Wyatt Mathisen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 26 | MLBARI | 33 | .222/.364/.444 | 2 | 0 | 137 | 0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAASF | 282 | .215/.338/.397 | 10 | 0 | 62 | — | .170/.270/.300 | |
| 2021 | 27 | MLBARI | 51 | .119/.260/.190 | 1 | 0 | 39 | -1.0 | ||
| 2022 | 28 | AAASF | 134 | .170/.285/.348 | 5 | 0 | 31 | — | .128/.215/.239 | |
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 167 | 139 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 295 | 395 | 374 | 769 | 79 | 328 | 11 | 10 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 138 | 119 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 260 | 210 | 470 | 25 | 222 | 16 | 7 | 214 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 29 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 409 | 552 | 455 | 1.006 | 45 | 450 | 7 | 24 | 462 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 419 | 375 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 54 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 280 | 346 | 360 | 706 | 80 | 318 | 13 | 8 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 463 | 403 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 346 | 342 | 688 | 79 | 307 | 16 | 9 | 311 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 129 | 115 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 357 | 409 | 766 | 113 | 351 | 16 | 9 | 337 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 430 | 375 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 75 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 359 | 365 | 724 | 93 | 326 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 282 | 242 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 248 | 336 | 413 | 749 | 165 | 285 | 21 | 8 | 328 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 41 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 385 | 600 | 692 | 1.292 | 308 | 474 | 17 | 27 | 535 | 218 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 345 | 283 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 23 | 39 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 406 | 601 | 1.007 | 318 | 318 | 24 | 11 | 433 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 31 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 348 | 516 | 478 | 994 | 130 | 400 | 10 | 19 | 453 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 308 | 36 | 15 | 364 | 137 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 51 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 260 | 190 | 450 | 71 | 190 | 41 | 10 | 223 | 39 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 282 | 237 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 338 | 397 | 735 | 181 | 259 | 25 | 12 | 333 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 134 | 112 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 285 | 348 | 633 | 179 | 212 | 34 | 12 | 281 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 84 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 301 | 290 | 591 | 130 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 279 | 75 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 167 | 145 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 234 | 315 | 297 | 611 | 62 | 264 | 16 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 138 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 237 | 205 | 442 | 25 | 209 | 22 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 360 | 774 | 40 | 362 | 10 | 14 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 419 | 387 | 100 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 258 | 305 | 328 | 633 | 70 | 298 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 463 | 415 | 98 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 100 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 302 | 308 | 610 | 72 | 287 | 22 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 129 | 118 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 302 | 356 | 658 | 102 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 430 | 389 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 305 | 319 | 624 | 80 | 298 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 282 | 247 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 219 | 296 | 356 | 652 | 138 | 252 | 24 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 41 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 345 | 525 | 621 | 1.146 | 276 | 435 | 22 | 20 | 491 | 218 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 345 | 293 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 316 | 416 | 732 | 215 | 250 | 32 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 31 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 387 | 320 | 707 | 80 | 294 | 13 | 13 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 308 | 36 | 15 | 371 | 137 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 51 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 260 | 190 | 450 | 71 | 190 | 41 | 10 | 225 | 39 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 282 | 247 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 270 | 300 | 570 | 130 | 221 | 29 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 134 | 117 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 215 | 239 | 455 | 111 | 179 | 41 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 167 | 145 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 234 | 315 | 297 | 611 | 62 | 275 | 16 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 167 | 139 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 295 | 395 | 374 | 769 | 79 | 328 | 11 | 10 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 147 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 263 | 218 | 480 | 20 | 250 | 20 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 167 | 141 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 312 | 248 | 561 | 28 | 261 | 14 | 10 | 257 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 419 | 387 | 100 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 258 | 305 | 328 | 633 | 70 | 305 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 419 | 375 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 54 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 280 | 346 | 360 | 706 | 80 | 318 | 13 | 8 | 318 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 463 | 415 | 98 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 100 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 302 | 308 | 610 | 72 | 297 | 22 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 463 | 403 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 346 | 342 | 688 | 79 | 307 | 16 | 9 | 311 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 129 | 118 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 302 | 356 | 658 | 102 | 330 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 129 | 115 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 357 | 409 | 766 | 113 | 351 | 16 | 9 | 337 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 430 | 389 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 305 | 319 | 624 | 80 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 430 | 375 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 75 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 359 | 365 | 724 | 93 | 326 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 275 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 240 | 334 | 396 | 731 | 156 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 323 | 268 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 369 | 440 | 810 | 179 | 303 | 20 | 11 | 354 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 319 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 116 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 322 | 414 | 736 | 207 | 263 | 31 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 376 | 306 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 45 