Brock Hebert
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | A+/A2 orgs | 193 | .273/.355/.412 | 2 | 6 | 55 | — | .210/.270/.329 |
| 2016 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 331 | .245/.401/.366 | 2 | 6 | 79 | — | .212/.324/.313 |
| 2017 | 26 | AASEA | 78 | .171/.247/.271 | 2 | 1 | 14 | — | .141/.208/.197 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 130 | 111 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 288 | 388 | 360 | 748 | 72 | 344 | 16 | 10 | 344 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 76 | 64 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 378 | 453 | 832 | 172 | 347 | 20 | 11 | 362 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 222 | 191 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 277 | 367 | 340 | 707 | 63 | 349 | 19 | 10 | 322 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 180 | 158 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 234 | 320 | 291 | 611 | 57 | 293 | 19 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 129 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 177 | 262 | 195 | 457 | 18 | 263 | 29 | 8 | 217 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 214 | 195 | 52 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 267 | 322 | 415 | 738 | 149 | 353 | 26 | 6 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 46 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 297 | 395 | 568 | 963 | 270 | 346 | 24 | 11 | 391 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 147 | 128 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 266 | 343 | 367 | 710 | 102 | 391 | 29 | 10 | 314 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 223 | 170 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 59 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 390 | 329 | 719 | 112 | 319 | 26 | 19 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 108 | 87 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 299 | 425 | 437 | 861 | 138 | 410 | 23 | 16 | 383 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 78 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 247 | 271 | 518 | 100 | 208 | 26 | 5 | 238 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 130 | 116 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 224 | 302 | 284 | 587 | 60 | 281 | 23 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 76 | 66 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 311 | 379 | 690 | 152 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 222 | 198 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 317 | 298 | 614 | 51 | 331 | 26 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 129 | 117 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 171 | 385 | 17 | 241 | 36 | 5 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 214 | 198 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 80 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 212 | 261 | 318 | 579 | 106 | 319 | 37 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 46 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 282 | 349 | 538 | 887 | 256 | 305 | 33 | 7 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 147 | 133 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 61 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 188 | 245 | 263 | 508 | 75 | 317 | 41 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 223 | 185 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 321 | 297 | 618 | 97 | 298 | 32 | 13 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 108 | 93 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 330 | 344 | 674 | 108 | 346 | 31 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 78 | 71 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 208 | 197 | 405 | 56 | 190 | 32 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 130 | 116 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 224 | 302 | 284 | 587 | 60 | 291 | 23 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 130 | 111 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 288 | 388 | 360 | 748 | 72 | 344 | 16 | 10 | 344 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 478 | 425 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 127 | 12 | 31 | 8 | 238 | 311 | 301 | 612 | 64 | 332 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 478 | 413 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 91 | 12 | 31 | 8 | 262 | 351 | 339 | 690 | 77 | 327 | 19 | 9 | 314 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 315 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 126 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 187 | 240 | 260 | 501 | 73 | 302 | 37 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 308 | 72 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 92 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 234 | 300 | 334 | 634 | 101 | 321 | 27 | 7 | 284 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 172 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 203 | 263 | 314 | 577 | 110 | 337 | 39 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 193 | 165 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 54 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 273 | 355 | 412 | 767 | 139 | 381 | 28 | 10 | 332 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 278 | 59 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 105 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 212 | 324 | 313 | 637 | 101 | 328 | 32 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 331 | 257 | 63 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 84 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 245 | 401 | 366 | 767 | 121 | 351 | 25 | 18 | 349 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 78 | 71 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 208 | 197 | 405 | 56 | 200 | 32 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 78 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 247 | 271 | 518 | 100 | 208 | 26 | 5 | 238 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 130 | 116 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 224 | 302 | 284 | 587 | 60 | 281 | 23 | 6 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 478 | 430 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 127 | 12 | 31 | 8 | 235 | 311 | 298 | 608 | 63 | 320 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 318 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 126 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 186 | 240 | 258 | 498 | 72 | 290 | 37 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 193 | 177 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 198 | 263 | 305 | 569 | 107 | 314 | 39 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 282 | 59 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 105 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 209 | 324 | 309 | 633 | 99 | 314 | 32 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 78 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 208 | 194 | 402 | 56 | 190 | 32 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1553 | 1377 | 290 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 112 | 489 | 34 | 64 | 21 | 211 | 286 | 289 | 575 | 78 | 315 | 31 | 7 | 255 | 58 | -77 | +4 | +0 | +17 | +34 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 121 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 205 | 14 | 27 | 9 | 210 | 286 | 286 | 572 | 76 | 315 | 32 | 7 | 255 | 58 | -32 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 78 PAwOBA .232 → .189 (−44)K% 25.6% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.64% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 16.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .232 → .189; ISO .100 → .074; BABIP .208 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJackson Generals · 223 PAwOBA .329 → .280 (−48)K% 26.5% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.46% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.83% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 12.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷0.889 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.138 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .329 → .280; ISO .112 → .106; BABIP .319 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 108 PAwOBA .374 → .294 (−80)K% 23.1% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.15% | ÷1.008 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.74% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 10.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.42% | ÷1.038 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 24.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.29% | ÷1.120 | ×0.820 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 8.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .374 → .294; ISO .138 → .111; BABIP .410 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AClinton LumberKings · 147 PAwOBA .310 → .221 (−89)K% 29.3% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.25% | ÷0.958 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.88% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 21.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.94% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 9.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.847 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .310 → .221; ISO .102 → .072; BABIP .391 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 46 PAwOBA .398 → .340 (−58)K% 23.9% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.91% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.988 | 3.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 6.49% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .398 → .340; ISO .270 → .236; BABIP .346 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+High Desert Mavericks · 214 PAwOBA .318 → .246 (−72)K% 25.7% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.70% | ÷0.925 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷0.961 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.57% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.001 | ×0.760 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 85, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .318 → .246; ISO .149 → .106; BABIP .353 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJackson Generals · 129 PAwOBA .212 → .175 (−38)K% 28.7% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.68% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.083 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 2.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.880 | ×0.968 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 94, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .212 → .175; ISO .018 → .016; BABIP .263 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AClinton LumberKings · 222 PAwOBA .316 → .270 (−47)K% 18.9% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.86% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | — | 28.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | — | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.964 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 124, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .316 → .270; ISO .063 → .050; BABIP .349 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).