Boog Powell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AAAMIL | 256 | .333/.413/.477 | 6 | 11 | 130 | — | .322/.381/.457 | |
| 2017 | 24 | MLBOakland Athle… | 135 | .282/.364/.402 | 3 | 0 | 118 | 0.7 | ||
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 189 | .223/.344/.242 | 0 | 6 | 52 | — | .206/.296/.224 | |
| 2018 | 25 | MLBOakland Athle… | 25 | .167/.200/.292 | 0 | 1 | 32 | -0.1 | ||
| 2019 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 438 | .278/.383/.419 | 8 | 14 | 70 | — | .215/.296/.321 | |
| 2020 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 130 | 111 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 306 | 389 | 315 | 704 | 9 | 327 | 7 | 12 | 320 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 69 | 61 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 377 | 449 | 459 | 908 | 82 | 404 | 6 | 12 | 409 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 312 | 254 | 86 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 339 | 455 | 433 | 888 | 94 | 409 | 16 | 17 | 402 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 84 | 70 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 300 | 402 | 429 | 831 | 129 | 333 | 13 | 14 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 246 | 206 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 41 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 257 | 362 | 364 | 727 | 107 | 309 | 17 | 13 | 325 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 276 | 238 | 78 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 38 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 328 | 407 | 416 | 823 | 88 | 385 | 14 | 11 | 368 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 277 | 248 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 270 | 330 | 359 | 689 | 89 | 311 | 15 | 8 | 304 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 129 | 110 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 245 | 346 | 273 | 619 | 27 | 284 | 12 | 12 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 135 | 117 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 364 | 402 | 765 | 120 | 349 | 22 | 11 | 339 | 118 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 256 | 222 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 333 | 413 | 477 | 890 | 144 | 364 | 12 | 11 | 391 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 25 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 200 | 292 | 492 | 125 | 222 | 24 | 4 | 216 | 32 | -2 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 174 | 147 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 224 | 333 | 238 | 571 | 14 | 297 | 21 | 13 | 272 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 467 | 300 | 767 | 100 | 222 | 7 | 33 | 378 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 403 | 340 | 98 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 59 | 94 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 288 | 393 | 438 | 832 | 150 | 373 | 23 | 15 | 371 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 35 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 265 | 200 | 465 | 33 | 200 | 17 | 11 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 160 | 141 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 338 | 383 | 721 | 121 | 327 | 22 | 10 | 320 | 103 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 130 | 117 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 265 | 317 | 274 | 591 | 9 | 283 | 10 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 69 | 63 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 317 | 377 | 381 | 758 | 63 | 352 | 7 | 9 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 312 | 271 | 81 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 68 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 299 | 387 | 373 | 760 | 74 | 387 | 22 | 12 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 246 | 218 | 55 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 252 | 321 | 358 | 679 | 106 | 303 | 20 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 276 | 248 | 78 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 315 | 377 | 391 | 768 | 77 | 378 | 17 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 277 | 255 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 267 | 307 | 353 | 660 | 86 | 306 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 135 | 117 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 282 | 364 | 402 | 765 | 120 | 349 | 22 | 11 | 343 | 118 | +3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 256 | 230 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 322 | 381 | 457 | 837 | 135 | 357 | 16 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 25 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 200 | 292 | 492 | 125 | 222 | 24 | 4 | 216 | 32 | -2 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 174 | 153 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 209 | 292 | 222 | 515 | 13 | 289 | 25 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 83 | 197 | 7 | 20 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 403 | 358 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 126 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 215 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 106 | 304 | 31 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 130 | 117 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 265 | 317 | 274 | 591 | 9 | 292 | 10 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Athletics | — | 130 | 111 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 306 | 389 | 315 | 704 | 9 | 327 | 7 | 12 | 320 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 465 | 407 | 125 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 90 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 307 | 388 | 383 | 772 | 76 | 387 | 19 | 11 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 465 | 385 | 130 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 64 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 338 | 445 | 436 | 881 | 99 | 394 | 14 | 16 | 397 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 466 | 134 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 95 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 288 | 353 | 380 | 733 | 92 | 353 | 18 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 444 | 131 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 61 | 79 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 295 | 386 | 392 | 778 | 97 | 351 | 15 | 12 | 348 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 374 | 98 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 76 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 262 | 305 | 340 | 644 | 78 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 358 | 94 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 58 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 263 | 335 | 332 | 667 | 70 | 302 | 14 | 9 | 300 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 347 | 107 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 71 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 308 | 375 | 438 | 813 | 130 | 360 | 18 | 9 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 391 | 339 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 62 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 316 | 396 | 451 | 847 | 136 | 359 | 16 | 11 | 373 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 188 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 202 | 289 | 234 | 523 | 32 | 277 | 24 | 10 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 214 | 181 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 43 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 215 | 327 | 249 | 576 | 33 | 283 | 20 | 14 | 273 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 389 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 137 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 216 | 296 | 326 | 622 | 111 | 309 | 31 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 438 | 370 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 100 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 278 | 383 | 419 | 802 | 141 | 357 | 23 | 14 | 359 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 130 | 120 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 317 | 267 | 584 | 8 | 283 | 10 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 465 | 408 | 125 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 90 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 306 | 388 | 382 | 771 | 76 | 381 | 19 | 11 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 470 | 134 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 95 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 285 | 353 | 377 | 729 | 91 | 343 | 18 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 380 | 98 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 76 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 258 | 305 | 334 | 639 | 76 | 306 | 19 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 351 | 107 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 71 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 305 | 375 | 433 | 808 | 128 | 354 | 18 | 9 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 189 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 201 | 289 | 233 | 522 | 32 | 275 | 24 | 10 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 391 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 137 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 215 | 296 | 325 | 620 | 110 | 304 | 31 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 160 | 141 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 338 | 383 | 721 | 121 | 327 | 22 | 10 | 320 | 92 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 150 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 146 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 262 | 337 | 380 | 717 | 119 | 326 | 22 | 10 | 320 | 92 | +2 | -2 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2566 | 2288 | 617 | 78 | 21 | 26 | 226 | 533 | 11 | 91 | 57 | 270 | 338 | 356 | 694 | 87 | 338 | 21 | 9 | 305 | 92 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 157 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 135 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 271 | 340 | 359 | 698 | 88 | 339 | 21 | 9 | 305 | 92 | +2 | -2 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 403 PAwOBA .364 → .276 (−88)K% 23.3% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.64% | ÷1.050 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.02% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.16% | ÷1.044 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.018 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .364 → .276; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .373 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANashville Sounds · 174 PAwOBA .266 → .240 (−26)K% 20.7% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.22% | ÷0.966 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 10.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.93% | ÷0.986 | ×0.900 | ×1.034 | ×1.033 | 27.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.937 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×1.033 | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.034 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .266 → .240; ISO .014 → .013; BABIP .297 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Stockton Ports · 15 PAwOBA .372 → .297 (−74)K% 6.7% → 9.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 9.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 22.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 10.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.926 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 9.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.244 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .372 → .297; ISO .100 → .099; BABIP .222 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAANashville Sounds · 256 PAwOBA .386 → .360 (−26)K% 12.5% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷1.029 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.47% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.047 | ×1.048 | 29.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.048 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.048 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .386 → .360; ISO .144 → .135; BABIP .364 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAATacoma Rainiers · 277 PAwOBA .300 → .281 (−19)K% 15.2% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.16% | ÷1.041 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.115 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.73% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 25.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷0.901 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.896 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 97, 2B 80, 3B 113, K 108, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .300 → .281; ISO .089 → .084; BABIP .311 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 276 PAwOBA .360 → .337 (−23)K% 13.8% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.77% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.51% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.042 | 32.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×1.042 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.039 | ×1.042 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.983 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .360 → .337; ISO .088 → .080; BABIP .385 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 246 PAwOBA .320 → .295 (−25)K% 16.7% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.01% | ÷1.148 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.03% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×1.050 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.050 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.050 | 2.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.039 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .320 → .295; ISO .107 → .108; BABIP .309 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ABeloit Snappers · 312 PAwOBA .393 → .338 (−56)K% 15.7% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.99% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 11.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.12% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 33.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.942 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 1.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.03% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 97, 2B 112, 3B 88, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .393 → .338; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .409 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .