Tate Matheny

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1994-02-09

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	24	AABOS	446	.254/.328/.342	2	12	58	—	.224/.278/.287
2019	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	369	.235/.281/.358	8	12	32	—	.187/.223/.275
2021	27	AAA/AABOS	269	.242/.323/.450	10	9	60	—	.193/.253/.334

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	22	A	Greenville Drive	—	454	411	114	20	4	5	28	104	4	21	12	277	330	382	712	105	353	23	6	313	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	488	429	114	26	7	7	44	119	4	27	7	266	340	408	748	142	350	24	9	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	446	398	101	19	5	2	41	126	3	12	10	254	328	342	670	88	363	28	9	303	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	16	12	1	0	0	0	3	6	1	1	0	83	312	83	396		167	38	19	233	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	353	329	79	16	1	8	14	105	4	11	7	240	280	368	647	128	326	30	4	284	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	202	182	41	15	1	5	20	74	0	4	1	225	302	401	703	176	350	37	10	314	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	67	58	17	1	1	5	9	18	0	5	0	293	388	603	992	310	343	27	13	427	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	454	421	103	18	3	4	18	135	4	21	12	245	282	330	612	86	326	30	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	488	448	93	20	5	6	25	176	4	27	7	208	256	315	570	107	312	36	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	446	411	92	15	4	1	28	157	3	12	10	224	278	287	565	63	351	35	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	2	7	1	1	0	77	250	77	327		168	44	12	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	353	334	64	11	1	6	9	129	4	11	7	192	222	284	506	93	277	37	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	202	188	33	12	1	2	14	87	0	4	1	176	233	282	515	106	311	43	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	67	61	15	1	1	4	6	21	0	5	0	246	313	492	805	246	296	31	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	454	421	103	18	3	4	18	135	4	21	12	245	282	330	612	86	343	30	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	454	411	114	20	4	5	28	104	4	21	12	277	330	382	712	105	353	23	6	313	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	488	448	93	20	5	6	25	176	4	27	7	208	256	315	570	107	323	36	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	488	429	114	26	7	7	44	119	4	27	7	266	340	408	748	142	350	24	9	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	446	411	92	15	4	1	28	157	3	12	10	224	278	287	565	63	355	35	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	446	398	101	19	5	2	41	126	3	12	10	254	328	342	670	88	363	28	9	303	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	369	347	65	11	1	6	11	136	5	12	7	187	223	277	500	89	285	37	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	369	341	80	16	1	8	17	111	5	12	7	235	281	358	639	123	321	30	5	282	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	269	250	49	13	2	7	19	109	0	9	1	196	253	348	601	152	313	41	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	269	240	58	16	2	10	29	92	0	9	1	242	323	450	773	208	348	34	11	342	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	454	429	103	18	3	4	18	135	4	21	12	240	282	324	606	84	326	30	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	488	456	93	20	5	6	25	176	4	27	7	204	256	309	565	105	312	36	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	446	412	92	15	4	1	28	157	3	12	10	223	278	286	565	63	351	35	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	369	350	65	11	1	6	11	136	5	12	7	186	223	274	497	89	272	37	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	269	248	49	13	2	7	19	109	0	9	1	198	253	351	604	153	307	41	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2026	1877	402	77	15	24	101	713	16	81	37	214	260	310	570	95	327	35	5	248	54	-110	+1	+0	-22	+44	-8.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	130	25	5	8	32	229	5	26	12	216	261	314	575	98	330	35	5	248	54	-35	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 202 PAwOBA .305 → .230 (−76)K% 36.6% → 43.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.63%	÷1.021	×1.200	—	—	43.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.90%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.52%	÷0.974	×0.930	×1.002	×1.003	17.78%
Doubles /BIP	13.89%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.002	×1.003	11.69%
Triples /BIP	0.93%	÷1.023	×0.920	×1.002	×1.003	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	4.63%	÷1.318	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.47%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 105, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .305 → .230; ISO .176 → .115; BABIP .350 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 67 PAwOBA .416 → .338 (−78)K% 26.9% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.87%	÷1.025	×1.220	—	—	31.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.43%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.978	8.41%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.047	×0.940	—	×0.978	21.95%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷1.064	×0.870	—	×0.978	2.00%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷0.900	×0.920	—	×0.978	2.50%
Home runs /BIP	12.50%	÷0.900	×0.780	—	×0.978	10.60%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .416 → .338; ISO .310 → .267; BABIP .343 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 353 PAwOBA .277 → .217 (−60)K% 29.7% → 36.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.75%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	36.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.68%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.998	2.58%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.96%
Singles /BIP	24.11%	÷1.016	×0.970	×0.950	×0.998	21.82%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.158	×0.860	×0.950	×0.998	5.03%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.950	×0.998	0.35%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷0.953	×0.780	—	×0.998	2.92%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .277 → .217; ISO .128 → .093; BABIP .326 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 16 PAwOBA .229 → .192 (−38)K% 37.5% → 44.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.50%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	44.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×1.033	13.88%
HBP% /PA	6.25%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	6.07%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.953	×0.930	—	×1.033	16.80%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.896	×0.830	—	×1.033	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 91, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .192; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 446 PAwOBA .298 → .254 (−44)K% 28.3% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.25%	÷0.982	×1.220	—	—	35.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.19%	÷1.051	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.19%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.58%
Singles /BIP	27.57%	÷1.001	×0.970	×1.028	×1.012	27.80%
Doubles /BIP	6.99%	÷1.052	×0.860	×1.028	×1.012	5.94%
Triples /BIP	1.84%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.028	×1.012	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	0.74%	÷1.166	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.50%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .298 → .254; ISO .088 → .069; BABIP .363 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Salem Red Sox · 488 PAwOBA .319 → .249 (−70)K% 24.4% → 36.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.39%	÷0.958	×1.420	—	—	36.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.40%	÷1.043	×0.630	—	×0.998	5.06%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.70%
Singles /BIP	23.87%	÷1.042	×0.940	×1.012	×0.998	21.76%
Doubles /BIP	8.39%	÷0.977	×0.830	×1.012	×0.998	7.20%
Triples /BIP	2.26%	÷0.956	×0.800	×1.012	×0.998	1.91%
Home runs /BIP	2.26%	÷0.956	×0.900	—	×0.998	2.12%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .319 → .249; ISO .142 → .115; BABIP .350 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AGreenville Drive · 454 PAwOBA .309 → .263 (−46)K% 22.9% → 29.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.91%	÷1.034	×1.340	—	—	29.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.17%	÷1.044	×0.660	—	—	3.90%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.770	—	—	0.68%
Singles /BIP	27.69%	÷0.978	×0.920	×0.999	—	26.03%
Doubles /BIP	6.51%	÷0.908	×0.820	×0.999	—	5.88%
Triples /BIP	1.30%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.999	—	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.001	×0.820	—	—	1.33%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 107, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .309 → .263; ISO .105 → .087; BABIP .353 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).