Joe Munoz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | AKane County C… | 406 | .246/.341/.364 | 7 | 7 | 51 | — | .192/.263/.280 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 358 | .242/.325/.396 | 7 | 5 | 56 | — | .192/.258/.302 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAABravos de Leon | 63 | .380/.508/.640 | 3 | 0 | 164 | — | .309/.397/.491 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 193 | 173 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 260 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 81 | 364 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 219 | 194 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 61 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 344 | 448 | 792 | 186 | 352 | 28 | 9 | 351 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 341 | 301 | 74 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 324 | 402 | 726 | 156 | 311 | 26 | 9 | 322 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 19 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 294 | 663 | 357 | 16 | 11 | 312 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 406 | 349 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 106 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 246 | 341 | 364 | 705 | 117 | 328 | 26 | 11 | 317 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 112 | 98 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 357 | 408 | 765 | 143 | 369 | 28 | 11 | 346 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 246 | 220 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 57 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 310 | 391 | 701 | 159 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Bravos de Leon | — | 63 | 50 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 380 | 508 | 640 | 1.148 | 260 | 500 | 24 | 19 | 498 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 193 | 179 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 184 | 232 | 229 | 461 | 45 | 310 | 39 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 219 | 202 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 168 | 229 | 282 | 512 | 114 | 261 | 40 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 341 | 310 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 120 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 262 | 319 | 581 | 119 | 279 | 35 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 19 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 222 | 485 | 288 | 21 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 406 | 364 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 149 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 192 | 263 | 280 | 543 | 88 | 289 | 37 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 112 | 102 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 206 | 277 | 294 | 571 | 88 | 325 | 37 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 246 | 226 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 75 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 249 | 305 | 554 | 119 | 260 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 63 | 55 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 397 | 491 | 888 | 182 | 455 | 30 | 11 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 193 | 179 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 184 | 232 | 229 | 461 | 45 | 314 | 39 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 193 | 173 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 260 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 81 | 364 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 219 | 202 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 168 | 229 | 282 | 512 | 114 | 270 | 40 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 219 | 194 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 61 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 344 | 448 | 792 | 186 | 352 | 28 | 9 | 351 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 328 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 262 | 314 | 576 | 113 | 292 | 34 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 360 | 318 | 79 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 91 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 327 | 396 | 723 | 148 | 314 | 25 | 9 | 321 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 406 | 364 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 149 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 192 | 263 | 280 | 543 | 88 | 299 | 37 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 406 | 349 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 106 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 246 | 341 | 364 | 705 | 117 | 328 | 26 | 11 | 317 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 328 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 116 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 192 | 258 | 302 | 560 | 110 | 279 | 32 | 6 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 358 | 318 | 77 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 88 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 242 | 325 | 396 | 721 | 154 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 324 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 63 | 55 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 397 | 491 | 888 | 182 | 441 | 30 | 11 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA RAW | Bravos de Leon | — | 63 | 50 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 380 | 508 | 640 | 1.148 | 260 | 500 | 24 | 19 | 498 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 193 | 180 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 183 | 232 | 228 | 459 | 44 | 310 | 39 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 219 | 201 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 169 | 229 | 284 | 513 | 114 | 261 | 40 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 330 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 262 | 312 | 574 | 112 | 279 | 34 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 406 | 368 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 149 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 190 | 263 | 277 | 540 | 87 | 289 | 37 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 326 | 63 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 116 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 193 | 258 | 304 | 561 | 110 | 280 | 32 | 6 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 63 | 55 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 397 | 491 | 888 | 182 | 455 | 30 | 11 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1599 | 1456 | 283 | 53 | 9 | 25 | 103 | 572 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 194 | 259 | 295 | 553 | 100 | 296 | 36 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -90 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +35 | -5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 116 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 233 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 196 | 260 | 297 | 557 | 101 | 299 | 36 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -37 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAABravos de Leon · 63 PAwOBA .478 → .411 (−68)K% 23.8% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.87% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 11.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.29% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 32.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.43% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 10.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 6.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .478 → .411; ISO .260 → .210; BABIP .500 → .455. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AKane County Cougars · 246 PAwOBA .306 → .246 (−61)K% 23.2% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.17% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.72% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.40% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 17.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.45% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.990 | 2.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.07% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .306 → .246; ISO .159 → .126; BABIP .289 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Visalia Rawhide · 112 PAwOBA .337 → .260 (−77)K% 27.7% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.68% | ÷1.020 | ×1.340 | — | — | 36.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.94% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 9.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.760 | ×1.015 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.134 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 113, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .337 → .260; ISO .143 → .105; BABIP .369 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AKane County Cougars · 406 PAwOBA .313 → .243 (−70)K% 26.1% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.11% | ÷0.970 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.08% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.51% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | — | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | — | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | — | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.881 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .313 → .243; ISO .117 → .093; BABIP .328 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ASouth Bend Silver Hawks · 341 PAwOBA .318 → .252 (−66)K% 25.8% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷0.997 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.097 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.946 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .318 → .252; ISO .156 → .121; BABIP .311 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKACL D-backs · 19 PAwOBA .304 → .224 (−80)K% 15.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 28.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .304 → .224; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKMissoula Osprey · 219 PAwOBA .343 → .221 (−122)K% 27.9% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.961 | ×0.995 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.995 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.995 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .343 → .221; ISO .186 → .116; BABIP .352 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKACL D-backs · 193 PAwOBA .292 → .210 (−82)K% 27.5% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 26.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .292 → .210; ISO .081 → .055; BABIP .364 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).