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 416 | 592 | 1.007 | 304 | 327 | 23 | 12 | 434 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 308 | 36 | 15 | 371 | 137 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 308 | 36 | 15 | 364 | 137 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 289 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 102 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 269 | 284 | 553 | 121 | 215 | 31 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 279 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 91 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 326 | 366 | 692 | 165 | 251 | 27 | 12 | 316 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 134 | 117 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 215 | 239 | 455 | 111 | 190 | 41 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 134 | 112 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 285 | 348 | 633 | 179 | 212 | 34 | 12 | 281 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 167 | 148 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 230 | 315 | 291 | 605 | 61 | 264 | 16 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 152 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 263 | 211 | 473 | 20 | 236 | 20 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 419 | 390 | 100 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 305 | 326 | 631 | 69 | 298 | 16 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 463 | 421 | 98 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 100 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 302 | 304 | 606 | 71 | 287 | 22 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 129 | 120 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 302 | 350 | 652 | 100 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 430 | 390 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 238 | 305 | 318 | 623 | 79 | 298 | 22 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 281 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 75 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 334 | 388 | 722 | 153 | 275 | 23 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 319 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 116 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 322 | 414 | 736 | 207 | 254 | 31 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 308 | 36 | 15 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 288 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 102 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 269 | 285 | 554 | 122 | 216 | 31 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 134 | 120 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 215 | 233 | 449 | 108 | 179 | 41 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 84 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 301 | 290 | 591 | 130 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 279 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 534 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 77 | 255 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 301 | 288 | 589 | 129 | 235 | 39 | 12 | 279 | 73 | -20 | +0 | -13 | -45 | +14 | -6.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2974 | 2628 | 584 | 104 | 9 | 51 | 214 | 713 | 80 | 25 | 17 | 222 | 300 | 327 | 627 | 105 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 128 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 156 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 223 | 300 | 328 | 628 | 105 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -20 | +0 | -13 | -45 | +14 | -6.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 134 PAwOBA .282 → .214 (−68)K% 33.6% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.58% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.94% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.43% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 12.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.46% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .282 → .214; ISO .179 → .128; BABIP .212 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 282 PAwOBA .324 → .260 (−65)K% 24.8% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.82% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.77% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 14.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 6.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.99% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .324 → .260; ISO .181 → .137; BABIP .259 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAReno Aces · 345 PAwOBA .425 → .318 (−106)K% 24.3% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.30% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.80% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 5.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.59% | ÷1.035 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 15.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.55% | ÷1.025 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.56% | ÷1.077 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 8.52% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .425 → .318; ISO .318 → .219; BABIP .318 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKACL D-backs · 31 PAwOBA .443 → .318 (−125)K% 9.7% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 11.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 10.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .443 → .318; ISO .130 → .096; BABIP .400 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 282 PAwOBA .325 → .287 (−38)K% 20.9% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.92% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.890 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 19.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.041 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 113, BB 78 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .325 → .287; ISO .165 → .139; BABIP .285 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAltoona Curve · 41 PAwOBA .537 → .491 (−45)K% 17.1% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.83% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 20.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.32% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 6.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.035 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 14.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 4.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.857 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .537 → .491; ISO .308 → .311; BABIP .474 → .435. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAltoona Curve · 430 PAwOBA .322 → .277 (−46)K% 17.4% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.44% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.33% | ÷1.060 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 24.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.909 | ×0.860 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.035 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 112, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .322 → .277; ISO .093 → .080; BABIP .326 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Bradenton Marauders · 129 PAwOBA .330 → .282 (−48)K% 16.3% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷0.996 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.009 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.47% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 22.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.059 | ×0.960 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 9.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.098 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .330 → .282; ISO .113 → .096; BABIP .351 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).