1.4%	1.87	2.87	—
2017	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	31	12	65	288	75	43	12	39%	2.1	21.1%	16.4%	4.7%	5.0%	4.85	6.15	—
2017	22	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	31	12	65	288	75	43	12	39%	2.1	26.0%	14.9%	11.1%	4.2%	4.85	5.18	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	57	242	65	34	7	0%	1.4	21.1%	16.6%	4.5%	3.8%	3.95	5.49	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	57	242	65	34	7	0%	1.4	26.9%	14.0%	12.8%	2.9%	3.95	4.21	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	59	256	54	34	7	0%	1.4	17.9%	14.2%	3.7%	3.2%	5.03	5.12	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	59	256	54	34	7	0%	1.4	21.1%	13.3%	7.8%	2.7%	5.03	4.54	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	16	0	18	72	22	3	3	0%	1.1	26.9%	4.4%	22.5%	4.8%	3.06	4.01	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	16	0	18	72	22	3	3	0%	1.1	30.6%	4.2%	26.4%	4.2%	3.06	3.33	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	19	95	29	14	5	0%	0.9	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	5.9%	9.64	6.03	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	19	95	29	14	5	0%	0.9	30.5%	14.7%	15.8%	5.3%	9.64	5.72	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	168	46	22	5	0%	1.3	23.2%	11.7%	11.5%	3.8%	6.56	4.71	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	168	46	22	5	0%	1.3	23.2%	11.7%	11.5%	3.8%	6.56	4.71	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	36	168	46	22	5	0%	1.3	27.4%	13.1%	14.3%	3.0%	6.56	4.19	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	3	39	166	51	15	5	10%	1.3	24.7%	9.5%	15.2%	1.8%	3.66	3.22	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	3	39	166	51	15	5	10%	1.3	24.7%	9.5%	15.2%	1.8%	3.66	3.22	—
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	3	39	166	51	15	5	10%	1.3	30.7%	9.0%	21.7%	3.0%	3.66	3.30	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	48	0	58	248	64	23	6	0%	1.2	21.4%	8.3%	13.1%	2.4%	3.39	3.66	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	48	0	58	248	64	23	6	0%	1.2	21.4%	8.3%	13.1%	2.4%	3.39	3.66	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	48	0	58	248	64	23	6	0%	1.2	25.8%	9.3%	16.5%	2.4%	3.39	3.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	MIL	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	8.4%	13.7%	2.8%	4.20	4.20	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIL	57	0	60	254	55	22	8	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	3.0%	4.35	4.44	+0.1
2028	33	MLB MLE	MIL	53	0	55	233	50	22	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	3.3%	4.54	4.68	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIL	21	0	22	93	20	8	3	0%	1.0	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	3.0%	4.35	4.44	+0.0
2028	33	MLB CTX	MIL	29	0	30	127	27	12	4	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.3%	12.0%	3.3%	4.54	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	48	20	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.1%	12.4%	3.2%	4.46	4.20	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	76	27	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.1%	12.4%	3.2%	4.46	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		307	15	442	1905	416	251	59	5%	1.4	21.9%	13.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.15	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	7	200	862	188	113	27	5%	1.4	21.9%	13.2%	8.7%	3.1%	4.15	4.63	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesús Liranzo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	22.0%	8.4%	2.8%	—	4.55	21.5%	12.5%	115	+0.35	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	87
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	87
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	86
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	85
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	85
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	84
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	84
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	84
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	84
Pedro Beato R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.22	3.47	295	84
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	83
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	83
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	82
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	82
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	81
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Carlos Torres R 2015 · 3.19 FIP	32	SU	3.19	19.8%	4.9%	2.1%	.315	3.67	20.8%	12.4%	206	+0.48	2.89	326	81
Jim Johnson R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	32	SU	3.34	17.2%	6.2%	1.7%	.330	3.63	22.0%	14.1%	185	+0.29	2.56	251	81
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	21.7%	8.8%	1.17	4.35
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97