Yasiel Balaguert
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 710 | .265/.320/.411 | 20 | 6 | 53 | — | .195/.232/.300 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 542 | .252/.305/.406 | 16 | 0 | 67 | — | .221/.261/.350 |
| 2018 | 25 | AATennessee Smo… | 485 | .231/.276/.342 | 8 | 1 | 46 | — | .207/.238/.305 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 155 | 149 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 234 | 262 | 496 | 54 | 300 | 32 | 3 | 223 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 128 | 115 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 296 | 357 | 653 | 122 | 281 | 21 | 8 | 287 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 389 | 533 | 922 | 267 | 364 | 22 | 17 | 399 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 392 | 366 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 254 | 300 | 369 | 669 | 115 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 339 | 317 | 86 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 271 | 312 | 407 | 719 | 136 | 305 | 16 | 5 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 583 | 533 | 140 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 125 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 263 | 319 | 424 | 743 | 161 | 306 | 21 | 7 | 327 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 127 | 119 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 323 | 353 | 676 | 76 | 360 | 23 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 518 | 477 | 122 | 27 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 103 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 309 | 407 | 716 | 151 | 295 | 20 | 7 | 317 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 24 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 208 | 391 | 600 | 217 | 143 | 4 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 485 | 450 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 276 | 342 | 618 | 111 | 262 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 155 | 151 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 188 | 219 | 407 | 46 | 291 | 43 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 128 | 119 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 208 | 235 | 443 | 67 | 223 | 30 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 270 | 33 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 392 | 374 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 198 | 231 | 281 | 512 | 83 | 273 | 31 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 339 | 322 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 99 | 254 | 22 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 583 | 550 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 184 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 232 | 300 | 532 | 105 | 261 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 518 | 488 | 108 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 261 | 350 | 611 | 129 | 268 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 485 | 459 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 238 | 305 | 544 | 98 | 242 | 21 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 269 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 105 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 197 | 219 | 416 | 52 | 259 | 37 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 264 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 76 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 262 | 303 | 565 | 83 | 291 | 27 | 5 | 252 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 300 | 33 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 389 | 533 | 922 | 267 | 364 | 22 | 17 | 399 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 392 | 374 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 198 | 231 | 281 | 512 | 83 | 277 | 31 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 392 | 366 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 254 | 300 | 369 | 669 | 115 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 339 | 322 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 99 | 261 | 22 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 339 | 317 | 86 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 271 | 312 | 407 | 719 | 136 | 305 | 16 | 5 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 710 | 672 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 224 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 195 | 232 | 299 | 531 | 104 | 266 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 710 | 652 | 173 | 29 | 3 | 20 | 51 | 154 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 265 | 320 | 411 | 731 | 146 | 316 | 22 | 7 | 323 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 511 | 113 | 25 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 134 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 260 | 352 | 612 | 131 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 500 | 126 | 27 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 104 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 305 | 406 | 711 | 154 | 286 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 485 | 459 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 238 | 305 | 544 | 98 | 247 | 21 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 485 | 450 | 104 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 276 | 342 | 618 | 111 | 262 | 17 | 6 | 274 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 271 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 105 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 166 | 197 | 218 | 415 | 52 | 260 | 37 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 188 | 270 | 33 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 392 | 373 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 122 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 198 | 231 | 282 | 512 | 83 | 273 | 31 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 339 | 322 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 99 | 254 | 22 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 710 | 672 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 224 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 195 | 232 | 299 | 531 | 104 | 261 | 32 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 510 | 113 | 25 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 134 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 260 | 353 | 613 | 131 | 268 | 25 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 485 | 463 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 238 | 302 | 541 | 97 | 242 | 21 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2769 | 2623 | 530 | 105 | 8 | 47 | 113 | 769 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 202 | 237 | 302 | 539 | 100 | 264 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | -179 | -1 | +0 | -30 | +60 | -15.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 616 | 125 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 181 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 239 | 304 | 543 | 101 | 265 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AATennessee Smokies · 485 PAwOBA .270 → .236 (−34)K% 16.9% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.91% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.36% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.29% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 17.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.128 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×0.998 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.83% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 126, K 95, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .270 → .236; ISO .111 → .097; BABIP .262 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATennessee Smokies · 518 PAwOBA .310 → .267 (−43)K% 19.9% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.88% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.56% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 19.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.01% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .310 → .267; ISO .151 → .135; BABIP .295 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 583 PAwOBA .321 → .233 (−88)K% 21.4% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.44% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.17% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 19.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.038 | ×0.800 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.311 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.19% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .321 → .233; ISO .161 → .109; BABIP .306 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 339 PAwOBA .312 → .240 (−72)K% 15.9% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.93% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.01% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | — | 19.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | — | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | — | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .312 → .240; ISO .136 → .097; BABIP .305 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AKane County Cougars · 392 PAwOBA .292 → .225 (−67)K% 21.7% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.68% | ÷0.952 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.87% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.015 | 21.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.05% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.015 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.144 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.015 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.49% | ÷1.029 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 83, 3B 129, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .292 → .225; ISO .115 → .086; BABIP .312 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Cubs · 18 PAwOBA .389 → .261 (−128)K% 22.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 10.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 7.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 13.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 6.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .389 → .261; ISO .267 → .180; BABIP .364 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 APeoria Chiefs · 155 PAwOBA .219 → .177 (−42)K% 31.6% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.61% | ÷1.010 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 2.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 24.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 129, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .219 → .177; ISO .054 → .040; BABIP .300 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Cubs · 128 PAwOBA .286 → .206 (−80)K% 21.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .286 → .206; ISO .122 → .086; BABIP .281 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .