Max Moroff
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | AAAPIT | 297 | .223/.338/.393 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — | .199/.293/.344 | |
| 2018 | 25 | MLBPIT | 67 | .186/.284/.356 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 0.1 | ||
| 2019 | 26 | AAA/ROK2 orgs | 160 | .238/.381/.400 | 5 | 1 | 72 | — | .193/.300/.330 | |
| 2019 | 26 | MLBCleveland Ind… | 35 | .125/.176/.250 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -0.1 | ||
| 2021 | 28 | AAASTL | 34 | .538/.647/1.115 | 4 | 1 | 273 | — | .464/.559/.893 | |
| 2021 | 28 | MLBSTL | 16 | .062/.062/.062 | 0 | 0 | -76 | -0.3 | ||
| 2022 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 89 | 67 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 343 | 482 | 433 | 915 | 90 | 386 | 12 | 19 | 401 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 506 | 429 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 65 | 102 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 233 | 337 | 345 | 682 | 112 | 286 | 20 | 13 | 308 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 534 | 467 | 114 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 54 | 129 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 244 | 326 | 340 | 667 | 96 | 332 | 24 | 10 | 299 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 612 | 523 | 153 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 111 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 293 | 377 | 409 | 786 | 117 | 356 | 18 | 11 | 345 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 520 | 421 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 90 | 129 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 230 | 368 | 349 | 718 | 119 | 311 | 25 | 17 | 329 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 140 | 120 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 125 | 280 | 31 | 11 | 286 | 82 | -3 | -0 | +3 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 228 | 185 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 41 | 59 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 254 | 392 | 519 | 911 | 265 | 298 | 26 | 18 | 399 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 67 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 284 | 356 | 640 | 169 | 250 | 36 | 10 | 291 | 81 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 297 | 247 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 68 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 223 | 338 | 393 | 731 | 170 | 270 | 23 | 14 | 323 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 35 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 250 | 426 | 125 | 200 | 46 | 6 | 188 | 13 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 136 | 108 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 213 | 375 | 361 | 736 | 148 | 271 | 25 | 19 | 343 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | — | 24 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 417 | 591 | 1.008 | 227 | 438 | 21 | 4 | 442 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 167 | 62 | 0 | 57 | -76 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.3 | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 34 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 538 | 647 | 1.115 | 1.762 | 577 | 526 | 9 | 18 | 711 | 273 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 258 | 227 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 267 | 304 | 571 | 128 | 258 | 36 | 10 | 260 | 62 | -12 | -0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 89 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 288 | 388 | 356 | 744 | 68 | 323 | 18 | 12 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 506 | 452 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 139 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 199 | 270 | 292 | 562 | 93 | 257 | 27 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 534 | 481 | 100 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 188 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 208 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 81 | 322 | 35 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 612 | 544 | 155 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 135 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 285 | 345 | 386 | 731 | 101 | 352 | 22 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 520 | 450 | 96 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 61 | 152 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 213 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 111 | 294 | 29 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 140 | 120 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 125 | 280 | 31 | 11 | 289 | 82 | -3 | -0 | +3 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 228 | 196 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 245 | 348 | 505 | 853 | 260 | 293 | 30 | 13 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 67 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 269 | 350 | 619 | 167 | 250 | 36 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 297 | 256 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 77 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 199 | 293 | 344 | 637 | 145 | 242 | 26 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 35 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 176 | 250 | 426 | 125 | 200 | 46 | 6 | 187 | 13 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 136 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 179 | 294 | 308 | 602 | 128 | 243 | 30 | 12 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Red | — | 24 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 182 | 320 | 29 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 167 | 62 | 0 | 57 | -76 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.3 | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 34 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 464 | 559 | 893 | 1.452 | 429 | 436 | 12 | 12 | 571 | 273 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 89 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 288 | 388 | 356 | 744 | 68 | 345 | 18 | 12 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 89 | 67 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 343 | 482 | 433 | 915 | 90 | 386 | 12 | 19 | 401 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 506 | 452 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 139 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 199 | 270 | 292 | 562 | 93 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 506 | 429 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 65 | 102 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 233 | 337 | 345 | 682 | 112 | 286 | 20 | 13 | 308 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 534 | 481 | 100 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 188 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 208 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 81 | 336 | 35 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 534 | 467 | 114 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 54 | 129 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 244 | 326 | 340 | 667 | 96 | 332 | 24 | 10 | 299 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 612 | 544 | 155 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 135 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 285 | 345 | 386 | 731 | 101 | 365 | 22 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 612 | 523 | 153 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 111 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 293 | 377 | 409 | 786 | 117 | 356 | 18 | 11 | 345 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 520 | 450 | 96 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 61 | 152 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 213 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 111 | 301 | 29 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 520 | 421 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 90 | 129 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 230 | 368 | 349 | 718 | 119 | 311 | 25 | 17 | 329 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 316 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 112 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 329 | 430 | 759 | 206 | 286 | 30 | 12 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 368 | 305 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 102 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 233 | 359 | 443 | 802 | 210 | 291 | 28 | 15 | 356 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 364 | 316 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 101 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 196 | 289 | 345 | 633 | 149 | 250 | 28 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 364 | 306 | 66 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 92 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 216 | 328 | 386 | 713 | 170 | 267 | 25 | 14 | 317 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 195 | 172 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 180 | 273 | 302 | 576 | 122 | 252 | 33 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 195 | 162 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 216 | 345 | 370 | 716 | 154 | 287 | 28 | 15 | 327 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 50 | 44 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 400 | 591 | 991 | 273 | 407 | 28 | 8 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 50 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 357 | 460 | 714 | 1.174 | 357 | 440 | 26 | 12 | 501 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 89 | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 273 | 388 | 338 | 726 | 65 | 323 | 18 | 12 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 506 | 457 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 139 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 197 | 270 | 289 | 559 | 92 | 257 | 27 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 534 | 486 | 100 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 188 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 206 | 273 | 286 | 559 | 80 | 322 | 35 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 612 | 557 | 155 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 135 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 278 | 345 | 377 | 722 | 99 | 352 | 22 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 520 | 452 | 96 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 61 | 152 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 212 | 310 | 323 | 633 | 111 | 294 | 29 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 316 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 112 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 329 | 430 | 759 | 206 | 288 | 30 | 12 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 364 | 320 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 101 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 194 | 289 | 341 | 629 | 147 | 243 | 28 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 195 | 171 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 181 | 273 | 304 | 577 | 123 | 245 | 33 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 50 | 44 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 400 | 591 | 991 | 273 | 350 | 28 | 8 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 258 | 227 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 93 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 267 | 304 | 571 | 128 | 258 | 36 | 10 | 260 | 79 | -12 | -0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 102 | 15 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 234 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 178 | 269 | 309 | 579 | 131 | 260 | 36 | 10 | 260 | 79 | -29 | -1 | +4 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3238 | 2848 | 640 | 120 | 21 | 58 | 312 | 921 | 18 | 75 | 51 | 225 | 305 | 343 | 648 | 118 | 308 | 28 | 10 | 284 | 79 | -12 | -0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 129 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 63 | 185 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 226 | 307 | 344 | 652 | 119 | 309 | 28 | 10 | 284 | 79 | -29 | -1 | +4 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 34 PAwOBA .691 → .571 (−120)K% 8.8% → 11.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.82% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 11.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 5.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 27.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 10.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 12.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .691 → .571; ISO .577 → .458; BABIP .526 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 136 PAwOBA .335 → .271 (−64)K% 25.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.12% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 12.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.985 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .271; ISO .148 → .130; BABIP .271 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Indians Red · 24 PAwOBA .429 → .286 (−143)K% 20.8% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 2.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 22.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 7.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .429 → .286; ISO .227 → .148; BABIP .438 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 297 PAwOBA .318 → .279 (−39)K% 22.9% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.90% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.890 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 11.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.32% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 16.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.82% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.47% | ÷1.041 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 3.72% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 113, BB 78 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .318 → .279; ISO .170 → .149; BABIP .270 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 228 PAwOBA .388 → .363 (−24)K% 25.9% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.88% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.11% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.950 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.32% | ÷0.850 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 10.69% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .388 → .363; ISO .265 → .269; BABIP .298 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 520 PAwOBA .322 → .281 (−41)K% 24.8% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.81% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.12% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 11.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.933 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .322 → .281; ISO .119 → .116; BABIP .311 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAltoona Curve · 612 PAwOBA .337 → .319 (−18)K% 18.1% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.14% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.004 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.16% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.18% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 27.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.996 | ×1.042 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.70% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .337 → .319; ISO .117 → .110; BABIP .356 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Bradenton Marauders · 534 PAwOBA .294 → .245 (−48)K% 24.2% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.16% | ÷0.975 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.059 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.78% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.88% | ÷1.078 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 8.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.042 | ×1.027 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.337 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.20% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .294 → .245; ISO .096 → .081; BABIP .332 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).