Alexis Rivera
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20 | A/ROK2 orgs | 230 | .198/.275/.271 | 1 | 10 | 18 | — | .164/.223/.225 |
| 2015 | 21 | A/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 236 | .261/.362/.498 | 11 | 7 | 81 | — | .214/.279/.387 |
| 2016 | 22 | ABurlington Be… | 277 | .290/.336/.425 | 6 | 5 | 66 | — | .240/.267/.326 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 206 | 176 | 60 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 341 | 423 | 477 | 900 | 136 | 383 | 14 | 11 | 392 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 240 | 212 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 269 | 349 | 363 | 712 | 94 | 310 | 15 | 10 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 183 | 162 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 191 | 280 | 253 | 533 | 62 | 304 | 33 | 10 | 250 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 47 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 255 | 333 | 589 | 111 | 265 | 21 | 2 | 264 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 125 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 282 | 377 | 659 | 158 | 265 | 22 | 6 | 292 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 87 | 69 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 362 | 494 | 739 | 1.233 | 377 | 375 | 16 | 20 | 521 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 292 | 350 | 642 | 200 | 182 | 33 | 17 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 277 | 259 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 290 | 336 | 425 | 760 | 135 | 338 | 18 | 6 | 339 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 206 | 184 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 272 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 92 | 319 | 20 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 240 | 221 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 213 | 269 | 281 | 549 | 68 | 262 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 183 | 168 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 77 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 167 | 231 | 220 | 451 | 54 | 295 | 42 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 47 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 191 | 244 | 436 | 89 | 209 | 30 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 125 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 179 | 226 | 299 | 525 | 120 | 244 | 30 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 87 | 76 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 356 | 513 | 869 | 250 | 292 | 23 | 11 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 277 | 267 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 267 | 326 | 593 | 86 | 317 | 26 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 206 | 184 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 272 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 92 | 331 | 20 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 206 | 176 | 60 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 341 | 423 | 477 | 900 | 136 | 383 | 14 | 11 | 392 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 240 | 221 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 213 | 269 | 281 | 549 | 68 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 240 | 212 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 269 | 349 | 363 | 712 | 94 | 310 | 15 | 10 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 213 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 92 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 164 | 223 | 225 | 448 | 61 | 283 | 40 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 207 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 198 | 275 | 271 | 546 | 72 | 294 | 30 | 8 | 253 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 236 | 216 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 208 | 272 | 375 | 647 | 167 | 259 | 28 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 236 | 203 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 50 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 261 | 362 | 498 | 859 | 236 | 296 | 21 | 12 | 377 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 277 | 267 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 267 | 326 | 593 | 86 | 316 | 26 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 277 | 259 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 290 | 336 | 425 | 760 | 135 | 338 | 18 | 6 | 339 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 206 | 187 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 267 | 333 | 358 | 692 | 91 | 319 | 20 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 240 | 221 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 213 | 269 | 281 | 549 | 68 | 262 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 212 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 92 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 165 | 223 | 226 | 449 | 61 | 277 | 40 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 236 | 215 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 209 | 272 | 377 | 649 | 167 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 277 | 265 | 64 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 242 | 267 | 328 | 595 | 87 | 317 | 26 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1189 | 1101 | 241 | 41 | 6 | 17 | 67 | 323 | 12 | 40 | 17 | 219 | 271 | 313 | 585 | 94 | 292 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -54 | +1 | +0 | -13 | +26 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 131 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 177 | 7 | 22 | 9 | 218 | 271 | 309 | 580 | 91 | 291 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 62 | -30 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 ABurlington Bees · 277 PAwOBA .326 → .266 (−60)K% 17.7% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.69% | ÷0.939 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.05% | ÷1.037 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | — | 24.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | — | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.285 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 95, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .326 → .266; ISO .135 → .094; BABIP .338 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALexington Legends · 125 PAwOBA .284 → .225 (−59)K% 22.4% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.40% | ÷0.974 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷1.074 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.44% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.015 | 16.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.026 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×1.015 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.020 | ×0.940 | ×1.021 | ×1.015 | 2.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.103 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 104, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .284 → .225; ISO .158 → .120; BABIP .265 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 87 PAwOBA .505 → .376 (−130)K% 16.1% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 11.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 9.40% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .505 → .376; ISO .377 → .286; BABIP .375 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALexington Legends · 183 PAwOBA .245 → .199 (−46)K% 32.8% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.79% | ÷1.041 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.013 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷0.958 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×1.030 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .245 → .199; ISO .062 → .050; BABIP .304 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 47 PAwOBA .257 → .178 (−79)K% 21.3% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 1.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .257 → .178; ISO .111 → .073; BABIP .265 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 240 PAwOBA .315 → .242 (−73)K% 15.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 5.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .315 → .242; ISO .094 → .070; BABIP .310 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Royals · 206 PAwOBA .392 → .310 (−82)K% 14.1% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.63% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .392 → .310; ISO .136 → .106; BABIP .383 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .